Match: Zimbabwe vs Sri Lanka (ODI)
Date & Time: 31 Aug 2025, 01:00 PM IST
Venue: Harare Sports Club, Harare
Tournament: Sri Lanka tour of Zimbabwe
Playing XIs: Not announced yet
Recent form:
Zimbabwe: L • W • L • W • L (inconsistent, reliance on Raza/Williams + new-ball pacers)
Sri Lanka: W • W • L • W • W (strong run; top order + seamers in rhythm)
H2H (last 5): ZIM vs SL — L, L, L, L, W (SL on top recently)
Context: Harare has been balanced but slightly kinder to batters; however pacers outscore spinners in fantasy at this venue. SL arrive with superior form and greater bowling depth.
Team | Chance |
---|---|
Sri Lanka | 68% |
Zimbabwe | 32% |
Rationale: SL’s superior recent form, deeper pace attack, and stronger top-order consistency.
Type: Balanced surface; even split picks work well.
Avg 1st inns: ~240
Avg wickets/inns: ~7
Fantasy tilt: BAT 55% vs BOWL 45% (overall), but pacers beat spinners in points.
Pacers vs Spinners (fantasy per over):
1st inns: Pace ~6.9, Spin ~4.9
2nd inns: Pace ~6.2, Spin ~5.0
Toss trends: Teams often choose to chase (~70%); overall wins chasing ~60%.
Local performers: B Curran, S Raza, B Bennett, R Ngarava, B Muzarabani have solid venue returns.
Fantasy angle: Prioritize new-ball/death pacers from both sides; mix with form batters. One holding spinner (Raza/Theekshana) is still valuable for economy + wickets.
(M1 = most recent; M5 = oldest. Totals/Avgs computed from the feed. Duplicated/role-tag anomalies cleaned — each player listed once.)
Player | Role | M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | Total | Avg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sikandar Raza | AR | 206 | 13 | 100 | 49 | 23 | 391 | 78.2 |
Sean Williams | AR | 150 | 80 | 26 | 1 | 43 | 300 | 60.0 |
Bennett | BAT | 1 | 82 | 62 | 297 | 21 | 463 | 92.6 |
B. Curran | BAT | 114 | 194 | 26 | 48 | 13 | 395 | 79.0 |
R. Ngarava | BOW | 92 | 70 | 64 | 89 | 52 | 367 | 73.4 |
B. Muzarabani | BOW | 48 | 59 | 49 | 126 | 4 | 286 | 57.2 |
T. Gwandu | BOW | 31 | 73 | 83 | 40 | 60 | 287 | 57.4 |
W. Madhevere | AR | 24 | 12 | 105 | 80 | 65 | 286 | 57.2 |
B. Evans | AR | 11 | 28 | 46 | 41 | 93 | 219 | 43.8 |
B. Taylor | WK | 1 | 12 | 64 | 35 | 65 | 177 | 35.4 |
T. Munyonga | AR | 55 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 105 | 21.0 |
Player | Role | M1 | M2 | M3 | M4 | M5 | Total | Avg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kusal Mendis | WK-BAT | 58 | 238 | 124 | 165 | 39 | 624 | 124.8 |
Asitha Fernando | BOW | 120 | 127 | 158 | 92 | 81 | 578 | 115.6 |
Charith Asalanka | AR | 13 | 106 | 46 | 146 | 266 | 577 | 115.4 |
Janith Liyanage | AR | 140 | 24 | 142 | 70 | 11 | 387 | 77.4 |
Dilshan Madushanka | BOW | 153 | 4 | 95 | 23 | 68 | 343 | 68.6 |
Dushmantha Chameera | BOW | 24 | 137 | 58 | 52 | 12 | 283 | 56.6 |
Pathum Nissanka | BAT | 140 | 59 | 21 | 10 | 20 | 250 | 50.0 |
Maheesh Theekshana | BOW | 13 | 19 | 21 | 8 | 161 | 222 | 44.4 |
Sadeera Samarawickrama | WK | 71 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 100 | 20.0 |
Nishan Madushka | WK | 1 | 21 | 47 | 85 | 4 | 158 | 31.6 |
Note: Source feed had duplicate role tags for K. Mendis in one section; consolidated under WK-BAT using his last-5 series above.
Powerplay (1–10):
SL: Madushanka swings it early; Chameera hits hard lengths. Expect wicket chances vs ZIM top.
ZIM: Ngarava + Muzarabani with the new ball; edges/cordon in play.
Middle Overs (11–40):
SL: Theekshana control + build pressure; Asalanka/Liyanage chip in.
ZIM: Raza + Williams throttling with off-spin/left-arm orthodox.
Death (41–50):
SL: Asitha Fernando and Madushanka are prime death points (wkts + economy bonus risk).
ZIM: Ngarava remains best death option; Muzarabani support.
Prefer 3–4 pacers overall; if SL bowl first, you can go as high as 4 SL bowlers.
Anchor batters: Kusal Mendis, Nissanka; for ZIM, Raza (floater) and Williams (tempo).
Form spikes: Raza (206), Madushanka (153), S Williams (150) in the last match.
Value punts at Harare: Bennett (ceiling), Ngarava (P.P. + death), Asalanka (bat + part-time).
Primary: Sikandar Raza (ZIM) — multi-skill, massive ceiling at this venue.
Alt 1: Kusal Mendis (SL) — elite recent avg (124.8); safe C in SL-dominant scenarios.
Alt 2: Asitha Fernando (SL) — death + form; high wicket involvement.
Bennett (ZIM BAT): Volatile but tournament-high ceiling (297 in L5).
Liyanage (SL AR): Under-picked, contributes across phases.
Ngarava (ZIM BOW): PP + death usage = steady floor with upside.
(Assuming balanced pitch; adjust for toss as per tips below)
WK (1): Kusal Mendis
BAT (3): Pathum Nissanka, Bennett, B. Curran
AR (3): Sikandar Raza (C), Sean Williams, Charith Asalanka
BOWL (4): Asitha Fernando (VC), Dilshan Madushanka, Dushmantha Chameera, Richard Ngarava
Bench/Backups if lineups tweak: Maheesh Theekshana, B. Muzarabani, Janith Liyanage, W. Madhevere
If SL bat first: Load SL top + death pacers → Keep Mendis, Nissanka, Asalanka, and at least 2 of Asitha/Madushanka/Chameera.
If SL chase: Mendis gets anchor VC/C shout; keep Raza C for all-weather points.
If ZIM bat first: Add a ZIM bowler (Muzarabani) over an SL batter; Bennett becomes high-risk/high-reward.
If pitch looks dry/slow: Consider Theekshana over Chameera, or pair Raza + Williams for spin control.
Small leagues: Safer C/VC = Mendis / Raza.
Grand leagues: Try Asitha Fernando (VC) or Bennett (VC) for leverage.
Base core: Raza, Mendis, Asitha, Madushanka, Williams.
Edge: Favor pacers; ride SL bowlers if they bowl under lights.
Differentials: Bennett, Liyanage, Ngarava.