Match Details
Match: Sri Lanka Women vs New Zealand Women (ODI)
Date & Time: 14 Oct, 03:00 PM IST
Venue: R. Premadasa Stadium, Khettarama
Tournament: Women’s ODI
Quick Match Preview
Recent Form:
SL-W: L, L, L, L, W (mixed/lean)
NZ-W: W, L, L, W, W (stronger trend)
H2H (recent): NZ-W ahead (NZ: W W L W)
Context: NZ bring a high-ceiling core in Sophie Devine & Amelia Kerr, with pace teeth Jess Kerr/Lea Tahuhu peaking. SL lean heavily on Chamari Atapattu with support from emerging all-rounder Dewmi Vihanga, and spin pair Inoka Ranaweera / Sugandika Kumari.
Win Probability (modelled from form + H2H + venue lean)
Team | Win % |
|---|---|
NZ-W | 62% |
SL-W | 38% |
Rationale: NZ’s top-end all-round quality and recent H2H edge outweigh SL’s home comfort.
Pitch & Venue Analysis – R. Premadasa
Overall: Balanced surface; run-scoring steady but wickets fall regularly.
Avg 1st inns: ~260 | Avg wickets/inn: ~9
Fantasy split (last 10 ODIs at venue):
1st inns FPts: BAT ~399, BOWL ~337
2nd inns FPts: BAT ~316, BOWL ~319
Toss trends: Teams prefer chasing (70%); results also favour chasers (70%).
Bowling type: Pacers > Spinners for fantasy returns
Pace FPts/over ≈ 8.0–8.4 vs Spin ≈ 6.1–7.1
Takeaway for Dream11: Slight tilt towards pacers, but still a balanced 6–5 bat/bowl mix works. If it’s tacky early, bowling-first teams can pile wicket points.
Venue Fantasy Lens (recent SL-W at Premadasa)
Frequent C/VC hits: H. Samarawickrama, S. Kumari, C. Atapattu, D. Vihanga
Best venue performers (avg FPts over last 6 at ground):
C. Atapattu ~85, D. Vihanga ~82, H. Samarawickrama ~71,
S. Kumari ~67, I. Ranaweera ~54, N. de Silva ~52
Hot Fantasy Form – Last 5 (Overall, all venues)
Sri Lanka Women – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C Atapattu | AR | 31 | 118 | 97 | 170 | 163 | 579 |
D Vihanga | AR | 29 | 88 | 214 | 44 | 118 | 493 |
I Ranaweera | BOW | 125 | 147 | 41 | 57 | 44 | 414 |
S Kumari | BOW | 77 | 28 | 122 | 18 | 132 | 377 |
K Dilhari | AR | 62 | 40 | 73 | 105 | 51 | 331 |
N de Silva | BAT | 43 | 69 | 84 | 22 | 112 | 330 |
H Samarawickrama | BAT | 69 | 49 | 58 | 67 | 85 | 328 |
U Prabodhani | BOW | 70 | 108 | 6 | 37 | 47 | 268 |
A Sanjeewani | WK | 48 | 22 | 44 | 89 | 61 | 264 |
V Rajapaksha G. | BAT | 22 | 39 | 64 | 40 | 53 | 218 |
H Perera | AR | 55 | 26 | 1 | 76 | 34 | 192 |
New Zealand Women – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S Devine | AR | 104 | 141 | 216 | 93 | 22 | 576 |
A Kerr | AR | 60 | 113 | 156 | 171 | 53 | 553 |
J Kerr | BOW | 114 | 60 | 103 | 109 | 99 | 485 |
L Tahuhu | BOW | 151 | 57 | 104 | 32 | 85 | 429 |
B Halliday | AR | 109 | 85 | 50 | 101 | 20 | 365 |
M Green | BAT | 48 | 8 | 36 | 94 | 148 | 334 |
G Plimmer | BAT | 24 | 53 | 9 | 176 | 52 | 314 |
S Bates | AR | 69 | 9 | 37 | 96 | 60 | 271 |
R Mair | BOW | 95 | – | – | 82 | 29 | 253 |
E Carson | BOW | 54 | 12 | 7 | 95 | 68 | 236 |
I Gaze | WK | 20 | 22 | 68 | 38 | 27 | 175 |
🧮 Quick Insights
Top 3 (Overall):
1️⃣ Chamari Atapattu – 579 pts
2️⃣ Sophie Devine – 576 pts
3️⃣ Amelia Kerr – 553 ptsEmerging Star: Dewmi Vihanga (SL-W) – avg ~98 pts/match, massive ceiling.
Best bowlers: Jess Kerr (NZ-W) & Inoka Ranaweera (SL-W) – both consistently 80+ per match.
High-ceiling pacer: Lea Tahuhu (NZ-W) with a peak of 151 pts.
Powerplay (PP) & Death Overs (DO) Impact
PP bowlers to target:
NZ-W: Jess Kerr, Lea Tahuhu (new-ball movement; wicket bursts).
SL-W: U. Prabodhani (left-arm inswing), S. Kumari (can bowl early on used pitch).
Middle/Overs control: I. Ranaweera, E. Carson, A. Kerr (through 11–40).
Death specialists:
NZ-W: Tahuhu / J. Kerr (hard length, yorkers).
SL-W: Kavisha Dilhari often sneaks an over late; Atapattu chips in.
Fantasy angle: Prioritise PP/DO pacers (bonus for maidens, LBW/Bowled modes) and multi-skill ARs who touch multiple phases.
Key MVP Picks
Primary (Safe)
Sophie Devine (NZ, AR): Elite recent average (~113), bat up top + 4 overs potential.
Amelia Kerr (NZ, AR): Dual points (bat anchor + leg-spin wickets).
Chamari Atapattu (SL, AR): SL’s engine; opens batting, bowls if needed; massive ceiling.
Differential (High-upside)
Dewmi Vihanga (SL, AR): Recent spikes; contributes in both innings.
Jess Kerr (NZ, BOW): PP wicket cluster + good H2H vs SL.
Lea Tahuhu (NZ, BOW): Venue suits pace; DO wickets for strike boosts.
Harshitha Samarawickrama (SL, BAT): Venue comfort; anchor points if SL bat first.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Small League)
(Monitor final XIs at toss)
WK (1): A. Sanjeewani (SL)
BAT (3): H. Samarawickrama (SL), M. Green (NZ), G. Plimmer (NZ)
AR (4): S. Devine (NZ) [C], A. Kerr (NZ) [VC], C. Atapattu (SL), D. Vihanga (SL)
BOWL (3): J. Kerr (NZ), L. Tahuhu (NZ), I. Ranaweera (SL)
Team Split: NZ 6 – SL 5
Bench/Backup pivots (if XIs differ): R. Mair (NZ), S. Kumari (SL), K. Dilhari (SL), B. Halliday (NZ)
Grand League punts: E. Carson (NZ), U. Prabodhani (SL)
Conditional Strategy & Toss Matrix
If NZ-W bat first: Stack Devine, A. Kerr, Green/Plimmer + J. Kerr/Tahuhu for DO wickets. Consider extra NZ batter over a SL batter.
If NZ-W chase: Despite venue chasing bias, NZ’s recent chases = 4 losses – hedge with extra SL bowler (Ranaweera/S. Kumari) and keep Devine/A. Kerr for all-phase points.
If SL-W bat first: Prioritise Atapattu + Samarawickrama; add Tahuhu/J. Kerr for PP wickets.
If SL-W chase: SL’s chases have been shaky; lean more on NZ pacers and A. Kerr.
Final Tips
Pacers first at this venue; don’t fade SL spin entirely (Ranaweera/S. Kumari steady).
Captaincy: Devine safest C; A. Kerr/Atapattu ideal VC swaps.
GL variance: Swap one of Green/Plimmer → B. Halliday (AR floor). Add R. Mair if she starts.
Keep an eye on team news at toss (late bowling role changes are common in WODIs).
Good luck, and play responsibly!