Match Details
Match: Sri Lanka Women vs Australia Women (ODI)
Date & Time: 4 Oct, 03:00 PM IST
Venue: R. Premadasa Stadium, Khettarama
Playing XIs: Not announced yet
Tournament: Women’s ODI series
Short Match Preview
Australia arrive with strong recent form (W W L W W) and multiple in-form all-rounders (Ashleigh Gardner, Annabel Sutherland, Kim Garth). Sri Lanka’s form is mixed (L L L W W), but they lean heavily on Chamari Atapattu, with support from Harshitha Samarawickrama, Inoka Ranaweera, Kavisha Dilhari, and Sugandika Kumari.
Venue pulse (RPS): Balanced surface; average first-innings 259, ~8 wickets/innings. Pace tends to score better in the 1st innings, spin edges it in the 2nd. Toss record leans to wins batting first (60%). Expect Australia to control phases; Sri Lanka’s route is spin squeeze + Atapattu’s top-order impact.
Win Probability (pre-toss)
Team | Model Lean* |
|---|---|
Australia Women | 72% |
Sri Lanka Women | 28% |
*Based on last-5 team form, recent player fantasy output, H2H snippets, and venue profile from your dump.
Pitch & Venue Analysis – R. Premadasa (Khettarama)
Surface: Balanced – even selection of batters & bowlers recommended.
Avg 1st inns: 259 | Avg wickets/inn: ~8
Toss: 50% choose bat/field; Wins: 60% batting first / 40% chasing
Bowling type impact:
1st inns: Pace > Spin (fantasy rate ~ 6.7 pace vs 5.8 spin)
2nd inns: Spin > Pace (fantasy rate ~ 6.9 spin vs 6.0 pace)
Fantasy angle (venue)
If AUS bat first: pace/all-rounders (Sutherland/Garth) + top order (Mooney/Litchfield) gain.
If SL bowl second: Ranaweera + Kumari get an uptick as the pitch grips.
Team Form & Scenario Nuggets
Sri Lanka when batting first: L L W L (in your dump) → early wickets hurt; anchor value rises (Samarawickrama).
Australia when chasing: W W W W (one L) → methodical, Mooney/Healy platform; Gardner/Sutherland close.
Fantasy Consistency – Last 5 Matches (Overall feed)
Australia Women – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts |
|---|---|---|
A. Gardner | AR | 211, 123, 112, 19, 134 |
B. Mooney | WK | 20, 282, 26, 131, 62 |
A. Sutherland | AR | 161, 126, 137, 16, 17 |
K. Garth | AR | 82, 113, 49, 29, 106 |
S. Molineux | BOW | 144, 6, 35, 66, 121 |
P. Litchfield | BAT | 111, 174, 30, 44, 9 |
E. Perry | AR | 61, 120, 73, 74, 6 |
A. King | BOW | 81, 35, 14, 51, 146 |
T. McGrath | AR | 46, 56, 67, 35, 83 |
A. Healy | WK | 55, 78, 29, 69, 41 |
D. Brown | BOW | 13, 147, 8, 41, 39 |
Sri Lanka Women – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts |
|---|---|---|
C. Atapattu | AR | 118, 97, 170, 163, 35 |
H. Samarawickrama | BAT | 49, 58, 67, 85, 125 |
S. Kumari | BOW | 28, 122, 18, 132, 54 |
K. Dilhari | AR | 40, 73, 105, 51, 83 |
I. Ranaweera | BOW | 147, 41, 57, 44, 61 |
N. de Silva | BAT | 69, 84, 22, 112, 39 |
V. Rajapaksha Gunarathne | BAT | 39, 64, 40, 53, 57 |
A. Sanjeewani | WK | 22, 44, 89, 61, 13 |
A. Kulasuriya | BOW | 72, 28, 69, 46, 4 |
H. Perera | AR | 26, 1, 76, 34, 74 |
U. Prabodhani | BOW | 108, 6, 37, 47, 10 |
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Australia PP: Garth new-ball nibble; Brown (if picked) can strike; with bat, Healy/Mooney accelerate.
Australia Death: Sutherland + Garth likely finish; Gardner’s part-time overs possible matchup tool.
Sri Lanka PP: Prabodhani/Kulasuriya to swing it; Atapattu sets tone batting.
Sri Lanka Middle/Death: Ranaweera/Kumari/Dilhari to control; wickets if Australia chase.
Key MVP Picks
Primary
Ashleigh Gardner (AR, AUS) – elite multi-skill, recent 599 in L5.
Chamari Atapattu (AR, SL) – usage monster; venue average ~96 (from venue section).
Annabel Sutherland (AR, AUS) – bat position + death overs = compound upside.
High-Upside Differentials
Alana King (BOW, AUS) – wicket bursts on gripping RPS.
Pheobe Litchfield (BAT, AUS) – form spike; benefits batting first.
Inoka Ranaweera (BOW, SL) – 2nd-innings spin premium.
Sugandika Kumari (BOW, SL) – pairs well with Ranaweera for choke points.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Pre-toss)
Balance: 2 WK, 3 BAT, 4 AR, 2 BOW | AUS: 7, SL: 4
WK: B. Mooney (AUS), A. Healy (AUS)
BAT: P. Litchfield (AUS), H. Samarawickrama (SL), N. de Silva (SL)
AR: A. Gardner (AUS) – C, A. Sutherland (AUS) – VC, C. Atapattu (SL), K. Garth (AUS)
BOW: A. King (AUS), I. Ranaweera (SL)
Bench swaps to consider (if XIs differ):
S. Molineux (AUS BOW) ↔ any AUS/SL AR/BOW; S. Kumari (SL BOW) if AUS chase; E. Perry (AUS AR) if batting promotion is confirmed.
Final Fantasy Tips (Conditional)
If Australia bat first: Stack top order (Mooney/Litchfield/Healy) + Sutherland/Garth. Keep one of King/Molineux; SL punt: Ranaweera for wickets in the chase.
If Australia chase: Prioritize Gardner/Sutherland (chase finishing) and King (middle-overs). SL anchors (Samarawickrama/N. de Silva) retain value; consider Kumari over an AUS pacer.
If Sri Lanka bat first: Atapattu (VC/C viable) + Samarawickrama become core; keep two AUS bowlers for collapse equity.
Bowling mix at RPS: Start with 1 pace + 1 spin from AUS; add SL spin if they bowl second.
Quick H2H Pulse (from your dump)
H2H recent standouts: Atapattu (SL) ~105 avg in last 4 vs AUS; Healy (AUS) ~99 avg in last 3; Wareham & Perry credible support. Use Healy as a leverage WK if Mooney is over-owned.
Notes
Playing XIs not announced yet—revisit just before toss for role clarity (opening combo, bowling quotas).
Consider captaincy safety (Gardner/Sutherland) vs ceiling punt (Atapattu/King).
Salary/credit not provided; if credit squeeze, drop Healy → bring S. Kumari and upgrade a batter if needed (structure: 1 WK / 3 BAT / 4 AR / 3 BOW).