Match Details
Fixture: Pakistan vs United Arab Emirates
Date & Time: 17 Sep, 08:00 PM IST
Venue: Dubai International Cricket Stadium
Short Match Preview
Pakistan arrive with mixed form (last 5: L W L L W) but boast higher fantasy ceilings through multi-skill players like Mohammad Nawaz and Saim Ayub, plus wicket-taking pace. UAE’s recent run is positive (last 5: W L L W W) with top-order runs from Waseem Muhammad and Alishan Sharafu and impactful quicks H Ali, Junaid Siddique, Jawadullah.
Recent H2H indicators (last 2) lean Pakistan, powered by A Ahmed’s spike game and Fakhar Zaman’s batting burst, but UAE bowlers have repeatedly featured in Dream Teams.
Win Probability (my model)
Team | Win % |
|---|---|
Pakistan | 67% |
UAE | 33% |
Why: PAK’s all-round depth (Nawaz, Ayub, Ashraf) + higher ceiling games; UAE’s form and venue familiarity keep them live.
Recent Form Snapshot
Pakistan: L • W • L • L • W
UAE: W • L • L • W • W
When PAK bat first: L • W • L • L • W
When PAK chase: L • W • W • W
When UAE bat first: W • L • W • W • W
When UAE chase: L • W • W • L • W
Pitch & Venue Analysis – Dubai International Cricket Stadium
Pitch Type: Balanced – even mix of batting & bowling; make an even selection.
Avg 1st inns score: 152
Avg wickets/innings: ~6
Boundary size: ~80m square, 65m straight
Bowling vs Batting Fantasy Share (last 10 T20s): BOWL 46.2% | BAT 53.8%
Pacers vs Spinners (FPts/over):
1st inns: Spin 13.6 vs Pace 11.4
2nd inns: Pace 13.5 vs Spin 10.1
➜ Early spin can bite; chasing sides see pace value late.
Toss Trends: Chasing favored (~80% wins). If dew settles, chasing gets a boost.
Fantasy Angle for Dubai
Prioritize top-order batters who access the powerplay.
Mix 1 attacking spinner for 1st-innings bowling and death pacers for 2nd-innings upside.
Venue standouts recently: Junaid Siddique (UAE) consistent wicket-taker here; A Sharafu/Waseem steady batting points; M Haris & S Ayub have popped in captaincy slots at this venue.
Fantasy Consistency & Points Leaders (Last 5 Matches)
Pakistan – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Last 5 Matches (FPts) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
M Nawaz | AR | 7, 84, 261, 105, 22 | 479 |
A Ahmed | BOW | 21, 78, 102, 161, 21 | 383 |
F Ashraf | AR | 27, 100, 41, 26, 166 | 360 |
S Ayub | AR | 115, 92, 46, 34, 51 | 338 |
F Zaman | BAT | 33, 37, 49, 151, 61 | 331 |
S Afridi | BOW | 66, 84, 51, 55, 16 | 272 |
S Muqeem | BOW | 25, 81, 83, 14, 18 | 221 |
M Haris | WK | 19, 136, 26, 28, 5 | 214 |
S Farhan | BAT | 70, 41, 10, 36, 40 | 197 |
A Salman | BAT | 1, 10, 56, 30, 36 | 133 |
H Nawaz | BAT | 9, 19, 29, 8, 29 | 94 |
United Arab Emirates – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Last 5 Matches (FPts) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
W Muhammad | BAT | 143, 35, 90, 33, 137 | 438 |
M Jawadullah | BOW | 92, 4, 19, 102, 184 | 401 |
A Sharafu | BAT | 107, 44, 53, 122, 7 | 333 |
H Ali | BOW | 87, 17, 87, 107, 15 | 313 |
J Siddique | BOW | 165, 35, 14, 35, 22 | 271 |
MD Rohid Khan | BOW | 40, 7, 10, 52, 77 | 186 |
R Chopra | WK | 2, 7, 27, 30, 112 | 178 |
M Zohaib Khan | BAT | 43, 6, 49, 15, 33 | 146 |
D Parashar | AR | 22, 8, 64, 8, 34 | 136 |
Asif Khan | BAT | 6, 6, 78, 17, 5 | 112 |
H Kaushik | AR | 50, 6, 27, 7, 3 | 93 |
H2H (last 2): A Ahmed 161, M Nawaz 122, F Zaman 82; for UAE H Ali 94, A Khan 88, J Siddique 77.
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Pakistan Bowling
PP (0–6): Shaheen Afridi (left-arm pace) + Saim Ayub/Nawaz can bowl spin if needed; A Ahmed can take early wickets on sticky decks.
Death (16–20): Haris Rauf (when picked) & A Ahmed provide wicket clusters; Faheem Ashraf mixes cutters at the back end.
UAE Bowling
PP: Junaid Siddique and Jawadullah – hit-the-deck pace with early breakthroughs.
Death: H Ali’s variations show repeated fantasy spikes; Jawadullah also returns late overs.
Implication: Load 1–2 death pacers + 1 venue-savvy spinner; PP enforcers from either side are strong C/VC hedge if bowling first.
Key MVP Picks
Mohammad Nawaz (PAK, AR): Elite recent ceiling (261, 105) + batting order flexibility + 4 overs. Safest captain.
Saim Ayub (PAK, AR): Opening intent + part-time spin; frequent DT appearances.
A Ahmed (PAK, BOW): Massive spike vs UAE (161) and form vs AFG/OMN; C/VC if bowling first.
Waseem Muhammad (UAE, BAT): High-variance but match-winning top-order hitter; great differential C in chases.
Differential Picks (High Upside, Lower Ownership)
Junaid Siddique (UAE, BOW): Venue specialist; PP wickets translate to bonus points.
Fakhar Zaman (PAK, BAT): Proven H2H burst (151 vs UAE).
Faheem Ashraf (PAK, AR): Death overs + late-order hitting = dual-point avenues.
Alishan Sharafu (UAE, BAT): Consistency at Dubai; pairs well with Waseem stack.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Pre-toss)
(Playing XIs not announced; adjust at toss.)
WK (1): M Haris
BAT (4): Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub, Waseem Muhammad, A Sharafu
AR (2): Mohammad Nawaz (C), Faheem Ashraf
BOW (4): A Ahmed (VC), Shaheen Afridi, Junaid Siddique, M Jawadullah
Bench/Backup watch: R Chopra (WK), S Muqeem (BOW), MD Rohid Khan (BOW)
Balance: 1 WK, 4 BAT, 2 AR, 4 BOW (even build suits Dubai).
Conditional Captaincy & Swap Matrix
If Pakistan bat first: Prioritize Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub; keep Nawaz (C) for all-round floor. Consider double-PAK bat stack.
If Pakistan bowl first: A Ahmed (C/VC) + Shaheen; add S Muqeem if picked for spin-helping start.
If UAE bat first: Raise Junaid Siddique, H Ali exposure; Waseem (VC) for PP exploitation.
If UAE bowl first (PAK chase): Keep Ayub/Fakhar; retain Faheem for finishing points.
Final Fantasy Tips
Chasing bias (Dubai): Slightly tilt to death pacers + top-3 batters of the chasing side.
Ceiling correlation: Pair Nawaz + A Ahmed when Pakistan field first; pair Waseem + Sharafu if UAE chase.
Safety: Retain at least 2 all-rounders from PAK for floor stability.
Late swaps: If Haris Rauf is in XI, he’s a straight swap for a UAE bowler in bowling-friendly conditions and is viable VC bowling first.