Match Details
Teams: Pakistan vs South Africa
Date & Time: 12 Oct, 10:00 AM IST
Venue: Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore
Format/Tournament: Test
South Africa arrive with red-hot form (WWWW) and recent H2H edge (last two vs PAK: SA won). Pakistan’s recent form is mixed (L W L L W), but home conditions and a high-scoring Lahore track keep them in the game. Expect long batting spells and new-ball pace impact for wickets.
Win Probability
Team | Chance |
|---|---|
South Africa | 58% |
Pakistan | 42% |
Why: SA’s four-match winning streak, stronger recent H2H, and multiple in-form all-rounders (Mulder, Jansen, Bosch). Pakistan lean on Rizwan/Babar for stability and pace bursts from Shaheen/Hasan.
Pitch & Venue Analysis — Gaddafi Stadium (Lahore)
Nature: High scoring; encourages long batting innings.
Avg 1st inns: ~425 | Avg wickets/inns: ~8
Bowling: Pacers > Spinners (Fantasy Pts/over: Pace 3.8 vs Spin 2.6)
Toss: Even split historically — 50% bat first / 50% chase; results also balanced.
Fantasy angle: Load up on top-order/middle batters, and wicket-taking pacers who use the new ball and second new ball.
Form & Scenario Nuggets
Pakistan recent form: L W L L W
South Africa recent form: W W W W
H2H (latest): Pakistan vs SA — L, L (SA on top)
By scenario
When Pakistan bat first: W L W L L → 2/5 wins
When South Africa chase: W W W L → 3/4 wins
When South Africa bat first: W W W W → 4/4 wins (big indicator)
When Pakistan chase: L L W L W → 2/5 wins
Strategy translation:
If SA bat first, their record is excellent → prioritize SA top 4 + a bowling all-rounder.
If PAK bat first, stack their premium batters (Rizwan, Babar, Saud) and pick SA strike pacers to target the new ball.
Fantasy Points of All Players
Pakistan — Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S Khan | Bowler | 169 | 235 | 298 | 221 | 93 | 1016 |
N Ali | Bowler | 224 | 157 | 237 | 242 | 132 | 992 |
M Rizwan | WK | 119 | 114 | 145 | 92 | 80 | 550 |
S Shakeel | AR | 52 | 100 | 23 | 121 | 151 | 447 |
K Shehzad | Bowler | 20 | 73 | 115 | 176 | 58 | 442 |
S Masood | Batter | 30 | 78 | 176 | 55 | 59 | 398 |
B Azam | Batter | 62 | 17 | 176 | 80 | 53 | 388 |
S Afridi | Bowler | 61 | 72 | 129 | 44 | 20 | 326 |
I Haq | Batter | 27 | 108 | 30 | 35 | 81 | 281 |
A Salman | AR | 37 | 37 | 127 | 33 | 21 | 255 |
A Shafique | Batter | 24 | 40 | 124 | 11 | 54 | 253 |
K Ghulam | Batter | 42 | 49 | 50 | 85 | 7 | 233 |
A Ahmed | Bowler | 38 | 96 | 7 | 41 | 20 | 202 |
H Ali | Bowler | 9 | 38 | 60 | 31 | 41 | 179 |
South Africa — Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W Mulder | AR | 703 | 372 | 93 | 46 | 34 | 1248 |
R Rickelton | WK | 42 | 118 | 306 | 34 | 159 | 659 |
C Bosch | AR | 104 | 320 | 4 | 200 | — | 628 |
A Markram | Batter | 252 | 21 | 55 | 179 | 116 | 623 |
K Rabada | Bowler | 193 | 20 | 114 | 110 | 98 | 535 |
M Jansen | AR | 80 | 39 | 140 | 161 | 82 | 502 |
K Verreynne | WK | 100 | 150 | 53 | 17 | 151 | 471 |
D Bedingham | Batter | 126 | 61 | 118 | 35 | 113 | 453 |
Z Hamza | Batter | 60 | 78 | 46 | 37 | 69 | 290 |
S Muthusamy | Bowler | 68 | 4 | 193 | 19 | — | 284 |
S Harmer | Bowler | 114 | 55 | 44 | 39 | 4 | 256 |
T Stubbs | Batter | 14 | 92 | 8 | 32 | 57 | 203 |
D Brevis | Batter | 70 | 118 | — | — | — | 188 |
T de Zorzi | Batter | 22 | 71 | 52 | 8 | 21 | 174 |
P Subrayen | Bowler | 80 | — | — | — | — | 80 |
🔹 Top 5 Overall (Last 5 Matches Combined)
Rank | Player | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
1 | Wiaan Mulder | SA | 1248 |
2 | Shadab Khan | PAK | 1016 |
3 | Nauman Ali | PAK | 992 |
4 | Ryan Rickelton | SA | 659 |
5 | Aiden Markram | SA | 623 |
H2H Lens (Recent PAK vs SA set)
A Markram 542 pts (4) | M Rizwan 508 (4) | B Azam 423 (4)
K Rabada 347 (4) | R Rickelton 340 (2) | M Jansen 301 (2)
Power Phases Impact (Test Adaptation)
New Ball (Overs 1–25): Rabada, Jansen for SA; Shaheen, Hasan Ali for PAK — primary wicket threats.
Old/Reverse (Overs 40–80): Shaheen/Hasan & Rabada remain dangerous; Nauman Ali into long spells when ball softens.
Second New Ball (80+): Re-stack on main quicks again; expect breakthroughs late Day 2/3.
MVP Picks (Safe)
Wiaan Mulder (SA, AR) — Dual-utility, excellent recent returns.
Kagiso Rabada (SA, BOW) — Strike leader; suited to Lahore pace returns.
Mohammad Rizwan (PAK, WK) — Form + involvement; safe floor.
Differential Picks (Upside)
Marco Jansen (SA, AR) — Wickets + 30–40 handy runs swing matchups.
Aiden Markram (SA, BAT) — Proven H2H production.
Nauman Ali (PAK, BOW) — If pitch slows, long spells can rack points.
Hasan Ali (PAK, BOW) — H2H/venue profile as a wicket-taker.
Suggested Dream11 Team (Pre-toss)
Playing XIs not announced; adjust at toss.
WK (2): M Rizwan (PAK), R Rickelton (SA)
BAT (3): A Markram (SA), B Azam (PAK), S Masood (PAK)
AR (3): W Mulder (SA) ©, M Jansen (SA), C Bosch (SA)
BOW (3): K Rabada (SA) Ⓥ, S Afridi (PAK), N Ali (PAK)
Captain: Wiaan Mulder
Vice-Captain: Kagiso Rabada
Bench/Watchlist: K Verreynne (SA, WK), S Shakeel (PAK, AR), K Shahzad (PAK, BOW), S Khan (PAK, BOW), D Bedingham (SA, BAT)
Final Tips & Toss Scenarios
If SA bat first:
Push SA core: Markram, Rickelton/Verreynne, Mulder, Jansen, Rabada.
Keep two PAK pacers (Shaheen + Hasan/Nauman depending on XI).
If PAK bat first:
Elevate Babar, Rizwan, Saud; retain Rabada + Jansen for new-ball wickets.
Consider swapping Bosch ↔ extra PAK batter if pitch looks placid.
If surface looks greener on morning of Day 1: Upgrade frontline pacers; consider VC on Shaheen.
If dry/abrasive: Raise Nauman Ali value; keep at least 3 SA seamers/ARs.
Good luck, and remember to re-check final XIs at the toss to replace any non-starters with the watchlist names above.