Match Details
Match: New Zealand Women vs South Africa Women (ODI)
Date & Time: 6 Oct, 03:00 PM IST
Venue: Holkar Cricket Stadium, Indore
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Recent form:
NZ-W: L W W L (mixed)
SA-W: L L W W W (upward trend)
Recent H2H tilt: SA-W have won 3 of the last 4 vs NZ-W.
Context for fantasy: The venue has been high-scoring with an avg 1st inns ~370 and 9 wickets/inn. Both pace and spin have impact here—build a balanced attack with bankable all-rounders.
Win Probability (pre-toss)
Team | Chance |
---|---|
SA-W | 55% |
NZ-W | 45% |
Reasoning: SA’s slightly better recent run + stronger H2H. NZ still very live if their star ARs (Devine, A Kerr) click.
Pitch & Venue Analysis – Holkar Cricket Stadium
Run-scoring: High – Avg 1st inns ~370
Wickets: ~9 per innings
Toss trend: Captains choose to chase ~67% here, but wins batting first show 100% (small sample – treat cautiously).
Pace vs Spin (fantasy impact/over):
1st inns: Pace 5.5, Spin 4.3
2nd inns: Spin 9.3, Pace 7.8
Takeaway: Start with top-order run-makers and wicket-taking quicks; add impact spinners for 2nd innings scenarios.
Venue Fantasy Nuggets
Frequent C/VC here: Sophie Devine (ceiling play at this ground)
Top NZ-W venue performers (small sample): Devine (Avg FP 216), A Kerr (156), L Tahuhu (104), J Kerr (103)
Team Form Snapshot
New Zealand Women
Overall form: L W W L
When NZ-W bat first: W W L W L (boom-bust)
When NZ-W chase: L L L L (struggle)
South Africa Women
Overall form: L L W W W
When SA-W bat first: L L W W W (improving)
When SA-W chase: W L L W L (iffy)
Implication: If NZ bat first, their fantasy ceiling rises (Devine/A Kerr); if SA bat first, their middle order + seamers trend well.
Fantasy Consistency — Last 5 Matches (Avg FP)
New Zealand Women – Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total | Avg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Amelia Kerr | AR | 156 | 171 | 53 | 141 | 95 | 616 | 123 |
Sophie Devine | AR | 216 | 93 | 22 | 48 | 173 | 552 | 110 |
Jess Kerr | BOW | 103 | 109 | 99 | 46 | 76 | 433 | 87 |
Maddy Green | BAT | 36 | 94 | 148 | 4 | 60 | 342 | 68 |
Lea Tahuhu | BOW | 104 | 32 | 85 | 59 | 34 | 314 | 63 |
Suzie Bates | AR | 37 | 96 | 60 | 35 | 77 | 305 | 61 |
Georgia Plimmer | BAT | 9 | 176 | 52 | 4 | 49 | 290 | 58 |
Bess Illing | BOW | 67 | 24 | 69 | 81 | – | 241 | 60 |
Brooke Halliday | AR | 50 | 101 | 20 | 4 | 43 | 218 | 44 |
Eden Carson | BOW | 7 | 95 | 68 | 22 | 4 | 196 | 39 |
Izzy Gaze | WK | 68 | 38 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 142 | 28 |
💡 Top performers: A Kerr, Devine, J Kerr stand out for all-round reliability.
Consistent mid-tier picks: Bates, Tahuhu, Green.
Budget/GL punts: Plimmer, Halliday.
South Africa Women – Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total | Avg |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tazmin Brits | BAT | 13 | 315 | 157 | 187 | 48 | 720 | 144 |
Marizanne Kapp | AR | 17 | 79 | 218 | 99 | 126 | 539 | 108 |
Laura Wolvaardt | BAT | 13 | 64 | 182 | 12 | 119 | 390 | 78 |
Nadine de Klerk | AR | 7 | 94 | 118 | 68 | 79 | 366 | 73 |
Nonkululeko Mlaba | BOW | 14 | 94 | 22 | 86 | 145 | 361 | 72 |
Masabata Klaas | BOW | 11 | 28 | 47 | 145 | 80 | 311 | 62 |
Ayabonga Khaka | BOW | 15 | 39 | 85 | 48 | 78 | 265 | 53 |
Suné Luus | AR | 6 | 27 | 73 | 26 | 133 | 265 | 53 |
Chloé Tryon | AR | 10 | 24 | 81 | 20 | 102 | 237 | 47 |
Sinalo Jafta | WK | 38 | 20 | 18 | 47 | 34 | 157 | 31 |
Anneke Bosch | BAT | 14 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 33 | 129 | 26 |
💡 Top performers: Brits (explosive), Kapp (elite AR floor), De Klerk & Mlaba (steady).
Consistent adds: Wolvaardt, Klaas.
Differentials: Tryon (explosive) & Luus (floating role).
🔢 Summary Table – Overall 5-Match Fantasy Point Averages
Rank | Player | Team | Role | Total FP | Avg FP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tazmin Brits | SA-W | BAT | 720 | 144 |
2 | Amelia Kerr | NZ-W | AR | 616 | 123 |
3 | Sophie Devine | NZ-W | AR | 552 | 110 |
4 | Marizanne Kapp | SA-W | AR | 539 | 108 |
5 | Jess Kerr | NZ-W | BOW | 433 | 87 |
6 | Laura Wolvaardt | SA-W | BAT | 390 | 78 |
7 | Nadine de Klerk | SA-W | AR | 366 | 73 |
8 | Nonkululeko Mlaba | SA-W | BOW | 361 | 72 |
9 | Maddy Green | NZ-W | BAT | 342 | 68 |
10 | Masabata Klaas | SA-W | BOW | 311 | 62 |
High-Ceiling Performers (Last 5 – total FP highlights)
Tazmin Brits (SA-W BAT): 720 pts/5 — recent monster knocks.
A Kerr (NZ-W AR): 616/5 — dual-threat, safe C/VC.
S Devine (NZ-W AR): 552/5 — venue ceiling huge.
M Kapp (SA-W AR): 539/5 — bankable points in both disciplines.
J Kerr (NZ-W BOW): 433/5 — form + swing with new ball.
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact (tactical)
Powerplay weapons:
NZ-W: Jess Kerr, Lea Tahuhu – new-ball movement; early wickets.
SA-W: Ayabonga Khaka, Masabata Klaas – disciplined lengths; PP dots translate to fantasy points.
Middle overs:
NZ-W: Amelia Kerr (leg-spin control, wicket-taking in squeeze).
SA-W: Nonkululeko Mlaba (halts scoring, strikes if batters force it), Tryon (impact overs).
Death overs:
SA-W: Klaas/Khaka for wickets at the end.
NZ-W: Tahuhu (hit-the-deck, wicket threat).
MVP & Differential Picks
Core MVPs (Safe C/VC Pool)
Amelia Kerr (AR, NZ-W): Elite floor via overs + top-order batting; venue-friendly.
Marizanne Kapp (AR, SA-W): Bankable 8–10 overs + batting utility.
Sophie Devine (AR, NZ-W): Highest venue ceiling; risk if early dismissal, but upside massive.
Differentials (High-upside, lower pick%)
Tazmin Brits (BAT, SA-W): Current hot hand; if set in PP, 80+ potential.
Jess Kerr (BOW, NZ-W): New-ball breakthroughs = 50–70 FP games.
Nonkululeko Mlaba (BOW, SA-W): Second-innings spin spike at this venue.
Chloé Tryon (AR, SA-W): Impact overs + power-hitting cameo.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Pre-toss)
Balanced build leaning on all-rounders (1–3–4–3)
WK (1):
Izzy Gaze (safer glove points; recent 20–40 FP floor)
BAT (3):
Tazmin Brits
Laura Wolvaardt
Maddy Green (alt: Georgia Plimmer for budget/punt)
AR (4):
Amelia Kerr (C)
Sophie Devine
Marizanne Kapp (VC)
Nadine de Klerk (alt: Chloé Tryon if you want more batting power)
BOWL (3):
Jess Kerr
Lea Tahuhu
Nonkululeko Mlaba (alt: Masabata Klaas / Ayabonga Khaka)
Captaincy ladder: A Kerr > S Devine ≈ M Kapp > T Brits
Final Tips & Conditional Strategy
If NZ-W bat first: Boost Devine, A Kerr, and add a fourth bowler (Eden Carson or Bess Illing) for wickets as SA chase pressure builds.
If SA-W bat first: Prioritise Brits/Wolvaardt stacks and Klaas/Khaka for death-overs wickets; keep Kapp locked.
Chasing bias vs sample quirk: Toss often sees chasing chosen, but recent wins have skewed bat-first—don’t overfit; build for both innings with 3 wicket-takers.
GL punts: Tryon (cameo + 5–6 overs if conditions grip), Hannah Rowe (form), Ayabonga Khaka (PP + death 3-fers).
Summary: Slight edge to SA-W on form/H2H, but NZ-W’s AR core (Devine/A Kerr) can swing contests. Go all-rounder heavy, add 2 NZ seamers + 1 SA spinner or 2 SA seamers + 1 NZ seamer based on toss, and captain A Kerr for the safest all-phase impact.