Match Details

  • Match: New Zealand vs West Indies, T20I

  • Date & Time: 6 Nov, 11:45 AM IST

  • Venue: Eden Park

  • Playing XIs: Not announced yet

  • Recent Form:

    • New Zealand: L, L, L, L, W

    • West Indies: W, W, W, W, L

Quick Match Preview

  • Momentum: WI bring the hotter form (4 wins in last 5). NZ have struggled (4 losses in last 5) but tend to lift at Eden Park.

  • Recent H2H snippets: Mixed—edge to WI lately, but NZ’s key all-rounders (Santner, Neesham) and new-ball pair (Duffy/Jamieson) keep them in it.

  • Toss factor: Eden Park favors chasing (teams choose to chase ~60%; wins while chasing ~70%). Expect the captain winning the toss to bowl first.

Win Probability (pre-toss)

Team

Win %

West Indies

54%

New Zealand

46%

Rationale: WI’s superior current form and multiple in-form all-rounders (Holder, Chase, Shepherd) slightly outweigh NZ’s venue familiarity.

Pitch & Venue Analysis – Eden Park

  • Type: Balanced but pace-friendly.

  • Avg 1st inns score: 147

  • Avg wickets/inning: ~6

  • Boundary sizes: ~65m square, 55m straight → mis-hits can travel; finishers thrive.

  • Bowling vs Batting FP split: BOWL ~50.3% vs BAT ~49.7% (balanced overall)

  • Pace vs Spin (Fantasy Points trend): Pacers > Spinners (notably stronger in 1st inns).

  • Toss trends: Chase preferred (60%) and more wins while chasing (70%).

Fantasy takeaway for this venue

  • Prioritize pace bowlers who bowl PP + death.

  • Stack finishers who bat in overs 14–20; short straight boundaries reward clean hitters.

  • If NZ bat first, their lefties (Conway/Ravindra/Santner) vs WI right-arm pace could be key; if WI chase, Powell/Shepherd/Holder finishing power spikes.

Form & Fantasy Index (Last 5 matches)

New Zealand – Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points

Player

Role

vs WI

vs ENG

vs AUS (4 Oct)

vs SA (26 Jul) / ZIM

vs PAK (Mar/Jul)

Total (5M)

J. Neesham

AR

57

39

194

14

171

475

M. Santner

AR

120

92

14

98

337

T. Robinson

BAT

57

25

37

192

20

331

K. Jamieson

BOW

47

77

46

4

127

301

R. Ravindra

AR

43

20

89

119

286

J. Duffy

BOW

93

39

83

7

46

268

Z. Foulkes

BOW

95

32

34

64

246

M. Bracewell

AR

5

44

58

14

66

187

D. Conway

WK

33

2

5

97

172

D. Mitchell

BAT

23

17

17

62

52

171

M. Chapman

BAT

17

50

28

18

7

120

West Indies – Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points

Player

Role

vs NZ

vs BAN (31 Oct)

vs BAN (29 Oct)

vs BAN (27 Oct)

vs NEP/PAK (Sep–Aug)

Total (5M)

J. Holder

AR

38

91

96

124

60

409

R. Chase

AR

160

138

31

12

64

405

A. Hosein

BOW

36

48

130

97

61

372

R. Shepherd

AR

58

114

125

57

16

370

S. Hope

WK

109

101

86

19

346

A. Athanaze

BAT

42

5

106

64

112

329

J. Seales

BOW

106

23

107

17

253

R. Powell

BAT

63

25

15

92

56

251

M. Forde

BOW

84

45

37

28

37

231

A. Auguste

BAT

6

116

79

31

39

271

B. King

BAT

7

20

21

57

23

Eden Park Fantasy Lens (sample size at venue)

  • Frequent C/VC here: Roston Chase, Mitchell Santner, Mark Chapman (have featured as C/VC previously).

  • Top venue performers (avg FP): Santner (78 in 3), Chapman (59 in 4), Duffy (41 in 3).

Powerplay & Death Overs Impact

Powerplay (Overs 1–6)

  • NZ bowlers: Jacob Duffy, Kyle Jamieson, Zachary Foulkes – hit-the-deck seamers; wicket threat on a pace-helping deck.

  • WI bowlers: Akeal Hosein (can take new ball vs right-handers), Jayden Seales, Matthew Forde – seam movement + LBW/bowled modes in play.

  • Bats to watch:

    • NZ: Devon Conway (anchor), Tim Robinson (aggression = ceiling points).

    • WI: Brandon King (starts quick), Shai Hope (anchor who converts).

Middle & Death (Overs 7–20)

  • Death bowlers (points gold):

    • WI: Romario Shepherd, Jason Holder – both bowl 18–20 and swing the bat late.

    • NZ: James Neesham, Kyle Jamieson/Jacob Duffy – wickets + economy bonus chances.

  • Finishers with bat: Rovman Powell, Shepherd, Holder; for NZ Neesham, Ravindra (if held back), Mitchell.

H2H & Consistency Nuggets

  • Perfect Lineup frequency (recent sample):

    • WI: Holder (9), Hosein (6), Shepherd (5), Chase (4)

    • NZ: Duffy (6), Santner (5), Neesham (3), Conway (6)

  • Differential trend: Jayden Seales and Jacob Duffy show high recent bowling averages but lower selection %—GL upside.

MVP Picks (Safe)

  1. Jason Holder (WI, AR): Wickets across phases + late hitting = multi-stat security.

  2. Mitchell Santner (NZ, AR): Role flexibility; adds catches and economy.

  3. James Neesham (NZ, AR): Death overs + finisher role; ceiling proven.

Differential Picks (High Upside)

  • Romario Shepherd (WI, AR): Death-over wicket clusters + six-hitting.

  • Jayden Seales (WI, BOW): New-ball strike threat; formy.

  • Tim Robinson (NZ, BAT): Boom-or-bust top-order with massive ceiling at short boundaries.

  • Jacob Duffy (NZ, BOW): Venue record decent; PP wickets bring 3x bonus potential.

Suggested Dream11 Combination (Pre-toss)

WK (1): Shai Hope (safe) / Devon Conway (alt if NZ chase)
BAT (3–4): Tim Robinson, Rovman Powell, Alick Athanaze (form), Mark Chapman (venue record)
AR (3): Jason Holder (C), James Neesham (VC), Mitchell Santner
BOW (3–4): Jayden Seales, Jacob Duffy, Akeal Hosein, Kyle Jamieson (alt GL)

XI Example (Safe/Hybrid):
Hope (WK), Robinson, Powell, Athanaze, Holder (C), Neesham (VC), Santner, Hosein, Seales, Duffy, Jamieson
Bench/GL swaps: Conway ↔ Athanaze/Robinson (if NZ chase), Shepherd ↔ Jamieson (GL), Chapman ↔ Athanaze (venue punt).

Conditional Strategy (Adjust at Toss)

  • If WI bowl first: Load Seales/Hosein/Holder, keep Neesham; consider Conway if NZ chase later (2nd inns anchor).

  • If NZ bowl first: Prioritize Duffy/Jamieson + Santner; from WI batting, Powell/Shepherd for death hitting while chasing.

  • Batting first at Eden Park: Target top-order anchors (Hope/Conway) + one enforcer (Robinson/Powell).

  • Chasing at Eden Park: Heavier on finishers (Holder/Shepherd/Neesham) and death bowlers.

Final Tips

  • Pace bias: Carry 3–4 pacers; one spinner (Santner or Hosein) for control + match-up.

  • All-rounders are king: Holder/Neesham/Santner/Shepherd give multi-path scoring—prioritize two as C/VC pool.

  • Monitor XIs: If A. Jangoo starts at WK for WI, he’s a value punt; otherwise Hope is safer.

  • GL Edge: Pair Seales + Duffy for PP wicket clusters; add Robinson for ceiling.

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