Match Details
Teams: New Zealand vs West Indies
Date & Time: 5 Nov, 11:45 AM IST
Venue: Eden Park, Auckland
Tournament: T20I (Playing XIs: Not announced yet)
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Current form:
NZ: L • L • L • W • W (mixed, trending better)
WI: W • W • W • L • W (strong momentum)
Recent H2H snapshot: Split; both sides have traded wins lately.
Narrative: Eden Park’s short straight boundary (≈55m) elevates six-hitting, but the venue numbers suggest a balanced pitch with almost even BAT/BOWL fantasy share. NZ tend to chase well, while WI’s recent form is powered by their all-rounders (Holder, Shepherd) and Akeal Hosein’s impact in powerplay/middle.
Win Probability (Modelled from form, H2H, venue & toss trends)
Scenario | NZ | WI | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
Overall (pre-toss) | 45% | 55% | WI arrive hotter on form & all-round depth |
If NZ bat first | 60% | 40% | NZ’s record batting first: L L W W W → 3/5 wins |
If NZ chase | 80% | 20% | NZ chasing trend: L W W W W → 4/5 wins |
If WI bat first | 60% | 40% | WI batting first: W W L L L → 2/5 wins |
If WI chase | 60% | 40% | WI chasing: W L W L L → 2/5 wins |
Venue toss bias | — | — | Eden Park results lean to chasing (≈70%) despite balanced pitch |
Reading: If WI win toss and bowl first, NZ edge up. If NZ bat poorly, WI’s hitters make chasing straightforward.
Pitch & Venue Analysis – Eden Park
Ground dimensions: ~65m square, 55m straight → value for straight hitters/finishers.
Avg 1st inns score: ~145
Wkts lost/inn: ~6
Fantasy share: BOWL 50.5% | BAT 49.5% → balanced.
Pace vs Spin (fantasy pts):
Overall: Pace 11.5 vs Spin 10.5 (slight pace tilt)
1st inns: Pace 13.1 > Spin 9.0 (new ball & cross-seam value)
2nd inns: Spin 12.0 > Pace 9.7 (grip & misc. errors under pressure)
Toss trends: Teams prefer chasing (≈60%); wins chasing ≈70%.
Fantasy angle @ Eden Park
Prioritize new-ball pacers and death-over hitters.
Left-arm spin can control the back end; Akeal Hosein fits the bill.
Venue specialists noted: Mark Chapman (bat), Ish Sodhi (leg-spin middle overs).
Form & Fantasy Highlights (Last 5–10 matches snapshot)
New Zealand
Player | Role | Last 5 fantasy points | Total | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
James Neesham | AR | 39, 194, 14, 171, 49 | 467 | 93.4 |
Tim Robinson | BAT | 25, 37, 192, 20, 135 | 409 | 81.8 |
Tim Seifert | WK | 77, 96, 12, 68, 149 | 402 | 80.4 |
Rachin Ravindra | AR | 20, 89, 119, 15, 112 | 355 | 71.0 |
Ish Sodhi | BOW | 16, 167, 85, 36, 38 | 342 | 68.4 |
Michael Bracewell | AR | 44, 58, 14, 66, 103 | 285 | 57.0 |
Mitchell Santner | AR | 92, 13, 14, 98, 52 | 269 | 53.8 |
Z. Foulkes | AR | 32, 34, 64, 21, 110 | 261 | 52.2 |
Kyle Jamieson | BOW | 77, 46, 4, 127, 6 | 260 | 52.0 |
Jacob Duffy | BOW | 39, 83, 7, 46, 83 | 258 | 51.6 |
Devon Conway | WK | 2, 5, 97, 35, 101 | 240 | 48.0 |
Daryl Mitchell | BAT | 17, 17, 62, 52, 34 | 182 | 36.4 |
Mitchell Hay | WK | 6, 40, 55, 27, 45 | 173 | 34.6 |
Mark Chapman | BAT | 50, 28, 18, 7, 2 | 105 | 21.0 |
West Indies
Player | Role | Last 5 fantasy points | Total | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Akeal Hosein | BOW | 48, 130, 97, 61, 96 | 432 | 86.4 |
Jason Holder | AR | 91, 96, 124, 60, 56 | 427 | 85.4 |
Romario Shepherd | AR | 114, 125, 57, 16, 47 | 359 | 71.8 |
Akeal Jangoo | WK | 76, 174, 30, 43 (4) | 323 | 80.8 |
Roston Chase | AR | 138, 31, 12, 64, 60 | 305 | 61.0 |
Alick Athanaze | BAT | 5, 106, 64, 112, 6 | 293 | 58.6 |
A. Auguste | BAT | 116, 79, 31, 39 (4) | 265 | 66.3 |
Shai Hope | WK | 101, 86, 19, 31, 6 | 243 | 48.6 |
Rovman Powell | BAT | 25, 15, 92, 56, 21 | 209 | 41.8 |
Matthew Forde | BOW | 45, 37, 28, 37, 45 | 192 | 38.4 |
Khary Pierre | BOW | 81, 14, 51, 4, 31 | 181 | 36.2 |
Brandon King | BAT | 20, 21, 57, 23, 46 | 167 | 33.4 |
Sherfane Rutherford | BAT | 2, 2, 107, 25, 19 | 155 | 31.0 |
Jayden Seales | BOW | 23, 107, 17 (3) | 147 | 49.0 |
Shamar Springer | AR | 33, 23 (2) | 56 | 28.0 |
Top Consistent Performers (recent fantasy)
Jason Holder (WI, AR): ~104 avg (10 m) — wickets + finishing runs.
James Neesham (NZ, AR): ~93 avg (5 m) — high-ceiling death hitter/occasional 2-3 overs.
T Robinson (NZ, BAT): ~81 avg (5 m) — purple patch, one monster score.
Akeal Hosein (WI, BOW): ~76 avg (10 m) — PP wickets + economy.
A. Jangoo (WI, WK): ~80 avg (4 m) — when picked, reliable points.
Rachin Ravindra (NZ, AR): ~71 avg (5 m) — top-order intent + part-time spin.
Ish Sodhi (NZ, BOW): ~68 avg (5 m) — wicket-taking leggie.
High recent totals (last 5)
J Neesham (NZ, AR): 467 pts
A Hosein (WI, BOW): 432 pts
J Holder (WI, AR): 427 pts
T Robinson (NZ, BAT): 409 pts
T Seifert (NZ, WK): 402 pts
R Shepherd (WI, AR): 359 pts
Powerplay & Death Overs – Impact Map
Powerplay (0–6)
WI bowling: Akeal Hosein (LAO) + a seamer; Hosein’s PP strike + dot-ball pressure = WK/BAT dismissals.
NZ bowling: Jamieson/Duffy new-ball bounce/swing at Eden Park straight boundaries; upside v WI right-handers.
PP bat targets: T Seifert / Devon Conway (NZ) and Brandon King (WI).
Middle & Death (16–20)
WI hitters: Holder, Shepherd, Powell → straight boundary value.
NZ hitters: Neesham, Ravindra (if set).
Death bowling:
NZ: Jamieson at the back end; Sodhi closes middle with wickets.
WI: Holder/Shepherd mix; Hosein can sneak a late over if grip.
Fantasy tip: Stack 1–2 finishers who bowl as well (Holder, Neesham, Shepherd) for dual-role floors and captaincy upside.
Key Picks
MVP (Safe C/VC Pool)
Jason Holder (WI, AR): Form + 3-dimensional role; safe captain.
James Neesham (NZ, AR): Recent spike; perfect at Eden Park with bat finishing + a couple overs.
Akeal Hosein (WI, BOW): PP wicket threat; can control 2nd inns.
Differentials (High-Upside, Lower Ownership)
T Robinson (NZ, BAT): Ceiling innings in recent set; benefits from short straight.
A Jangoo (WI, WK): When picked, consistent points; leverage over popular Conway/Seifert.
Mark Chapman (NZ, BAT): Noted venue returns; one good knock swings contests.
Romario Shepherd (WI, AR): Death hitter + occasional death overs = spike potential.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Pre-toss)
Balance for a balanced pitch; adjust for toss/lineups.
WK (2): T Seifert, D Conway
BAT (3): T Robinson, R Powell, B King
AR (3): J Holder (C), J Neesham (VC), R Ravindra
BOW (3): A Hosein, J Duffy, K Jamieson
Bench/Alt swaps (risk/venue punts): M Chapman (for King/Powell), M Bracewell (for Ravindra), R Shepherd (for a bowler if batting depth needed).
Final Tips & Toss Tactics
If NZ bat first: Prioritize Neesham, Seifert/Robinson, and Jamieson/Duffy. Consider double-NZ top order; keep Hosein for PP wickets.
If WI bat first: Elevate Holder, Powell/Shepherd, retain Hosein; consider Sodhi for middle-over wickets against WI hitters.
If chasing at Eden Park: Slight bias to chasing side’s finishers and 2nd-innings spinner (Hosein/Santner/Sodhi type).
Safety: Lock at least 2 all-rounders (Holder + Neesham) for dual scoring.
Late swap: If A. Jangoo starts, he’s a strong WK differential over more popular options.