Match Details

  • Match: New Zealand vs England, T20I

  • Date & Time: 20 Oct, 11:45 AM IST

  • Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch

  • Playing XIs: Not announced yet

  • Tournament: T20I Series

Quick Match Preview

  • Recent form:

    • New Zealand: L, L, W, W, W (mixed; two recent losses)

    • England: W, W, W, L, W (strong run)

  • H2H snapshot: Last 5 overall listed twice in your dump—net read is ENG slightly ahead recently, but NZ have punched back in a few.

  • Context edges: Hagley Oval trends low-scoring (avg 1st inns ~122), bowler-friendly, pace > spin, and teams win more while chasing (60%). That tilts strategy towards stacking pacers and top-order powerplay hitters.

Win Probability (modelled from recent form + venue tilt)

Team

Win %

England

55%

New Zealand

45%

Pitch & Venue Analysis – Hagley Oval

  • Average 1st Inns: ~122

  • Wickets/inn: ~7

  • Fantasy split: Bowlers dominate (57.4%) vs Batters (42.6%)

  • Innings FPts: 1st inns – Bowl 229.4 vs Bat 140.2; 2nd inns – Bowl 133.0 vs Bat 129.1

  • Pace vs Spin (fantasy points per over):

    • Overall: Pace 13.0 vs Spin 10.1

    • 1st inns: Pace 16.0 vs Spin 8.7

    • 2nd inns: Pace 9.6 vs Spin 12.0 (spin improves late)

  • Toss: Bat/Chase decisions split 50–50, but wins: Chasing 60%.

Fantasy takeaway: It’s a bowling venue with a clear pace bias, especially early. Prioritize new-ball pacers and PP openers. If defending, leg-spin/slow balls come into play in the 2nd innings.

Venue Fantasy Nuggets

  • Top at Hagley (NZ sample): J Duffy (Avg ~44, 3 m), K Jamieson (~42), T Seifert (~40), D Mitchell (~38).

  • Captain/VC at venue historically: K Jamieson, J Duffy have featured.

Team Form & Fantasy Leaders (Last 5–10 as per dump)

England – Heat Map

  • Power picks (L5 avg):

    • P Salt – 95 avg (7 m)

    • J Buttler – 77 avg (10 m)

    • S Curran – 63 avg (3 m)

    • J Overton – 61 avg (6 m)

    • L Dawson – 59 avg (7 m)

  • Wicket threat: A Rashid, L Wood, B Carse

  • Ceiling hitters: Salt, Buttler, Brook

  • Below par lately: T Banton (30 avg in 7)

New Zealand – Heat Map

  • Power picks (L5 avg):

    • T Robinson – 96 avg (4 m)

    • J Neesham – 87 avg (5 m)

    • T Seifert – 87 avg (10 m)

    • R Ravindra – 83 avg (4 m)

    • M Henry – 82 avg (6 m)

  • Wicket threat: M Henry, J Duffy, K Jamieson

  • Below par lately: M Chapman (39 avg in 9)

Fantasy Points Snapshot (Recent Sample)

New Zealand – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points

Player

Role

Match 1

Match 2

Match 3

Match 4

Match 5

Total Pts

Avg Pts

T Seifert

WK

96

12

68

149

132

457

91

R Ravindra

BAT

89

119

15

112

108

443

89

J Neesham

AR

194

14

171

49

10

438

88

T Robinson

BAT

37

192

20

135

36

420

84

M Henry

BOW

32

71

75

90

110

378

76

K Jamieson

BOW

46

4

127

6

87

270

54

Z Foulkes

AR

32

34

64

21

110

261

52

M Bracewell

AR

58

14

66

103

12

253

51

J Duffy

BOW

83

7

46

83

25

244

49

M Santner

AR

13

14

98

52

65

242

48

D Conway

WK

2

5

97

35

101

240

48

D Mitchell

BAT

17

62

52

34

46

211

42

B Jacobs

BAT

28

10

12

76

126 (4 m)

32

M Chapman

BAT

28

18

7

2

30

85

17

England – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points

Player

Role

Match 1

Match 2

Match 3

Match 4

Match 5

Total Pts

Avg Pts

P Salt

WK

51

183

259

2

108

603

121

J Buttler

WK

10

76

195

69

56

406

81

A Rashid

BOW

122

43

38

33

77

313

63

J Overton

AR

83

50

47

24

82

286

57

J Bethell

BAT

41

48

68

17

110

284

57

B Carse

BOW

43

53

24

94

45

259

52

L Dawson

AR

76

41

75

14

44

250

50

H Brook

BAT

81

10

75

66

14

246

49

L Wood

BOW

23

14

12

73

117

239

48

S Curran

AR

66

74

51

4

32

227

45

R Ahmed

AR

53

19

4

95

10

181

36

J Cox

BAT

127

2

40

169 (3 m)

56

T Banton

BAT

79

23

4

9

4

119

24

S Baker

BOW

8

Phase Impact: Powerplay & Death Overs

Powerplay (0–6)

  • Pace dominates early at HagleyHenry, Duffy, Wood prime for new-ball wickets.

  • PP bat targets: Salt, Buttler, Seifert, Robinson — all rapid starters; Salt has the best ceiling recently.

Middle (7–15)

  • Control & match-ups: Rashid (ENG) vs NZ RHBs; Santner (if plays) can choke run-rate vs ENG RHB stack.

Death (16–20)

  • ENG: Sam Curran/Jamie Overton have death-ball roles; wicket chances + batting cameo upside.

  • NZ: Henry/Duffy likely return; Neesham can bowl 18/20 and bat late.

MVP Picks (Safe Ceiling)

  1. Phil Salt (ENG) – Red-hot form, PP usage, multi-boundary innings profile.

  2. Jos Buttler (ENG) – Stability + finishing; safe C/VC in any toss scenario.

  3. Matt Henry (NZ) – Venue + new-ball angle; wicket-taking spells likely.

Differential Picks (High Upside, Lower Field)

  • Tim Robinson (NZ BAT)96 avg (4 m), aggressive intent up top.

  • Jacob Duffy (NZ BOW) – Proven at Hagley; can spike with 3-fers.

  • Brydon Carse / Luke Wood (ENG BOW) – Suited to conditions; burst potential.

  • Liam Dawson (ENG AR) – Under-owned utility; bat+ball paths, especially if ENG defend.

Suggested Dream11 Combination (Bowling heavy 3-2-2-4)

WK (3):

  • Phil Salt (ENG)C (Option 1)

  • Jos Buttler (ENG)C (Option 2)

  • Tim Seifert (NZ)

BAT (2):

  • Harry Brook (ENG)

  • Tim Robinson (NZ)

AR (2):

  • Sam Curran (ENG)

  • James Neesham (NZ)

BOW (4):

  • Matt Henry (NZ)VC (Option 1)

  • Jacob Duffy (NZ)

  • Luke Wood (ENG)

  • Adil Rashid (ENG)VC (Option 2 if ENG defend)

Team split: ENG 6 / NZ 5.
Bench pivots: K Jamieson (NZ) ↔ Duffy; L Dawson (ENG) ↔ Neesham/Rashid depending on toss.

Conditional Strategy & Toss Matrix

If England bowl first / NZ bat first

  • Lean harder into pace: Henry, Duffy, Wood all in.

  • Captaincy: Salt/Buttler still fine (chase-friendly), VC Henry for new-ball payoff.

  • Consider Jamieson if XI confirmed.

If England bat first / NZ chase

  • Keep both Salt + Buttler; add Brook/Curran value.

  • Rashid gains if ENG defend (middle/late wickets).

  • VC can move to Buttler (anchor + death hitting).

If NZ bowl first / ENG bat first

  • Maintain 3–4 ENG bat/AR, 3–4 pacers overall.

  • Differentials: Carse/Wood over a spinner; Dawson if surface worn.

Final Tips

  • Monitor XIs: If Ravindra opens, his dual-role raises C/VC viability.

  • Avoid over-stacking spin unless you see an unusually dry surface.

  • Bank PP wickets & PP hitters at this ground.

  • Be flexible with Jamieson vs Duffy call once toss/lineups land.

Good luck! Want me to adjust the XI live once the playing XIs drop?

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