Match Details
Match: New Zealand vs England, T20I
Date & Time: 20 Oct, 11:45 AM IST
Venue: Hagley Oval, Christchurch
Playing XIs: Not announced yet
Tournament: T20I Series
Quick Match Preview
Recent form:
New Zealand: L, L, W, W, W (mixed; two recent losses)
England: W, W, W, L, W (strong run)
H2H snapshot: Last 5 overall listed twice in your dump—net read is ENG slightly ahead recently, but NZ have punched back in a few.
Context edges: Hagley Oval trends low-scoring (avg 1st inns ~122), bowler-friendly, pace > spin, and teams win more while chasing (60%). That tilts strategy towards stacking pacers and top-order powerplay hitters.
Win Probability (modelled from recent form + venue tilt)
Team | Win % |
---|---|
England | 55% |
New Zealand | 45% |
Pitch & Venue Analysis – Hagley Oval
Average 1st Inns: ~122
Wickets/inn: ~7
Fantasy split: Bowlers dominate (57.4%) vs Batters (42.6%)
Innings FPts: 1st inns – Bowl 229.4 vs Bat 140.2; 2nd inns – Bowl 133.0 vs Bat 129.1
Pace vs Spin (fantasy points per over):
Overall: Pace 13.0 vs Spin 10.1
1st inns: Pace 16.0 vs Spin 8.7
2nd inns: Pace 9.6 vs Spin 12.0 (spin improves late)
Toss: Bat/Chase decisions split 50–50, but wins: Chasing 60%.
Fantasy takeaway: It’s a bowling venue with a clear pace bias, especially early. Prioritize new-ball pacers and PP openers. If defending, leg-spin/slow balls come into play in the 2nd innings.
Venue Fantasy Nuggets
Top at Hagley (NZ sample): J Duffy (Avg ~44, 3 m), K Jamieson (~42), T Seifert (~40), D Mitchell (~38).
Captain/VC at venue historically: K Jamieson, J Duffy have featured.
Team Form & Fantasy Leaders (Last 5–10 as per dump)
England – Heat Map
Power picks (L5 avg):
P Salt – 95 avg (7 m)
J Buttler – 77 avg (10 m)
S Curran – 63 avg (3 m)
J Overton – 61 avg (6 m)
L Dawson – 59 avg (7 m)
Wicket threat: A Rashid, L Wood, B Carse
Ceiling hitters: Salt, Buttler, Brook
Below par lately: T Banton (30 avg in 7)
New Zealand – Heat Map
Power picks (L5 avg):
T Robinson – 96 avg (4 m)
J Neesham – 87 avg (5 m)
T Seifert – 87 avg (10 m)
R Ravindra – 83 avg (4 m)
M Henry – 82 avg (6 m)
Wicket threat: M Henry, J Duffy, K Jamieson
Below par lately: M Chapman (39 avg in 9)
Fantasy Points Snapshot (Recent Sample)
New Zealand – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total Pts | Avg Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
T Seifert | WK | 96 | 12 | 68 | 149 | 132 | 457 | 91 |
R Ravindra | BAT | 89 | 119 | 15 | 112 | 108 | 443 | 89 |
J Neesham | AR | 194 | 14 | 171 | 49 | 10 | 438 | 88 |
T Robinson | BAT | 37 | 192 | 20 | 135 | 36 | 420 | 84 |
M Henry | BOW | 32 | 71 | 75 | 90 | 110 | 378 | 76 |
K Jamieson | BOW | 46 | 4 | 127 | 6 | 87 | 270 | 54 |
Z Foulkes | AR | 32 | 34 | 64 | 21 | 110 | 261 | 52 |
M Bracewell | AR | 58 | 14 | 66 | 103 | 12 | 253 | 51 |
J Duffy | BOW | 83 | 7 | 46 | 83 | 25 | 244 | 49 |
M Santner | AR | 13 | 14 | 98 | 52 | 65 | 242 | 48 |
D Conway | WK | 2 | 5 | 97 | 35 | 101 | 240 | 48 |
D Mitchell | BAT | 17 | 62 | 52 | 34 | 46 | 211 | 42 |
B Jacobs | BAT | 28 | 10 | 12 | 76 | – | 126 (4 m) | 32 |
M Chapman | BAT | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 85 | 17 |
England – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total Pts | Avg Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
P Salt | WK | 51 | 183 | 259 | 2 | 108 | 603 | 121 |
J Buttler | WK | 10 | 76 | 195 | 69 | 56 | 406 | 81 |
A Rashid | BOW | 122 | 43 | 38 | 33 | 77 | 313 | 63 |
J Overton | AR | 83 | 50 | 47 | 24 | 82 | 286 | 57 |
J Bethell | BAT | 41 | 48 | 68 | 17 | 110 | 284 | 57 |
B Carse | BOW | 43 | 53 | 24 | 94 | 45 | 259 | 52 |
L Dawson | AR | 76 | 41 | 75 | 14 | 44 | 250 | 50 |
H Brook | BAT | 81 | 10 | 75 | 66 | 14 | 246 | 49 |
L Wood | BOW | 23 | 14 | 12 | 73 | 117 | 239 | 48 |
S Curran | AR | 66 | 74 | 51 | 4 | 32 | 227 | 45 |
R Ahmed | AR | 53 | 19 | 4 | 95 | 10 | 181 | 36 |
J Cox | BAT | 127 | 2 | 40 | – | – | 169 (3 m) | 56 |
T Banton | BAT | 79 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 119 | 24 |
S Baker | BOW | 8 | – | – | – | – |
Phase Impact: Powerplay & Death Overs
Powerplay (0–6)
Pace dominates early at Hagley → Henry, Duffy, Wood prime for new-ball wickets.
PP bat targets: Salt, Buttler, Seifert, Robinson — all rapid starters; Salt has the best ceiling recently.
Middle (7–15)
Control & match-ups: Rashid (ENG) vs NZ RHBs; Santner (if plays) can choke run-rate vs ENG RHB stack.
Death (16–20)
ENG: Sam Curran/Jamie Overton have death-ball roles; wicket chances + batting cameo upside.
NZ: Henry/Duffy likely return; Neesham can bowl 18/20 and bat late.
MVP Picks (Safe Ceiling)
Phil Salt (ENG) – Red-hot form, PP usage, multi-boundary innings profile.
Jos Buttler (ENG) – Stability + finishing; safe C/VC in any toss scenario.
Matt Henry (NZ) – Venue + new-ball angle; wicket-taking spells likely.
Differential Picks (High Upside, Lower Field)
Tim Robinson (NZ BAT) – 96 avg (4 m), aggressive intent up top.
Jacob Duffy (NZ BOW) – Proven at Hagley; can spike with 3-fers.
Brydon Carse / Luke Wood (ENG BOW) – Suited to conditions; burst potential.
Liam Dawson (ENG AR) – Under-owned utility; bat+ball paths, especially if ENG defend.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Bowling heavy 3-2-2-4)
WK (3):
Phil Salt (ENG) – C (Option 1)
Jos Buttler (ENG) – C (Option 2)
Tim Seifert (NZ)
BAT (2):
Harry Brook (ENG)
Tim Robinson (NZ)
AR (2):
Sam Curran (ENG)
James Neesham (NZ)
BOW (4):
Matt Henry (NZ) – VC (Option 1)
Jacob Duffy (NZ)
Luke Wood (ENG)
Adil Rashid (ENG) – VC (Option 2 if ENG defend)
Team split: ENG 6 / NZ 5.
Bench pivots: K Jamieson (NZ) ↔ Duffy; L Dawson (ENG) ↔ Neesham/Rashid depending on toss.
Conditional Strategy & Toss Matrix
If England bowl first / NZ bat first
Lean harder into pace: Henry, Duffy, Wood all in.
Captaincy: Salt/Buttler still fine (chase-friendly), VC Henry for new-ball payoff.
Consider Jamieson if XI confirmed.
If England bat first / NZ chase
Keep both Salt + Buttler; add Brook/Curran value.
Rashid gains if ENG defend (middle/late wickets).
VC can move to Buttler (anchor + death hitting).
If NZ bowl first / ENG bat first
Maintain 3–4 ENG bat/AR, 3–4 pacers overall.
Differentials: Carse/Wood over a spinner; Dawson if surface worn.
Final Tips
Monitor XIs: If Ravindra opens, his dual-role raises C/VC viability.
Avoid over-stacking spin unless you see an unusually dry surface.
Bank PP wickets & PP hitters at this ground.
Be flexible with Jamieson vs Duffy call once toss/lineups land.
Good luck! Want me to adjust the XI live once the playing XIs drop?