Match Details
Teams: New Zealand vs England
Date & Time: 26 Oct, 06:30 AM IST
Venue: Bay Oval
Quick Match Preview
Recent Form
New Zealand: W W W L W (strong momentum; top-order in form, multi-AR depth)
England: W L L W W (improving; star power in middle & pace threats)
H2H Snapshot (last 5): Mixed and streaky on both sides; NZ vs ENG shows trades of wins with no runaway trend.
Context for Fantasy: Bay Oval trends to bowler-influenced games with ~195 average 1st-innings score and ~55% bowling impact. Prioritize strike bowlers and bowling all-rounders; anchor batters with high floor.
Win Probability (Modelled from form, venue bias & H2H)
Team | Win Chance |
|---|---|
New Zealand | 52% |
England | 48% |
(Toss and batting first can swing this ±3–5% given the venue’s low par and chasing comfort.)
Pitch & Venue Analysis – Bay Oval
Ground Dimensions: ~70m square & straight.
Scoring: Avg 1st inns ~195; low-scoring tendency.
Fantasy Point Split: Bowlers ~54.8% vs Batters ~45.2%.
Innings Trend:
1st inns: Bowlers ~260 fp vs Batters ~208
2nd inns: Bowlers ~200 fp vs Batters ~172
Pace vs Spin: Fairly even; pace slightly ahead (Pace ~6.8–6.9 FPO, Spin ~5.9–6.2).
Toss: Captains prefer chasing (≈70%); win rate chasing ~60%.
Fantasy angle: Load 3–4 frontline bowlers + 2 bowling AR; anchor 1–2 stable top-order batters per side.
Venue Fantasy Insights
Captains/VC trends here: M. Bracewell has spiked previously at Bay Oval.
Safer skill mix: New-ball pacers + middle-overs wrist/left-arm spin + a finisher who bowls.
Form & Fantasy Radar (Last 5–10 matches snapshot provided)
NEW ZEALAND – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total Pts (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R Ravindra | BAT/AR | 118 | 236 | 47 | 196 | 4 | 601 |
M Chapman | BAT | 246 | 83 | 111 | 81 | 36 | 557 |
M Bracewell | AR | 156 | 34 | 69 | 172 | 69 | 500 |
M Henry | BOW | 68 | 156 | 38 | 88 | 123 | 473 |
D Mitchell | BAT | 95 | 58 | 148 | 87 | 83 | 471 |
D Conway | WK | 70 | 22 | 112 | 76 | 155 | 435 |
K Williamson | BAT | 19 | 184 | 141 | 29 | 21 | 394 |
M Santner | AR | 73 | 101 | 92 | 36 | 89 | 391 |
J Duffy | BOW | 78 | 96 | 96 | 45 | 58 | 373 |
T Latham | WK | 28 | 16 | 26 | 91 | 206 | 367 |
N Smith | BOW | 56 | 116 | 6 | 29 | 43 | 250 |
K Jamieson | BOW | 43 | 11 | 56 | 43 | 81 | 234 |
W Young | BAT | 5 | 27 | 37 | 54 | 1 | 124 |
Z Foulkes | BOW | – | – | – | – | 4 | 4 |
ENGLAND – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total Pts (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J Archer | BOW | 161 | 220 | 22 | 126 | 135 | 664 |
J Root | BAT | 154 | 105 | 30 | 64 | 300 | 653 |
A Rashid | BOW | 107 | 101 | 119 | 111 | 171 | 609 |
J Bethell | AR | 204 | 140 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 416 |
J Buttler | WK | 146 | 121 | 25 | 87 | 21 | 400 |
J Smith | WK | 120 | 1 | 116 | 148 | 1 | 386 |
R Ahmed | BOW | 46 | 60 | 82 | 4 | 130 | 322 |
J Overton | AR | 14 | 104 | 23 | 85 | 81 | 307 |
S Curran | AR | 48 | 67 | 43 | 16 | 95 | 269 |
T Banton | WK | 82 | 74 | 30 | 28 | 50 | 264 |
B Carse | BOW | 84 | 24 | 13 | 83 | 58 | 262 |
H Brook | BAT | 15 | 55 | 24 | 52 | 109 | 255 |
B Duckett | BAT | 63 | 20 | 13 | 120 | 9 | 225 |
L Dawson | AR | 55 | 35 | 40 | – | – | 130 |
L Wood | BOW | 4 | 15 | – | – | – | 19 |
S Baker | BOW | 4 | – | – | – | – | 4 |
England – Standouts
Jofra Archer (BOW): 664 pts in last 5; avg ~123 recently; multiple hauls.
Joe Root (BAT): 653 pts (last 5 feed) / 117 avg over 10; high floor anchor.
Adil Rashid (BOW): 609 pts; consistent middle-overs wickets.
Jos Buttler (WK): 400 pts; finishing + catches.
Jacob Bethell (AR): 416 pts; 102 avg in 6 – upside all-round role.
Differentials: B Carse, Ben Duckett, T Banton (role-dependent).
New Zealand – Standouts
Rachin Ravindra (AR): 601 pts (5); ~120 avg; dual-impact.
Matt Henry (BOW): 473 pts; ~94 avg; new-ball menace.
Daryl Mitchell (AR): 471 pts; bankable batting + part-time overs.
Devon Conway (WK): 435 pts; 80 avg across last 5 in H2H pane.
Michael Bracewell (AR): 500 pts; Bay Oval spike; utility overs.
Differentials: Adil Duffy (J Duffy), Mitchell Santner, Kane Williamson (role/fitness managed), Kyle Jamieson (death burst if picked).
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Powerplay (1–10):
NZ: M. Henry new-ball threat; Jamieson bounce; Santner can squeeze if early spin used.
ENG: Jofra Archer pace & seam; B. Carse as partner (role-dependent).
Batters to navigate early: Conway, Williamson for NZ; Root, Duckett for ENG.
Middle Overs (11–40):
ENG: Adil Rashid wicket-taking choke; Bethell support overs.
NZ: Santner/Bracewell control & matchups; Ravindra handy.
Death (41–50):
NZ: Henry/Jamieson likely; Duffy if selected.
ENG: Archer at the death (strikes + economy points potential); Curran if he features.
Key Dream11 Picks
MVP (C/VC) Candidates
Jofra Archer (BOW, ENG): PP + death overs on a bowler-weighted venue = ceiling + catch points.
Rachin Ravindra (AR, NZ): Form + top-order batting + possibility of overs; safest dual role.
Joe Root (BAT, ENG): High-floor anchor; ideal VC on low par tracks.
Matt Henry (BOW, NZ): New ball at Bay Oval; 2–3 wickets in range.
Differential Picks
Michael Bracewell (AR, NZ): Venue spike + utility overs + batting float.
Mitchell Santner (AR, NZ): MO control; left-arm angle vs RHB stack.
Jacob Bethell (AR, ENG): Budget AR with role; upside if he bowls 6–8 and bats in top 6.
Ben Duckett (BAT, ENG): If opening, quick 60 potential; leverage vs NZ seam.
Suggested Dream11 Team (Balanced; small leagues)
(Playing XIs not announced; swap per toss/teamsheet.)
WK (1): Jos Buttler
BAT (3): Joe Root, Daryl Mitchell, Devon Conway
AR (4): Rachin Ravindra (C), Michael Bracewell, Mitchell Santner, Jacob Bethell
BOWL (3): Jofra Archer (VC), Matt Henry, Adil Rashid
Bench/Alternates: Ben Duckett, Kyle Jamieson, Sam Curran, Duffy/Carse (role-dependent)
Why this combo? 3 premium bowlers aligned with venue bias, 3 all-rounders for dual scoring, 2 anchors (Root/Conway) plus Buttler’s dual ceiling.
Conditional Strategy & Final Tips
If NZ bat first: Elevate Henry/Jamieson; consider Santner as VC in slow daytime phases. Keep Root VC for chase stability by ENG.
If ENG bat first: Archer (C) becomes high-upside; keep Rashid locked. Duckett in for a NZ AR if he opens.
If pitch looks drier/used: Boost spin – Rashid + Santner + Bracewell; consider downgrading one seamer.
If fresh/green: Double-down on PP pacers (Archer, Henry, Jamieson/Carse).
Risk Trim (GL to SL): In small leagues prefer Root/Buttler/Ravindra/Archer core; in grand leagues rotate VC among Henry/Santner/Bracewell.
Captaincy Shortlist: Archer, Ravindra, Root, Henry
Vice-Captaincy Shortlist: Root, Archer, Santner, Buttler
Good luck!