Match Details
Match: New Zealand vs Australia, T20I
Date & Time: 1 October, 11:45 AM IST
Venue: Bay Oval, Tauranga
Playing XIs: Not announced yet
Short Preview
New Zealand arrive with red-hot form (W-W-W-W-W) and strong records when batting first (4W-1L). Australia are also in good touch (W-L-W-W-W) and historically edge the H2H (AUS 4-1 in last 5). Bay Oval is a balanced deck with an avg 1st inns 159, and a slight chasing bias at the toss in recent games. Expect a tactical battle: NZ’s in-form seamers vs Australia’s power hitters and canny spin.
Win Probability (model based on form + H2H + venue)
Team | Chance |
|---|---|
Australia | 52% |
New Zealand | 48% |
Why: AUS superior recent H2H; NZ have venue familiarity & better immediate form.
Bay Oval Pitch & Venue Analysis
Surface: Balanced – make an even selection of batters & bowlers.
Avg 1st Innings: 159 | Avg wickets/inn: ~7
Toss Trend: Teams have chosen to chase ~60%; results show 60% wins chasing.
Bowling vs Batting FPts:
1st inns: Bowl ~193 vs Bat ~208 → batting slightly ahead early.
2nd inns: Bowl ~202 vs Bat ~161 → bowling impact rises while chasing.
Pace vs Spin (Fantasy pts/over):
1st inns: Spin 13.3 > Pace 10.7
2nd inns: Pace 14.5 > Spin 11.4
Read: Start with a spinner-friendly middle in the first half, then pace dominates late while defending/chasing.
Venue Fantasy Nuggets
Frequent C/VC here: Jacob Duffy; Mark Chapman has popped once.
Top venue performers (avg FPts): Duffy (92), Bracewell (75), Z Foulkes (68), Henry (42), D Mitchell (42).
Form Dashboard (Last 5 Match)
🏏 Last 5 Match Fantasy Points – NZ vs AUS Players
🇳🇿 New Zealand
Player | Role | L5 FPts |
|---|---|---|
R Ravindra | BAT | 89, 119, 15, 112, 108 |
T Seifert | WK | 68, 149, 132, 19, 58 |
M Henry | BOW | 75, 90, 110, 114, 25 |
J Duffy | BOW | 46, 83, 25, 118, 74 |
I Sodhi | BOW | 167, 85, 36, 38, 13 |
D Conway | WK | 97, 35, 101, 29, 63 |
K Jamieson | BOW | 4, 127, 6, 87, 101 |
T Robinson | BAT | 20, 135, 36, 57, 64 |
Z Foulkes | BOW | 34, 64, 21, 110, 15 |
M Bracewell | AR | 66, 103, 12, 39, 12 |
B Sears | BOW | 43, 16, 73, 41, 56 |
D Mitchell | BAT | 52, 34, 46, 17, 14 |
B Jacobs | BAT | 10, 12, 76 |
M Chapman | BAT | 7, 2, 30, 20, 15 |
🇦🇺 Australia
Player | Role | L5 FPts |
|---|---|---|
T David | BAT | 31, 116, 167, 80, 230 |
G Maxwell | AR | 134, 102, 59, 51, 117 |
M Short | BAT | 22, 66, 29, 194, 89 |
B Dwarshuis | BOW | 13, 98, 145, 123, 5 |
A Zampa | BOW | 81, 37, 88, 51, 109 |
J Hazlewood | BOW | 81, 42, 114, 64, 43 |
X Bartlett | BOW | 88, 37, 57, 93, 29 |
M Owen | AR | 18, 14, 81, 14, 105 |
S Abbott | BOW | 20, 61, 67, 30, 54 |
M Marsh | BAT | 110, 44, 27, 38, 10 |
T Head | BAT | 35, 13, 6, 53, 93 |
M Stoinis | AR | 102, 19, 29, 0, 39 |
A Carey | WK | 66, 7, 29, 16, 17 |
M Kuhnemann | BOW | 17 |
Consistency callouts (avg L5):
NZ: Henry ~97 (4), Seifert ~96 (10), Duffy ~79 (9), Ravindra ~83 (4).
AUS: Tim David ~84 (8), Dwarshuis ~82 (7), Hazlewood ~79 (3), Maxwell/Zampa ~68 (10).
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Powerplay (0–6)
With ball: Hazlewood (AUS) & Henry/Duffy (NZ) – heavy wobble seam.
With bat: Head/Marsh/Short (AUS) play high-risk PP strokes; Seifert/Conway (NZ) more anchor-aggressor combo.
Middle & Death (7–20)
Finishers: Tim David (AUS) best T20 finisher in this pool; Maxwell closes both ends.
Death bowling: Dwarshuis/Bartlett (AUS) & Henry/Jamieson (NZ) to target wickets with yorkers/variations.
Spin phase: Early-mid overs first innings aid Zampa/Sodhi/Bracewell.
MVP Picks (Safe/High-Ceiling)
Tim David (AUS, BAT): 624 in L5 with two 200+ spikes; premier death hitter on a ground with short 70m boundaries.
Glenn Maxwell (AUS, AR): Dual points (bat+spin), consistent C/VC candidate at Bay Oval profile.
Tim Seifert (NZ, WK): 961 in last 10 team games; reliable top-order involvement and gloves.
Matt Henry (NZ, BOW): 97 avg (L5), bags wickets in clumps – works in both defend/chase scenarios.
Adam Zampa (AUS, BOW): Regular Dream Team entries; first-innings spin assist boosts upside.
Differential Picks (Risk/Reward)
Ben Dwarshuis (AUS, BOW): 82 avg (L5), death wicket magnet, often under-picked.
Rachin Ravindra (NZ, AR): 83 avg in 4; form + bonus overs potential.
Jacob Duffy (NZ, BOW): Venue specialist tag (92 avg at Bay Oval).
Xavier Bartlett (AUS, BOW): Form picker with late-overs role.
Michael Bracewell (NZ, AR): Venue average 75; float batting + powerplay/off-spin matchup vs left-right.
Suggested Dream11 Team (Small League)
WK (1): Tim Seifert
BAT (4): Tim David (C), Mitch Marsh, Travis Head, Devon Conway
AR (2): Glenn Maxwell (VC), Rachin Ravindra
BOW (4): Matt Henry, Adam Zampa, Ben Dwarshuis, Josh Hazlewood
Bench/Alternates: Jacob Duffy (venue play), Michael Bracewell (AR swap if NZ bowl first), Xavier Bartlett (for Dwarshuis in large leagues), Ish Sodhi (if AUS have many RHBs in middle).
Balance: 1 WK / 4 BAT / 2 AR / 4 BOW — mirrors balanced pitch & PP/death emphasis.
Conditional Strategy & Toss Dynamics
If NZ bat first: Elevate Seifert/Conway stacks; consider Sodhi/Bracewell (first-innings spin value). C: Seifert/Maxwell.
If AUS bat first: Prioritize Head/Marsh plus Zampa; still lock Tim David for death overs.
If chasing under lights: Boost pace wicket-takers (Hazlewood, Henry, Dwarshuis/Bartlett).
Large Leagues: Try Duffy (venue spike), Jamieson (bounce), or a punt on Short if he opens & bowls part-time.
Final Tips
Core to trust: Tim David, Glenn Maxwell, Tim Seifert, Matt Henry, Adam Zampa.
Monitor lineups: If Bracewell and Ravindra both play, you can go 3 AR build by dropping a batter.
H2H vs Form: Australia’s H2H edge narrows at Bay Oval; don’t fade NZ seamers.
Credit saver: Dwarshuis/Duffy often provide value with multi-wicket potential.
Good luck—set alerts for toss & XIs and be ready to pivot between spin-heavy first-innings vs pace-heavy second-innings builds!