Match Details
Match: Melbourne Renegades Women vs Sydney Thunder Women
Date & Time: 11 Nov, 09:40 AM IST
Venue: Junction Oval, Melbourne
Tournament: WBBL
Short Preview
Recent form:
MR-W: W, W, W, W, L (strong upswing)
ST-W: L, W, L, L, W (stop–start)
H2H (last 5): MR-W lead 3–2.
Toss/conditions tilt: Junction Oval is balanced but has lately rewarded pacers, especially in the 1st innings. Teams often choose to bat here, yet chasing has won ~70% recently—so keep an eye on the toss.
Win Probability (pre-toss)
Team | Chance |
|---|---|
Melbourne Renegades Women | 58% |
Sydney Thunder Women | 42% |
Why: Better recent form + favorable H2H tilt. MR-W have been outstanding when chasing (5/5 wins) and solid batting first (4/5). ST-W look far weaker batting first (0/4) but are competent chasing (4/5).
Pitch & Venue Analysis – Junction Oval
Nature: Balanced; make an even split of batters and bowlers.
Avg 1st inns: 141; ~6 wickets lost per innings.
Toss trends: Teams choose to bat first 60% of the time, but results show Wins Chasing ~70%.
Bowling type: Pacers > Spinners
Fantasy points/over: 1st inns – Pace 14.6 vs Spin 10.4
2nd inns – Pace 10.0 vs Spin 10.3 (narrows after the break)
Venue heroes (recent at this ground):
S. Molineux (MR-W): Avg ~67 (7 matches), frequent C/VC
G. Wareham (MR-W): Avg ~56 (7)
A. Capsey (MR-W): Avg ~46 (6)
Fantasy takeaway: Slight lean to pace bowlers early, but don’t ignore quality all-rounders who can stack 2-skill returns.
Fantasy Venue Insights (actionable)
Build 3–3 or 4–3 Bat:Bowl with 3 All-rounders if possible.
Death specialists and new-ball pacers carry upside (catch the PACE skew in 1st inns).
If MR-W chase, upgrade their top-order anchors & 2 ARs. If ST-W bat first, prioritize MR-W bowling stack.
Form Bar – Last 5 Matches (Overall, all venues)
Melbourne Renegades Women – Top FP Scorers
Player | Role | FPts (Last 5) |
|---|---|---|
G Wareham | BOW | 446 |
A Capsey | AR/BAT | 410 |
T Flintoff | AR | 353 |
C Webb | BAT | 347 |
S Coyte | AR | 334 |
D Dottin | AR | 252 |
N Faltum | WK | 195 |
M Illingworth | BOW | 148 |
Consistency notes: Wareham and Capsey show elite ceilings; Coyte/Flintoff provide steady AR floors.
Sydney Thunder Women – Top FP Scorers
Player | Role | FPts (Last 5) |
|---|---|---|
A Learoyd | BAT | 320 |
H Knight | AR | 299 |
C Atapattu | AR | 289 |
S Bates | BOW | 289 |
T Peschel | BOW | 276 |
H Gill | AR | 239 |
L Harris | BAT | 235 |
T Wilson | WK | 234 |
P Litchfield | BAT | 212 |
S Ismail | BOW | 153 |
Consistency notes: Knight/Atapattu offer dual-skill safety; Peschel/Ismail spike if ST-W bowl first.
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact (projected)
Powerplay enforcers:
MR-W: S. Coyte, T. Flintoff (hard lengths), Wareham can enter early if grip available.
ST-W: S. Ismail (pace), H. Darlington/T. Peschel (control + movement).
Death specialists:
MR-W: Coyte/Flintoff; Dottin adds wicket upside if she bowls late.
ST-W: Peschel/Darlington; Atapattu’s cutters if surface slows.
Key MVP Picks
G. Wareham (MR-W, BOW): Form + venue record; wicket-taking threat through middle overs.
S. Molineux (MR-W, AR): Proven at this venue, C/VC magnet; bat + 4 overs when fit/selected.
A. Capsey (MR-W, AR): Recent spike; contributes with bat and part-time off-spin.
H. Knight (ST-W, AR): High floor all-rounder; anchors chases and bowls handy overs.
Differential Picks
T. Flintoff (MR-W, AR): PP/DO overs + late hitting = ceiling pick.
S. Coyte (MR-W, AR): Wicket clusters at PP/DO; underrated.
T. Peschel (ST-W, BOW): If ST-W bowl first, can haul with new ball + slog overs.
A. Learoyd (ST-W, BAT): Quietly high recent run involvement; leverage if ST-W chase.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Pre-toss)
WK (1): T Wilson
BAT (3): C Webb, A Learoyd, P Litchfield
ALL-ROUND (4): S Molineux (C), A Capsey (VC), H Knight, T Flintoff
BOWL (3): G Wareham, S Coyte, T Peschel
Bench/Alternates: D Dottin (AR), S Ismail (BOW), L Harris (BAT), N Faltum (WK), M Illingworth (BOW)
Build logic: Stacks MR-W multi-skill core (Molineux/Capsey/Wareham/Coyte/Flintoff) with ST-W anchors (Knight + two top-order) and one ST-W strike pacer for balance to match venue profile.
Final Fantasy Tips
If MR-W bat first:
Elevate Capsey/Webb; keep Wareham C/VC viable for 2nd-innings choke.
Retain one of Peschel/Ismail for new-ball wickets.
If MR-W chase:
Upgrade Molineux to Captain if not already; add Dottin for finishing points.
Consider swapping Litchfield → Harris if ST-W set a par-plus target.
If ST-W bat first:
Double down on MR-W bowlers (Wareham + Coyte core; Flintoff/Illingworth punt).
Knight/Atapattu become safer bat anchors; keep Peschel.
If ST-W chase:
Prefer Knight + Learoyd as batting backbone; Ismail slightly down-weighted unless there’s grass/cloud.