LAN vs SOM Dream11 Prediction Today Match – Fantasy Tips, Probable Playing 11 & Pitch Report (13 Sep)

Match Details

Short Match Preview

Somerset arrive red-hot (form: W W L W W) with a recent H2H edge (SOM vs LAN: W). Lancashire have been streaky (W L W W L) but carry elite ceilings through Liam Livingstone, Phil Salt, and a wicket-taking seam unit (Luke Wood, Blatherwick, Anderson).
Edgbaston has been balanced with an avg 1st inns ~158 and even pace/spin value. Toss historically leans to batting first at this ground, but results are close, so bank on flexible combinations.

Win Probability (modelled from recent form + H2H + venue balance)

Pitch & Venue Analysis — Edgbaston

• Surface: Balanced. Both pacers and spinners in play; fantasy split near-even across innings.

• Average 1st Inns: ~158; around 6 wickets/innings.

• Pace vs Spin: Very similar returns; slight pace bump in 1st inns, slight spin bump in 2nd.

• Toss Trends: Captains often bat first here, but win rate is roughly 50–50 either way.

• Boundary sizes: ~50m square, 60m straight → six-hitters still rewarded, but mishits find fielders.

Fantasy angle for the venue

• Start with 3–4 bowlers (mix of 2 pacers + 1–2 spinners).

• Prioritise top-order hitters who face the hard new ball (Salt, Smeed, TKC).

• Death-overs pacers are gold for late wickets (Meredith / L Wood / J Ball).

Form Snapshot (Last 5 matches)

• Lancashire: W L W W L

• Somerset: W W L W W

By situations:

• LAN batting first: L W W W L (3–2)

• SOM chasing: W L W W L (3–2)

• SOM batting first: W W W W L (4–1)

• LAN chasing: W W L L W (3–2)

📊 Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points

🟥 Lancashire (LAN)

🟩 Somerset (SOM)

Current Series/Season Consistency (Avg FPts per match)

• LAN: Livingstone 114, C. Green 92, L. Wood 84, J. Anderson 73, J. Buttler 72.

• SOM: Meredith 83, Gregory 76, Smeed 71, Matt Henry 70, TKC 68.

Perfect DreamTeam appearances (frequency):
Meredith 11, C. Green 10, Gregory 10, Smeed 10, TKC 10, B. Green 10, Jennings 10, L. Wood 9.

Powerplay & Death Overs Impact

Powerplay (0–6)

• Batting: Phil Salt (LAN), Will Smeed (SOM), TKC (SOM) — ultra-high boundary rates; Salt also adds keeping points.

• Bowling: Luke Wood (LAN) swings it early; Meredith (SOM) hits hard lengths; Anderson (LAN) threatens on seam-friendly starts.

Middle (7–15)

• Liam Livingstone (LAN) — dual-threat;

• Tom Hartley (LAN) — control + left-arm angle;

• Gregory / Overton (SOM) — wicket-taking bursts and handy batting.

Death (16–20)

• Meredith (SOM) and J Ball (SOM) — prime wicket probability late.

• Luke Wood (LAN), Blatherwick (LAN) — strike roles at the close.

Key MVP Picks

• Liam Livingstone (C) — elite ceiling (580 in last 5), contributes in all 3 facets.

• Riley Meredith (VC) — consistent strike bowler; death overs + form (83 avg this season).

• Tom Kohler-Cadmore — recent monster knocks (194, 104); high usage if set.

• Cameron Green — high floor via batting time + overs; frequent DreamTeam picks.

Differential Picks (risk/reward)

• Sean Dickson — purple patch potential (153 recently).

• Tom Hartley — venue suits control spin; sneaky 2-for + economy bonus.

• Jack Blatherwick — death overs for LAN → late wicket clusters.

• Tom Abell — anchors and accelerates; safe if chasing.

Suggested Dream11 Team (balanced, venue-aware)

(Playing XIs not announced; adjust for toss and confirmations.)

WK (2): Phil Salt, Tom Kohler-Cadmore
BAT (3): Will Smeed, Tom Abell, Keaton Jennings (or Ashton Turner if Turner starts ahead)
AR (3): Liam Livingstone (C), Cameron Green, Lewis Gregory
BOW (3): Riley Meredith (VC), Luke Wood, Tom Hartley (alt: J Ball / J Blatherwick depending on lineups)

Conditional Strategy & Final Tips

• If SOM bat first: Prioritise Meredith + J Ball; keep TKC/Smeed. Consider a 4-bowler build.

• If SOM chase: Upgrade Abell (anchor) and keep a Somerset finisher (Gregory/Overton).

• If LAN bat first: Upside in Salt + Livingstone stacks; include Luke Wood for 2nd-innings wickets.

• If LAN chase: Add one of Jennings/Turner for stability; retain Meredith for late breakthroughs.

• Captaincy pivots: TKC (flat start), Salt (PP carnage), Meredith (bowling-friendly clouds).

• Balance: 6–5 or 7–4 split toward the side batting first at toss.

Good luck, and remember to swap in confirmed starters once the XIs are out!