Match Details
Match: India vs Pakistan, T20I
Date & Time: 28 Sep, 08:00 PM IST
Venue: Dubai International Cricket Stadium
Playing XI: Not announced yet
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Form:
India: W W W W W (red-hot, five straight)
Pakistan: W W L W L (mixed)
Recent H2H: IND vs PAK — IND 3–1 edge across last 4.
Scenario nuggets:
When India bat first: IND 5/5 wins.
When Pakistan chase: PAK 4/5 wins (1 loss).
Lean: India start favorites on overall form & H2H, but Pakistan’s chase record keeps them in it.
Win Probability
Scenario | India | Pakistan |
---|---|---|
Overall (pre-toss) | 60% | 40% |
If India bat first | 65% | 35% |
If Pakistan chase | 45% | 55% |
Pitch & Venue Analysis – Dubai
Type: Balanced, slightly bowling-friendly (BOWL 53% vs BAT 47% fantasy split)
Avg 1st inns: 148 | Avg wickets/inn: 6
Dimensions: ~80m square, 65m straight
Pacers vs Spinners (FP/over): Pace better overall (15.4 vs 12.8) — especially 2nd inns pace 16.7
Toss: Captains prefer chasing (80%); results roughly 50–50
Fantasy angle: Build even squads with a slight pace bias. Wrist-spin remains a threat in middle overs.
Venue Fantasy Trends (last matches at Dubai)
Frequent C/VCs: A Sharma (IND), S Afridi (PAK), K Yadav (IND)
Top venue averages: A Sharma 119, K Yadav 101, S Afridi 90, S Ayub 79, H Rauf 60
Form & Fantasy Points Snapshot (Last 5 matches)
🇮🇳 India – Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | FP1 | FP2 | FP3 | FP4 | FP5 | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A Sharma | 123 | 167 | 154 | 86 | 82 | 612 |
K Yadav | 42 | 122 | 47 | 51 | 127 | 389 |
T Varma | 81 | 57 | 62 | 59 | 61 | 320 |
H Pandya | 39 | 79 | 54 | 58 | 53 | 283 |
A Patel | 46 | 65 | 7 | 63 | 93 | 274 |
V Chakravarthy | 50 | 82 | 29 | 54 | 49 | 264 |
S Samson | 85 | 4 | 29 | 98 | 4 | 220 |
A Singh | 34 | 45 | 37 | 34 | 60 | 210 |
S Gill | 28 | 55 | 91 | 13 | 22 | 209 |
H Rana | 35 | 63 | 99 | – | – | 197 |
S Yadav | 20 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 81 | 136 |
🇵🇰 Pakistan – Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | FP1 | FP2 | FP3 | FP4 | FP5 | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S Afridi | 152 | 121 | 9 | 143 | 66 | 491 |
H Rauf | 132 | 81 | 93 | 78 | 65 | 449 |
S Ayub | 94 | 6 | 36 | 58 | 115 | 309 |
M Nawaz | 123 | 80 | 35 | 20 | 7 | 265 |
F Ashraf | 27 | 23 | 87 | 27 | 100 | 264 |
S Farhan | 12 | 48 | 108 | 23 | 70 | 261 |
A Ahmed | 11 | 64 | 48 | 90 | 21 | 234 |
H Talat | 23 | 136 | 14 | 48 | 9 | 230 |
F Zaman | 23 | 29 | 31 | 90 | 33 | 206 |
M Haris | 55 | 37 | 4 | 48 | 19 | 163 |
A Salman | 31 | 18 | 29 | 65 | 1 | 144 |
Last 2 Match Dream Team
🏏 Dream Team – 21 Sep 2025 (Asia Cup, Dubai)
Player | Role | Fantasy Points |
---|---|---|
A Sharma | BAT | 154 |
S Farhan | BAT | 108 |
H Rauf | BOW | 93 |
S Gill | BAT | 91 |
F Ashraf | AR | 87 |
S Dube | AR | 71 |
N Tilak Varma | BAT | 62 |
H Pandya | AR | 54 |
A Ahmed | BOW | 48 |
K Yadav | BOW | 47 |
S Ayub | AR | 36 |
Other notable performers: M Nawaz (35), F Zaman (31), V Chakravarthy (29), A Salman (29), S Samson (29), S Yadav (16), H Talat (14), J Bumrah (9), S Afridi (9), A Patel (7), M Haris (4).
🏏 Dream Team – 14 Sep 2025 (Asia Cup, Dubai)
Player | Role | Fantasy Points |
---|---|---|
K Yadav | BOW | 127 |
S Ayub | AR | 115 |
J Bumrah | BOW | 97 |
A Patel | AR | 93 |
A Sharma | BAT | 82 |
S Yadav | BAT | 81 |
S Farhan | BAT | 70 |
S Afridi | BOW | 66 |
N Tilak Varma | BAT | 61 |
V Chakravarthy | BOW | 54 |
H Pandya | AR | 53 |
Other notable performers: F Zaman (33), F Ashraf (27), S Muqeem (25), S Gill (22), A Ahmed (21), S Dube (20), M Haris (19), H Nawaz (9), M Nawaz (7), S Samson (4), A Salman (1).
Phase Impact – Who to target
Powerplay (0–6)
India batting: A Sharma (explosive), S Gill (anchor).
Pakistan bowling: S Afridi new-ball threat, H Rauf hits hard lengths.
Play: Stack one of A Sharma/S Gill + Afridi to hedge.
Middle overs (7–15)
India bowling: K Yadav (strike wrist-spin), V Chakravarthy (mystery).
Pakistan batting: S Farhan/F Zaman counterpunch.
Play: One India wrist-spinner is near-must.
Death overs (16–20)
India bowling: J Bumrah / A Singh yorkers.
Pakistan bowling: H Rauf, F Ashraf variations.
Finishers: H Pandya, S Yadav (if promoted), S Ayub floating role.
Play: One end-over seamer from each side for wicket upside.
MVP Picks (C/VC)
A Sharma (IND, BAT) – Scorching form (612 in 5), venue beast; tackles pace well.
K Yadav (IND, BOW) – Middle-over wicket magnet; excellent venue record.
S Afridi (PAK, BOW) – Powerplay strike weapon; ceiling 150+ seen recently.
H Rauf (PAK, BOW) – Consistent wickets across phases; strong death value.
Differential Picks
V Chakravarthy (IND, BOW): Mystery spin vs aggressive left-handers.
M Nawaz (PAK, AR): Dual skill; handy if pitch grips.
S Farhan (PAK, BAT): Boom-or-bust top-order; leverage play in small leagues.
A Patel (IND, AR): Quiet accumulator + matchup vs RHBs.
Suggested Dream11 Team (Pre-toss)
WK (1): S Samson
BAT (4): A Sharma (C), S Gill, T Varma, S Farhan
AR (3): H Pandya, A Patel, M Nawaz
BOW (3): K Yadav (VC), S Afridi, H Rauf
Bench/Alts (by toss/teams): J Bumrah, A Singh, V Chakravarthy, F Zaman, S Ayub, M Haris
Balance: 6 IND / 5 PAK pool; pace-heavy with one premium wrist-spinner. Switch one AR → extra pacer if there’s heavy dew.
Conditional Strategy
If India bat first
Load Indian top order (A Sharma, S Gill) + K Yadav.
Bowlers from PAK with new ball (S Afridi) + death (H Rauf).
C/VC: A Sharma / K Yadav.
If Pakistan chase
Prioritize Afridi + Rauf double-up; add S Farhan exposure.
Keep H Pandya for late-over batting.
C/VC: S Afridi / H Rauf (ceiling boosted while chasing scenarios at Dubai).
If heavy dew / night conditions
Tilt 3:2 towards pacers; consider Bumrah/Arshdeep in for a spinner/AR.
Prefer chasing side’s seamers for wicket-haul at the death.
Final Tips
Core locks: A Sharma, one of K Yadav / V Chakravarthy, one of Afridi/Rauf.
Small leagues: Play safe core + one differential (Nawaz or Farhan).
Grand leagues: Consider double-India wrist-spin or triple-seamer builds depending on toss/dew.
Monitor: Final XIs, batting orders (S Ayub’s role), and dew at toss.