Match Details
Match: England vs South Africa, ODI
Date & Time: 7 Sep 2025, 03:30 PM IST
Venue: The Rose Bowl, Southampton
Playing XIs: Not announced yet
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Recent form:
England: L, L, W, W, W (mixed but improving)
South Africa: W, W, L, W, W (strong momentum)
H2H recent (ENG vs SA): L, L, L, L, W → SA edge
Venue: Balanced surface; average 1st inns 274, ~7 wickets/innings. Toss trend heavily chase-oriented (teams choose to chase ~80%; wins chasing ~60%).
Fantasy angle: Genuine points available for both spin and pace. Middle-overs spinners (Rashid/Maharaj) + English express (Archer) + SA new-ball pair (Ngidi/Burger) are prime.
Win Probability (lean)
Team | Chance |
|---|---|
South Africa | 55% |
England | 45% |
Basis: SA recent form + recent H2H; venue slightly favors chasers and SA have been better chasing.
Pitch & Venue Analysis – The Rose Bowl
Type: Balanced – pick an even mix of batters and bowlers.
Avg 1st inns: 274
Wkts/inn: ~7
Toss: Captains tend to chase (≈80%); chasing teams win ~60%.
Pace vs Spin (fantasy pts/over):
Overall: Spin 6.1 vs Pace 5.6
1st inns: Spin 5.6, Pace 5.1
2nd inns: Spin 6.6, Pace 6.2
Takeaway: Slight uptick for spinners in the second innings; death-overs pace still lucrative.
Fantasy Venue Insights
Target one attacking new-ball quick + one death specialist from the stronger bowling unit.
Middle-overs spinners gain when the pitch grips late; if SA bowl 2nd, Maharaj upgrade; if ENG bowl 2nd, Rashid upgrade.
Top-order batters who play pace well are safer: Root, Breetzke, Rickelton.
Last-5 Fantasy Form – Top Performers (Overall)
(From the data you shared; totals last 5 matches)
England
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts | Notable High |
|---|---|---|---|
J Archer | BOW | 580 | 220 vs SA (04 Sep) |
A Rashid | BOW | 574 | 171 vs WI |
J Root | BAT | 588 | 300 vs WI |
H Brook | BAT | 396 | 156 vs WI |
J Buttler | WK | 327 | 121 vs SA |
J Bethell | AR | 411 | 199 vs WI |
W Jacks | BAT | 291 | 105 vs WI |
S Mahmood | BOW | 340 | 116 vs WI |
South Africa
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts | Notable High |
|---|---|---|---|
M Breetzke | BAT | 809 | 254 vs NZ |
K Maharaj | BOW | 585 | 242 vs AUS |
A Markram | AR | 448 | 188 vs ENG |
L Ngidi | BOW | 458 | 185 vs AUS |
N Burger | BOW | 347 | 110 vs ENG |
R Rickelton | WK | 318 | 89 vs ENG |
D Brevis | BAT | 256 | 109 vs AUS |
T Bavuma | BAT | 252 | 97 vs NZ |
Consistency notes
Bankers: Archer, Rashid, Root, Breetzke, Maharaj, Markram.
High-ceiling differentials: Burger, Ngidi, Bethell, Jacks, Brevis.
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Powerplay (0–10):
ENG: Jofra Archer spearheads; Carse/Mahmood support → wicket-taking upside.
SA: Ngidi (PP strikes), Burger (pace & bounce).
PP bat shields: Root, Bavuma/Rickelton.
Middle Overs (11–40):
Leggies/left-arm spin: Rashid (ENG), Maharaj (SA).
Part-time support: Markram (off-spin), Bethell/Jacks for ENG.
Death Overs (41–50):
ENG: Archer the primary weapon; Mahmood can chip in.
SA: Ngidi/Burger rotate at the death; Bosch/Mulder can close out.
Death batting finishers: Buttler, Stubbs, Brevis, Markram.
MVP Picks (Safe)
Aiden Markram (AR, SA): Batting form + 6–8 overs potential; excellent C option.
Jofra Archer (BOW, ENG): New ball + death; monstrous ceiling shown (220).
Adil Rashid (BOW, ENG): Consistent wickets in middle overs; venue rewards spin late.
Keshav Maharaj (BOW, SA): Control + wicket bursts; spikes if SA defend or bowl 2nd.
Differential Picks (Risk/Reward)
Mandla Breetzke (BAT, SA): Red-hot L5 (809); attacking top-order, can break the slate.
Neil Burger (BOW, SA): Impact PP + late; under-picked compared to Ngidi.
Jacob Bethell (AR, ENG): Dual points path; if he bowls 6–8 overs, big upside.
Will Jacks (BAT, ENG): Power-hitter + part-time overs if pitch grips.
🏏 Last 3 Match Dream Teams
ODI – 04 Sep 2025 | ENG vs SA | Lord’s
Dream Team Players:
J Archer (BOW) – 220 pts
M Breetzke (BAT) – 155 pts
J Bethell (AR) – 140 pts
J Buttler (WK) – 121 pts
N Burger (BOW) – 110 pts
J Root (BAT) – 105 pts
C Bosch (AR) – 102 pts
A Rashid (BOW) – 101 pts
A Markram (AR) – 95 pts
D Brevis (BAT) – 94 pts
K Maharaj (BOW) – 89 pts
ODI – 02 Sep 2025 | ENG vs SA | Headingley
Dream Team Players:
A Markram (BAT/AR) – 188 pts
K Maharaj (BOW) – 160 pts
A Rashid (BOW) – 119 pts
J Smith (WK) – 116 pts
W Mulder (AR) – 102 pts
R Rickelton (WK) – 89 pts
L Ngidi (BOW) – 43 pts
N Burger (BOW) – 39 pts
ODI – 01 Mar 2025 | ENG vs SA | Champions Trophy, Karachi
Dream Team Players:
H Klaasen (WK) – 142 pts
R van der Dussen (BAT) – 134 pts
J Archer (BOW) – 126 pts
M Jansen (AR) – 116 pts
W Mulder (AR) – 101 pts
K Maharaj (BOW) – 80 pts
J Root (BAT/AR) – 67 pts
R Rickelton (WK) – 57 pts
B Duckett (BAT) – 46 pts
L Ngidi (BOW) – 44 pts
K Rabada (BOW) – 41 pts
✅ Observation from last 3 Dream Teams:
Consistent Picks: Archer, Maharaj, Rashid, Markram, Rickelton, Mulder.
Differential Breakouts: Bethell (140 in 1st ODI), Breetzke (155), Klaasen (142).
Balanced Mix: Each team had 2–3 bowlers + 2 AR + 3–4 top-order batters/WKs.
Suggested Dream11 Team (Small League)
Combination: 2 WK – 3 BAT – 2 AR – 4 BOW (Balanced pitch)
WK: J Buttler, R Rickelton
BAT: J Root, M Breetzke, H Brook (alt: B Duckett)
AR: A Markram (C), W Mulder (alt: J Bethell if ENG bowl 2nd)
BOW: J Archer (VC), A Rashid, K Maharaj, N Burger (alt: L Ngidi)
Bench/Alternates pool: Duckett, Jacks, Bethell, Ngidi, Bosch, Brevis.
Final Fantasy Tips (Conditions & Toss)
If SA bowl 2nd / ENG chase:
Upgrade Rashid and Maharaj (spin improves late).
Prioritize chasers’ anchors: Root, Markram.
If ENG bowl 2nd / SA chase:
Keep Archer (VC/C viable); add Ngidi/Burger for wicket-taking at the death.
SA top 3 (Breetzke, Rickelton, Bavuma/Markram) become safer.
If pitch is drier than usual: Double-spin with Rashid + Maharaj; consider Bethell/Jacks as budget AR.
If there’s cloud/green tinge: Tilt to 3 pacers (Archer + one of Mahmood/Carse, plus Ngidi/Burger).
Captaincy ladder: Markram ≈ Archer > Breetzke ≈ Rashid > Maharaj > Root.