Match Details
Match: Bangladesh vs West Indies (ODI)
Date & Time: 21 Oct, 01:00 PM IST
Venue: Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur (Dhaka)
Quick Preview
Bangladesh come in with a 1W-4L recent run but enjoy home comfort in Mirpur’s low-scoring, spin-aiding conditions. West Indies are 2W-3L across last five but boast in-form strike options like Jayden Seales and control from Gudakesh Motie/Roston Chase. Recent head-to-head is fairly even and the venue typically keeps scores around 160–180 in first innings, keeping bowlers and bowling all-rounders in play.
Win Probability (Modelled from form, H2H & venue bias)
Team | Win % |
|---|---|
Bangladesh | 52% |
West Indies | 48% |
Why: Bangladesh’s home/venue edge (+ spin value) slightly outweighs WI’s better recent individual form.
Pitch & Venue Analysis — Shere Bangla, Mirpur
Type: Low-scoring, tacky; shot-making is tough as innings progresses.
Avg 1st Inns: ~165
Dismissals: ~7 wickets/innings ⇒ bowling-heavy builds viable.
Fantasy Split: Bowlers ~58% vs Batters ~42% of points.
Pace vs Spin: Near-equal returns; both viable (slight lean to pace early, spin grips later).
Toss: Teams often prefer to chase; dew can help the second innings, but the surface can slow up.
Fantasy angles for this venue
Prioritize bowling all-rounders + wicket-takers over pure anchors.
Death-overs pacers (Mustafizur/Shepherd) & middle-overs spinners (Rishad/Motie/Chase) carry ceiling.
Captains from AR/BOW slots are historically safer here.
Recent Form Snapshots
Bangladesh (last 5): W, L, L, L, L
West Indies (last 5): L, W, W, L, L
H2H last 5: BAN vs WI — W, L, L, L, W
Fantasy Points — Last 5 Matches (Overall)
Bangladesh — Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M Hasan Miraz | AR | 116 | 48 | 129 | 149 | 146 | 588 |
Rishad Hossain | BOW | 263 | 19 | 90 | 81 | 116 | 569 |
Taijul Islam | BOW | 65 | 99 | 55 | 75 | 58 | 352 |
S Hassan | AR | 27 | 193 | 52 | 55 | – | 327 (4 matches) |
Towhid Hridoy | BAT | 75 | 27 | 44 | 90 | 81 | 317 |
Tanzim Hasan Sakib | BOW | — | — | — | — | — | (avg 84 pts per match in recent 6) |
Mustafizur Rahman | BOW | 75 | 18 | 14 | 48 | 53 | 208 |
T Hasan (Tanvir) | BOW | 11 | 18 | 75 | 71 | 44 | 219 |
Soumya Sarkar | AR | 12 | 9 | 59 | 113 | 6 | 199 |
Nurul Hasan | WK | 49 | 6 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 109 |
N Hossain Shanto | BAT | 52 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 89 |
M Islam Ankon | WK | 66 | — | — | — | — | 66 (1 match) |
West Indies — Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Roston Chase | AR | 102 | 138 | 125 | 140 | 37 | 542 |
Jayden Seales | BOW | 112 | 245 | 124 | 48 | 5 | 534 |
Gudakesh Motie | BOW | 20 | 96 | 70 | 107 | 149 | 442 |
Shai Hope | WK | 29 | 234 | 70 | 103 | 1 | 437 |
Justin Greaves | AR | 92 | 85 | 50 | 20 | 44 | 291 |
Sherfane Rutherford | BAT | 1 | 19 | 91 | 14 | 130 | 255 |
Kavem Pierre | AR | 96 | 50 | 4 | 28 | — | 178 (4 matches) |
Romario Shepherd | AR | 65 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 33 | 148 |
Keacy Carty | BAT | 9 | 21 | 20 | 50 | 45 | 145 |
Alick Athanaze | BAT | 61 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 38 | 136 |
Brandon King | BAT | 78 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 136 |
Alick Jangoo | WK | 134 | — | — | — | — | 134 (1 match) |
J Blades | BOW | -2 | — | — | — | — | -2 (1 match) |
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact (Ceiling Targets)
Powerplay (0–10):
WI: Jayden Seales swings it upfront; Brandon King the intent batter.
BAN: Towhid Hridoy often stabilizes if early wickets; Mustafizur less PP, more end-game.
Middle Overs (10–40):
Spin choke: Rishad Hossain (leg spin strikes), Taijul (control), Motie & Chase (WI) thrive as grip increases.
Death (40–50):
BAN: Mustafizur cutters = wicket opportunities.
WI: Romario Shepherd (ball + late hits), Seales can return for wickets.
Key Dream11 Picks
MVP / Safe Captaincy
Mehidy Hasan Miraz (AR, BAN): Bat + full quota; form 588 pts/5; venue suits his skillset.
Jayden Seales (BOW, WI): Hot streak; PP + late burst potential.
Rishad Hossain (BOW, BAN): Strike leggie; Mirpur aids grip—massive ceiling.
Gudakesh Motie (BOW, WI): Middle-overs squeeze + wickets on slow decks.
Shai Hope (WK, WI): High floor, recent big knocks; best WK pick.
Roston Chase (AR, WI): Dual-role stability; adds batting insurance in low totals.
Differential / Value Picks
Towhid Hridoy (BAT, BAN): Form utility at No.3/4; plays spin well.
Romario Shepherd (AR, WI): Death-phase impact both ways.
Brandon King / Keacy Carty (BAT, WI): If WI bat first, top-order run value rises.
Mustafizur Rahman (BOW, BAN): Death specialist—spike games on slow surfaces.
K Pierre / Justin Greaves (AR, WI): If selected, handy overs + field role.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Bowling-lean)
1 WK – 3 BAT – 3 AR – 4 BOWL
WK: Shai Hope (WI)
BAT: Keacy Carty (WI), Brandon King (WI), Towhid Hridoy (BAN)
AR: Mehidy Hasan Miraz (BAN) – C, Roston Chase (WI) – VC, Justin Greaves (WI) (if not playing, pivot to S Hassan or R Shepherd)
BOWL: Jayden Seales (WI), Rishad Hossain (BAN), Gudakesh Motie (WI), Mustafizur Rahman (BAN)
Bench/Pivots (on toss & XIs): Taijul Islam (BAN), Tanzim Hasan Sakib (BAN), Sherfane Rutherford (WI), Alick Athanaze (WI).
If Bangladesh load extra spin, consider Taijul over a WI batter.
Conditional Strategy & Toss Plans
If Bangladesh bat first:
Expect ~160–190. Prioritize BAN spinners (Rishad/Taijul) and Miraz C. Keep Seales for PP wickets.
If West Indies bat first:
Keep Seales VC or Motie VC; include Shepherd for death + slog. King/Carty gain value as top-order anchors.
If Dew visible:
Slight boost to chasers and seam-at-death; retain Mustafizur/Seales.
If pitch looks very dry/cracked:
Double up on spin: Rishad + Taijul + Motie + Chase, and consider moving VC from Seales to Rishad/Motie.
Final Tips
Favor AR/BOW over pure BAT on this ground.
Lock Miraz/Rishad/Seales in most builds.
Use late swaps after XIs:
If WI pick extra spin, add Motie + Chase; if BAN play Tanzim, he’s a budget wicket option.
Avoid over-stacking top-order from both sides; Mirpur can melt batting lineups quickly.
Good luck, and watch the toss + XIs 30 mins before start!