Match Details
Match: Australia Women vs New Zealand Women (ODI)
Date & Time: 1 Oct 2025, 03:00 PM IST
Venue: Holkar Cricket Stadium, Indore
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Australia Women enter with 4 wins in their last 5 and a dominant H2H streak (5/5 wins) vs NZ-W. New Zealand’s recent form is mixed, but they lean heavily on Amelia Kerr, Sophie Devine, and an improving pace group (Tahuhu/Carson/Jess Kerr).
Holkar is high-scoring but assists spin more than pace—that suits Australia’s all-rounders (Gardner, Sutherland) and wrist/left-arm spin options.
Win Probability
Team | Chance |
---|---|
Australia Women | 70% |
New Zealand Women | 30% |
Why: AUS-W superior recent form, sweeping H2H, and stronger all-round core.
Pitch & Venue Analysis – Holkar Cricket Stadium
Nature: High-scoring (avg 1st inns ~392), ~9 wickets lost/innings.
Bat vs Ball FP share: Bat 65.8% vs Bowl 34.2%.
Spin vs Pace (fantasy/over): Spin 8.5 > Pace 4.9 overall; especially 2nd inns: Spin 11.3 vs Pace 6.7.
Toss Trends: Teams have preferred chasing, but wins tilt to batting first here (small sample).
Fantasy angle: Load up top/middle-order batters + wicket-taking spinners; one enforcer pacer for PP/Death.
Form Snapshot
Australia Women (L5): W, L, W, W, W
New Zealand Women (L5): W, W, L, L
H2H (last 5): AUS-W 5–0 NZ-W
When AUS-W bat first: W, W, W, W, W
When NZ-W chase: L, L, L, W
Fantasy Leaderboard (Recent Data)
Australia Women – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Matchwise Fantasy Points (last 5) | Total |
---|---|---|---|
B Mooney | WK | 282, 26, 131, 62, 25 | 526 |
A Gardner | AR | 123, 112, 19, 134, 61 | 449 |
G Voll | BAT | 171, 9, 34, 135, 60 | 409 |
A King | BOW | 35, 14, 51, 146, 134 | 380 |
K Garth | BOW | 113, 49, 29, 106, 66 | 363 |
A Sutherland | AR | 126, 137, 16, 17, 60 | 356 |
E Perry | AR | 120, 73, 74, 6, 77 | 350 |
P Litchfield | BAT | 174, 30, 44, 9, 69 | 326 |
M Schutt | BOW | 73, 42, 71, 87, 47 | 320 |
S Molineux | BOW | 6, 35, 66, 121, 44 | 272 |
A Healy | WK | 78, 29, 69, 41, 53 | 270 |
T McGrath | AR | 56, 67, 35, 83, 5 | 246 |
D Brown | BOW | 147, 8, 41, 39, 4 | 239 |
G Wareham | AR | 63, 24, 9, 117, 16 | 229 |
G Harris | AR | 36, 20, 4, 19 | 79 |
New Zealand Women – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Matchwise Fantasy Points (last 5) | Total |
---|---|---|---|
A Kerr | AR | 171, 53, 141, 95, 63 | 523 |
J Kerr | AR | 109, 99, 46, 76, 98 | 428 |
G Plimmer | BAT | 176, 52, 4, 49, 61 | 342 |
S Devine | AR | 93, 22, 48, 173, 6 | 342 |
M Green | BAT | 94, 148, 4, 60, 33 | 339 |
L Tahuhu | BOW | 32, 85, 59, 34, 69 | 279 |
S Bates | AR | 96, 60, 35, 77, 9 | 277 |
E Carson | BOW | 95, 68, 22, 4, 68 | 257 |
B Halliday | AR | 101, 20, 4, 43, 11 | 179 |
B Illing | BOW | 24, 69, 81 | 174 |
R Mair | BOW | 82, 29, 43, 4, 7 | 165 |
P Inglis | WK | 25, 96, 12 | 133 |
I Gaze | WK | 38, 27, 4, 5, 20 | 94 |
B James | BAT | 32, 43 | 75 |
Team Averages (Last 5 – cheat sheet)
AUS-W: Sutherland 106 avg, Gardner 102, Voll 87, Mooney 72, King 69.
NZ-W: A. Kerr 104 avg, J. Kerr 74, Devine 62, Plimmer 50, Illing 58 (3 games).
Role-Based Picks
Wicketkeepers
Player | Team | Recent Avg | Comment |
---|---|---|---|
Beth Mooney | AUS | 72 | Safe floor + C/VC viable |
Alyssa Healy | AUS | 58 | Attacking PP value |
Polly Inglis | NZ | 44 (3) | Punt if NZ load WK |
Batters
Player | Team | Note |
---|---|---|
Georgia Voll | AUS | Form hitter; top/middle order |
Phoebe Litchfield | AUS | Class vs pace; good vs spin too |
Maddy Green | NZ | Recent 148 vs SL-W; stabilizer |
Georgia Plimmer | NZ | Ceiling shown (176 vs SL-W) |
All-Rounders
Player | Team | Note |
---|---|---|
Ash Gardner | AUS | Premium: bat + 10 overs potential |
Annabel Sutherland | AUS | Consistency monster; finishes innings |
Amelia Kerr | NZ | NZ’s MVP: bat through + leg-spin |
Sophie Devine | NZ | Volatile ceiling, PP bat + medium pace |
Bowlers
Player | Team | Note |
---|---|---|
Alana King | AUS | Wrist-spin > pace at Holkar |
Megan Schutt | AUS | PP swing; death skills |
Kim Garth | AUS | Useful in PP/Death; catches, LBWs |
Lea Tahuhu | NZ | Hit-the-deck, wicket-taking bursts |
Eden Carson | NZ | Off-spin utility on this wicket |
Jess Kerr | NZ | Accuracy & movement; economy + wkts |
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Powerplay (0–10): Schutt, Garth (AUS) and Jess Kerr (NZ) prime for early poles; Healy/Mooney and Devine are high-variance PP batters.
Middle Overs (11–40): Spin wins here—Gardner/King for AUS; Amelia Kerr/Carson for NZ.
Death (41–50): Sutherland offers wicket shots + batting finish; Schutt/Garth vs Tahuhu/Jess Kerr. Prioritize bowlers who bowl at least 2+ overs in the last 10.
MVP & Differential Picks
Top MVPs: Ash Gardner, Annabel Sutherland, Amelia Kerr, Beth Mooney.
Differentials: Georgia Voll (form spike), Alana King (venue spin boost), Eden Carson (budget spinner), Maddy Green (stability with sneaky SR).
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Small League)
Playing XIs not announced—adjust for toss & lineups.
WK (1): Beth Mooney
BAT (3): Georgia Voll, Phoebe Litchfield, Maddy Green
AR (4): Ash Gardner (C), Annabel Sutherland (VC), Amelia Kerr, Sophie Devine
BOWL (3): Alana King, Megan Schutt, Jess Kerr
Bench/Alternates: Kim Garth, Lea Tahuhu, Georgia Plimmer, Eden Carson, Alyssa Healy
Why C/VC:
Gardner (C): All-format involvement + spin-friendly venue.
Sutherland (VC): High consistency + finishing role.
Backup C/VC: Amelia Kerr (two-way impact), Beth Mooney (safe floor).
Conditional Strategy & Final Tips
If AUS-W bat first: Stack top 5 AUS batters; keep 2 AUS spinners (Gardner/King). Death pacer Schutt/Garth retains value.
If NZ-W bat first: Lock Amelia Kerr; add Devine/Green for anchor + hitter balance; one of Jess Kerr/Tahuhu becomes must-have.
Spin Bias: Prioritize at least 2–3 spinners overall.
Balance: 7–8 AUS core with 2–3 NZ differentials works for small leagues given H2H trend.
Grand League punts: Carson, Plimmer, Healy (explosive PP), Tahuhu on new-ball juice.
Reminder: Re-check toss, batting order, and final XIs before locking.