Match Details
Teams: Australia vs India
Date & Time: 19 Oct, 09:00 AM IST
Venue: Perth Stadium, Perth
Format/Tournament: ODI
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Recent form:
India: W W W W W (red-hot, batting core in rhythm; Gill, Rohit, Kohli, Iyer all returning strong fantasy returns)
Australia: W L L L (patchy; rely on top-order burst from Head/Marsh and new-ball/death impact from Starc/Ellis/Dwarshuis)
H2H (recent snippets): Tilted India—Australia have mixed results with losses when setting a total; India have been excellent while chasing.
Takeaway: India enter as the more settled unit; Perth’s bounce keeps Aussie pacers relevant. Expect a bowling-assisted ODI by Perth standards.
Win Probability (est.)
Team | Pre-toss | If AUS bat first | If IND chase |
|---|---|---|---|
India | 58% | 55% | 65% |
Australia | 42% | 45% | 35% |
Rationale: India’s five-match streak & superior chasing record vs AUS’s weaker batting-first trend.
Pitch & Venue Analysis — Perth Stadium
Nature: Bowling-friendly (last 6 months ODI sample)
Avg 1st inns: ~140 (indicator of tricky run-making; treat as low-scoring)
Wickets/inn: ~6 per innings
Bowling vs Batting FP split: BOWL 52.7% vs BAT 47.3%
Toss trend: Teams have preferred to chase here recently.
Dimensions: ~65m square, 83m straight
Pace vs Spin (context): Perth’s bounce typically rewards pace with hard lengths; wrist-spin can still bite in the middle overs.
Fantasy angle: Prioritize pacers and bowling all-rounders; stack top-order batters who can handle bounce.
Venue Fantasy Insights (Actionable)
Load up new-ball & death pacers (AUS: Starc/Ellis/Dwarshuis; IND: A Singh, Siraj if plays).
Top-order batters > middle-order anchors—scoring is easier in first 10–15 overs before the surface gets two-paced.
Consider one wrist-spinner (e.g., Kuldeep Yadav) for middle-overs wicket burst.
Recent Fantasy Form — Key Players (Last 5 matches snapshot)
🇦🇺 Australia – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (L5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Travis Head | BAT | 276 | 23 | 205 | 81 | 119 | 704 |
Mitchell Marsh | BAT | 174 | 38 | 144 | 61 | 32 | 449 |
Ben Dwarshuis | BOW | 130 | 80 | 88 | 87 | 59 | 444 |
Xavier Bartlett | BOW | 68 | 90 | 120 | 126 | — | 404 |
Matthew Short | AR | 55 | 117 | 16 | 47 | 27 | 262 |
Nathan Ellis | BOW | 8 | 78 | 37 | 88 | 38 | 249 |
Cooper Connolly | AR | 179 | 41 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 242 |
Matt Kuhnemann | BOW | 84 | 78 | 4 | 71 | — | 237 |
Mitchell Starc | BOW | 9 | 121 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 191 |
Marnus Labuschagne | BAT | 20 | 71 | 14 | 51 | 20 | 176 |
Josh Hazlewood | BOW | 53 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 140 |
Josh Philippe | WK | 19 | 23 | 51 | — | — | 93 |
🇮🇳 India – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (L5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Axar Patel | AR | 57 | 90 | 117 | 74 | 80 | 418 |
Shreyas Iyer | BAT | 76 | 85 | 123 | 94 | 35 | 413 |
Virat Kohli | BAT | 11 | 136 | 31 | 164 | 46 | 388 |
Washington Sundar | AR | 47 | 83 | 114 | 55 | 72 | 371 |
Harshit Rana | BOW | 40 | 90 | 103 | 43 | 81 | 357 |
Rohit Sharma | BAT | 146 | 54 | 29 | 42 | 79 | 350 |
Shubman Gill | BAT | 45 | 24 | 6 | 82 | 177 | 334 |
Arshdeep Singh | BOW | 62 | 7 | 62 | 141 | 52 | 324 |
K L Rahul | WK | 60 | 82 | 43 | 18 | 93 | 296 |
Kuldeep Yadav | BOW | 83 | 12 | 80 | 97 | 16 | 288 |
Prasidh Krishna | BOW | 33 | 48 | 37 | 39 | 87 | 244 |
Mohammed Siraj | BOW | 33 | 37 | 44 | 39 | 25 | 178 |
Yashasvi Jaiswal | BAT | 30 | — | — | — | — | 30 |
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Powerplay (0–10)
AUS batting: Travis Head, M Marsh are high-impact; attack India’s quicks.
IND bowling: Siraj (if picked) & A Singh to target edges with bounce.
IND batting: Rohit Sharma & Shubman Gill prime picks vs hard new ball.
AUS bowling: Starc/Hazlewood (or Ellis) threaten early.
Death Overs (41–50)
AUS bowling: Starc + Ellis/Dwarshuis — left-arm angle & yorkers = wkts.
IND bowling: A Singh at death; Kuldeep can snare set batters before slog.
MVP Picks (Safe Captains)
Travis Head (BAT, AUS): Monster L5 volume (704); PP domination suits Perth.
Shubman Gill (BAT, IND): Elite recent average; bounce-friendly shot range.
Mitchell Marsh (AR, AUS): Dual-threat; if he bowls a spell, ceiling rises.
Differential Picks (High Upside, Lower Ownership)
Arshdeep Singh (BOW, IND): New ball swing + death; multiple phases.
Nathan Ellis / Ben Dwarshuis (BOW, AUS): Death-over wicket rush if selected.
Axar Patel (AR, IND): Quiet accumulator + control; adds catches/run-outs upside at this venue.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Subject to XIs & Toss)
Composition: 1 WK – 4 BAT – 2 AR – 4 BOW (pace-heavy, Perth-tuned)
WK: K L Rahul
BAT: Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill (VC), Virat Kohli, Travis Head (C)
AR: Mitchell Marsh, Axar Patel
BOW: Mitchell Starc, Kuldeep Yadav, Arshdeep Singh, Nathan Ellis (or Ben Dwarshuis if picked)
Bench swaps to consider at toss (if selected):
Josh Hazlewood for Ellis/Dwarshuis on a fresher deck.
Washington Sundar for Kuldeep if heavy seam movement + extra batting depth needed.
Marnus Labuschagne in for an extra bat if pitch looks truer than expected.
Final Fantasy Tips & Conditional Strategy
If Australia bat first:
Keep Starc + Ellis/Dwarshuis locked; add Kuldeep for middle-overs incision.
Captaincy tilt to Head/Marsh (ceiling if PP clicks).
If India bat first:
Favor Gill/Rohit stacks; Kohli as safety anchor.
Death bowl boost for Starc; retain A Singh for India’s bowling innings.
If the surface looks very green: Upgrade Hazlewood/Siraj type seamers; consider dropping one batter for an extra quick.
If it’s a used/drier strip: Keep Kuldeep and Axar; consider Sundar as punt AR.
Reminder: Re-check playing XIs and bowling roles at the toss. Prioritize players who bowl at least 8–10 overs combined across phases (PP/Death) or bat in the top-3.