Match Details
Match: Australia vs India
Date & Time: 8 Nov, 01:45 PM IST
Venue: The Gabba, Brisbane
Tournament: T20I
Short Match Preview
India arrive with better recent form (W W L W W) and have dominated the latest H2H stretch (IND vs AUS: W W L W W). Australia’s overall form is mixed (L L W W W) and they’ve struggled in this particular H2H run (AUS vs IND: L L W L L). The Gabba surface is balanced with a pacer tilt, so quality quicks and pace-hitters gain value. Expect powerplay wickets and late-overs surges.
Win Probability (Pre-toss)
Team | Based on recent form, H2H & venue fit |
|---|---|
India | 56% |
Australia | 44% |
Why: India’s stronger recent H2H and in-form core (Abhishek, Varun, Bumrah) slightly outweigh Australia’s patchy returns, though Gabba’s pace and Aussie finishers (Marsh/Maxwell/Tim David) keep it tight.
Pitch & Venue Analysis – The Gabba
Nature: Balanced, pacers have the edge
Avg 1st inns: 160 | Avg wickets/inns: 7
Toss trend: Captains opt to chase ~80%; results are 50-50 batting first vs chasing
Bowling split (fantasy impact): Pacers > Spinners
1st inns FP/over: Pace ~12.3, Spin ~10.1
2nd inns FP/over: Pace ~13.9, Spin ~10.9
Ground dimensions: ~75m square, 85m straight
Top recent venue performers: N Ellis, X Bartlett, G Maxwell, M Stoinis, T David
Fantasy takeaway: Load up on quality pacers (wicket-takers across phases). Carry one impact spinner from India (Varun/Kuldeep).
Fantasy Insights (Form Snapshots)
Team Form (last 5):
India: W W L W W | AUS: L L W W W
When chasing / batting first:India chasing: W L W W W (strong)
Australia batting first: L W W W L (OK but not bulletproof)
Last 5 Matches – High Impact Fantasy Scorers (Overall list)
Australia – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M Marsh | AR | 54 | 19 | 100 | 211 | 181 | 565 |
N Ellis | BOW | 132 | 121 | 107 | 114 | 29 | 503 |
B Dwarshuis | BOW | 16 | 82 | 13 | 98 | 145 | 354 |
G Maxwell | AR | 6 | 134 | 102 | 59 | 51 | 352 |
M Stoinis | AR | 64 | 153 | 52 | 66 | 7 | 342 |
A Zampa | BOW | 109 | 41 | 12 | 81 | 37 | 280 |
T David | BAT | 44 | 154 | 19 | 15 | 55 | 287 |
X Bartlett | BOW | 45 | 54 | 75 | 81 | 4 | 259 |
M Short | BAT | 55 | 55 | 2 | 19 | 96 | 227 |
J Inglis | WK | 32 | 21 | 62 | 10 | 10 | 135 |
J Philippe | WK | 26 | 15 | 20 | 22 | 15 | 98 |
India – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A Sharma | AR | 56 | 58 | 138 | 13 | 123 | 388 |
V Chakravarthy | BOW | 62 | 84 | 85 | 72 | 50 | 353 |
W Sundar | AR | 139 | 99 | 4 | 70 | 30 | 342 |
J Bumrah | BOW | 55 | 14 | 86 | 90 | 88 | 333 |
A Patel | AR | 133 | 45 | 7 | 74 | 46 | 305 |
T Varma | BAT | 9 | 63 | 10 | 136 | 81 | 299 |
A Singh | BOW | 52 | 108 | 34 | 45 | 37 | 276 |
S Dube | AR | 98 | 30 | 12 | 70 | 17 | 227 |
S Gill | BAT | 84 | 23 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 160 |
S Yadav | BAT | 50 | 58 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 138 |
J Sharma | WK | 7 | 42 | 14 | 60 | 9 |
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Powerplay (Overs 1–6)
India batting: S Gill, Abhishek Sharma to attack hard; Abhishek’s recent purple patch boosts ceiling.
Australia bowling: J Hazlewood / X Bartlett are disciplined with new ball; Bartlett has venue pedigree.
Middle Overs (7–15)
India bowling: Kuldeep/Varun squeeze + strike; Axar/Washington as matchup options vs RHs.
Australia batting: Marsh, Maxwell are key enforcers; M Short rotates then accelerates.
Death Overs (16–20)
Australia bowling: Nathan Ellis is an elite death specialist; Stoinis/Dwarshuis can chip in.
India bowling: Jasprit Bumrah + Arshdeep Singh form a top death combo.
Finishers (bat): Tim David, Maxwell (AUS); Suryakumar, Axar/Abhishek (IND).
Key MVP Picks
Mitchell Marsh (AUS, AR): Batting form + part-time overs; massive recent spikes (200+ FPts games).
Abhishek Sharma (IND, AR): Red-hot returns; PP value and matchup-friendly.
Jasprit Bumrah (IND, BOW): Death overs + Gabba pace assist = premium wicket threat.
Nathan Ellis (AUS, BOW): Sustained high scores vs IND; specialist at the death.
Differential Picks (High Upside)
Varun Chakravarthy / Kuldeep Yadav (IND, BOW): One premium spinner; wicket-taking through middle on a pace-lean surface.
Washington Sundar (IND, AR): Role fluid but ceiling shown (139, 99 vs AUS).
Ben Dwarshuis / Xavier Bartlett (AUS, BOW): Venue-friendly pacers; Bartlett has Gabba track record.
Tim David (AUS, BAT): Boom/bust finisher; recent big haul vs IND.
Suggested Dream11 Team (Pre-toss)
Balances Gabba pacers + current form; adjust for confirmed XIs.
WK (1):
J Inglis
BAT (3):
Suryakumar Yadav
Tilak Varma
Tim David
ALL-ROUND (3):
Mitchell Marsh (C)
Glenn Maxwell
Abhishek Sharma
BOWL (4):
Jasprit Bumrah (VC)
Arshdeep Singh
Varun Chakravarthy (or Kuldeep if selected)
Nathan Ellis
Bench pivots if XIs alter roles: Axar Patel, Washington Sundar, Josh Hazlewood, Ben Dwarshuis, Matt Short.
Final Fantasy Tips & Toss Plans
If India chase: Lean IND core (Abhishek, SKY, Bumrah) + Ellis for death; consider VC on SKY.
If India bat first: Keep two Aussie death bowlers (Ellis + one of Stoinis/Dwarshuis) and retain Marsh C.
If Australia pick double new-ball pace (Hazlewood + Bartlett): Slightly downgrade Gill, upgrade Indian middle-order (SKY/Tilak).
One spinner only is viable at Gabba; if pitch looks drier than usual, switch to Kuldeep + drop one pacer.
Safety vs upside: Marsh/Bumrah are the safe C/VC; Abhishek/Tim David are high-variance tournament punts.