Match Details
Match: Australia vs India (T20I)
Date & Time: 6 Nov, 01:45 PM IST
Venue: Carrara Oval, Gold Coast
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Recent form:
Australia: L W W W W (mixed but generally strong)
India: W L W W L (inconsistent finish)
H2H recent:
AUS vs IND: AUS L W L L L, IND W L W W W → India have the recent edge.
Narrative: India’s bowling core (Bumrah/Arshdeep + Kuldeep/Varun) has delivered steady fantasy returns, while Australia’s power-hitters (Marsh/Tim David) and death specialist Nathan Ellis have been standout scorers.
Win Probability (modelled from form + H2H)
Team | Probability |
|---|---|
India | 57% |
Australia | 43% |
Pitch & Venue – Carrara Oval
Type: Balanced, slight help for pacers.
Avg 1st inns: 154 | Avg wickets/inn: 7
Pace vs Spin (Fantasy pts/over): 1st inns PACE 14.5 > SPIN 8.8; 2nd inns PACE 12.7 > SPIN 11.9
Team strengths (fp): 1st inns BOWL 180 vs BAT 178; 2nd inns BOWL 194.5 vs BAT 162.3 → bowling impact holds up across innings.
Toss Trend: Captains prefer chasing (90%); results even (50-50).
Takeaway: Pick more pacers, especially PP & death specialists. Balance batters with form/role.
Fantasy Insights for Carrara
Bowling gets ~52% share of points here.
Pacers with PP or death overs are premium picks.
If you stack bat, target top-order only (powerplay value).
Venue memories: Bartlett/Dwarshuis have scored well here; Short had modest returns.
Last 5 Matches – High Impact Players (Fantasy Points Snapshot)
India
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts (best → recent list) |
|---|---|---|
A. Sharma | AR | 167, 123, 13, 138, 58 → 499 |
V. Chakravarthy | BOW | 82, 50, 72, 85, 84 → 373 |
J. Bumrah | BOW | 90, 88, 9, 86, 14 → 287 |
A. Singh | BOW | 45, 37, 34, 34, 108 → 258 |
T. Varma | BAT | 136, 81, 57, 10, 63 → 347 |
W. Sundar | AR | 99, 4, 70, 30, 37 → 240 |
A. Patel | AR | 74, 46, 65, 7, 45 → 237 |
S. Yadav | BAT | 58, 5, 5, 20, 15 → 103 |
Jitesh Sharma | WK | 60, 14, 11, 9, 42 → 136 |
Australia
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts (best → recent list) |
|---|---|---|
M. Marsh | AR | 211, 181, 110, 100, 19 → 621 |
N. Ellis | BOW | 121, 107, 114, 29, 92 → 463 |
M. Stoinis | AR | 153, 52, 66, 7, 102 → 380 |
T. David | BAT | 154, 19, 55, 31, 15 → 274 |
X. Bartlett | BOW | 81, 4, 88, 75, 54 → 302 |
S. Abbott | BOW | 148, 20, 61, 67, 0 → 296 |
T. Head | BAT | 75, 60, 35, 26, 14 → 210 |
M. Short | BAT | 96, 22, 19, 2, 55 → 194 |
J. Inglis | WK | 62, 30, 10, 10, 21 → 133 |
Consistency markers: Ellis, Marsh, Varun, Arshdeep have multiple 80+ games in the last five.
Powerplay & Death Overs – Impact Lens
India PP: Arshdeep to swing early; Bumrah can take a PP over.
India Death: Bumrah + Arshdeep (premium VC/C upside).
Australia PP: Bartlett/Hazlewood (if Hazlewood plays) share new ball; Bartlett has venue recall.
Australia Death: Ellis is the go-to → massive fantasy ceiling.
MVP Picks (Safe)
Jasprit Bumrah (IND, BOW): Form + death overs at a pace-friendly venue.
Nathan Ellis (AUS, BOW): Killer death phase; recent 100+ spikes vs IND.
Abhishek Sharma (IND, AR): Opening + part-time spin; top overall FPts & avg across recent games.
Mitchell Marsh (AUS, AR): Top-order + a couple of overs; huge single-game ceilings.
Differential Picks (Risk/Reward)
Varun Chakravarthy (IND, BOW): Middle overs choke; IND using him as wicket option even on pacey decks.
Tilak Varma (IND, BAT): If batting first, anchors + slog overs.
Tim David (AUS, BAT): Late-over sixes; mega upside if AUS finish strong.
Xavier Bartlett (AUS, BOW): New-ball value + venue history.
Suggested Team Combination (Carrara template)
WK (1): Jitesh Sharma / Josh Inglis (form-based; Jitesh slightly higher ceiling with IND role)
BAT (3–4): Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Tim David, (one of) Travis Head/Matt Short
AR (2–3): Abhishek Sharma, Mitchell Marsh, (option) Marcus Stoinis
BOW (4): Jasprit Bumrah, Arshdeep Singh, Nathan Ellis, Xavier Bartlett/Varun Chakravarthy
Pace-heavy core; switch one pacer to Varun if pitch looks tacky or if AUS load up with right-handers.
Dream11 XI (Primary)
Jitesh Sharma (WK); Suryakumar Yadav, Tilak Varma, Tim David; Abhishek Sharma (C), Mitchell Marsh; Jasprit Bumrah (VC), Arshdeep Singh, Nathan Ellis, Xavier Bartlett, Varun Chakravarthy.
Bench swaps: Head ↔ SKY/Tim if team balance needs, Stoinis ↔ Bartlett if AUS bowl first with heavy wind.
Conditional Strategy
If India bat first:
Boost Tilak Varma/SKY (top-order run volume).
Keep Bumrah (VC) – wicket-taking at death vs slog.
If Australia bat first:
Prioritize Ellis + Bartlett, consider Head over Tilak if AUS powerplay-friendly.
Tim David becomes high-upside pick in last 5 overs.
If chasing under lights:
Keep 4 pacers. Death specialists gain (Ellis/Bumrah/Arshdeep).
If surface looks slow/tacky at toss:
Swap Bartlett → Varun/Kuldeep (middle-overs squeeze).
Final Tips
Captaincy pool: Abhishek Sharma, Bumrah, Ellis, Marsh.
Vice-Captain pool: Bumrah, Ellis, Varun, Tim David.
Safety: Lock at least 3 death-overs bowlers.
Upside punt: Tim David if AUS likely to finish strong; Varun if grip on offer.