Match Details

  • Match: Australia vs India, T20I

  • Date & Time: 31 Oct, 01:45 PM IST

  • Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground (MCG)

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  • Recent form:

    • Australia: W W W L W (solid momentum)

    • India: W W L W W (similarly strong)

  • H2H snapshot (last 5): Australia vs India → L L L W L (India edge)

  • Toss/trend context: At MCG, teams prefer chasing (80%), but results are 50–50 either way.

Summary: Two in-form sides. India’s wrist-spin + death bowling vs Australia’s power top-order. Conditions are balanced; expect a tactical game around 160–175.

Win Probability (Modelled from form + H2H + venue trend)

Team

Win %

India

52%

Australia

48%

Pitch & Venue Analysis – MCG

  • Surface: Balanced — even split between bat & ball.

  • Avg 1st inns: 163 | Avg wickets/inn: 6

  • Boundaries: ~73m square, 86m straight (big ground → value for running, spinners protected).

  • Role split (fantasy points trend):

    • Overall: Bat 55.7% vs Bowl 44.3%

    • Pace vs Spin (FPts/over): Overall Pace 12.1 | Spin 11.7

    • By innings: 1st inns → Spin 13.2, Pace 10.9 | 2nd inns → Pace 13.2, Spin 9.2

  • Toss trends @ MCG: Chase chosen 80%; results 50–50.
    Takeaway: Build balanced teams; give extra weight to wrist-spin in 1st inns and death pacers while chasing/defending late.

Fantasy Insights for this Venue

  • Wrist-spinners (e.g., Kuldeep Yadav) get protection from big square boundaries—premium pick if India bowls first.

  • Death specialists (Bumrah, Ellis/Dwarshuis) benefit from 2nd-innings pace bias.

  • Top-order anchors + power hitters still matter but raw boundary hitters can be dragged into 30s/40s due to long pockets—fitness/running players (Marsh, Gill, Tilak) get a bump.

Form Meter: Top Fantasy Performers (Last 5, Overall)

Australia

Player

Points (last 5)

M Marsh

211, 181, 110, 44, 27

G Maxwell

134, 102, 59, 51, 117

B Dwarshuis

82, 13, 98, 145, 123

T David

15, 55, 31, 116, 167

J Hazlewood

83, 51, 81, 42, 114

S Abbott

148, 20, 61, 67, 30

N Ellis

114, 29, 92, 21, 42

X Bartlett

81, 4, 88, 37, 57

A Zampa

41, 12, 81, 37, 88

M Short

19, 96, 22, 66, 29

M Stoinis

66, 7, 102, 19, 29

B McDermott

86, 32, 37, 1, 14

T Head

26, 75, 35, 13, 6

T Sangha

31, 62, 2, 6, 50

M Owen

26, 4, 18, 14, 81

J Inglis

10, 10, 30, 113, 33

J Philippe

15, 20, 22, 15, 15

M Kuhnemann

17 (1 match)

India

Player

Points (last 5)

A Sharma

13, 123, 167, 154, 86

K Yadav

159, 42, 122, 47, 51

N Tilak Varma

136, 81, 57, 62, 59

J Bumrah

90, 88, 9, 97, 56

V Chakravarthy

72, 50, 82, 29, 54

S Samson

58, 85, 4, 29, 98

A Patel

74, 46, 65, 7, 63

K Nitish Reddy

20, 25, 164, 22 (4 matches)

A Singh

34, 45, 37, 34, 60

S Gill

20, 28, 55, 91, 13

H Rana

35, 63, 99 (3 matches)

S Dube

70, 17, 71, 10, 20

W Sundar

4, 70, 30, 37, 47

J Sharma

14, 60, 9, 11, 35

R Singh

28, 22, 52, 12, 4

S Yadav

5, 20, 15, 16, 4

Totals from the last 5 matches across venues and opponents.

Australia

Player

Role

FPts (5)

Notes

M Marsh

BAT/AR

573

Massive ceiling (211, 181 in recent NZ games)

G Maxwell

AR

463

All-phase impact, finishing + part-time off-spin

B Dwarshuis

BOW

461

Wicket-taking left-arm seamer; strong recent SA/WI

J Hazlewood

BOW

371

New-ball menace; economical and strikes in PP

T David

BAT

384

Elite finisher; death-overs boundary hitter

S Abbott

AR

326

Utility overs; handy lower-order hitting

N Ellis

BOW

298

Death overs specialist

A Zampa

BOW

259

Wrist-spin factor if AUS bowls first

India

Player

Role

FPts (5)

Notes

A Sharma

AR

543

Red-hot form; multi-category upside

K Yadav

BOW

421

Wrist-spin trump card; big hauls (159, 122)

N Tilak Varma

BAT

395

Consistent middle-order run flow

J Bumrah

BOW

340

Premium death + PP; reliable wickets

V Chakravarthy

BOW

287

Mystery spin differential if picked

S Samson

WK

274

Recent two 80+ and 98 point knocks in Asia leg

A Patel

AR

255

PP/MI overs + batting utility

A Singh

BOW

210

Left-arm angle; death overs role

Consistency & Perfect Lineup Signals

  • Frequent DreamTeam picks:

    • India: A Sharma (8x), V Chakravarthy (8x), N Tilak Varma (7x), A Patel (7x)

    • Australia: B Dwarshuis (6x), A Zampa (6x), T David (5x)

  • High recent averages: Kuldeep (102 avg in 7), A Sharma (104 avg in 10), Hazlewood (74 avg in 5), Dwarshuis (82 avg in 8), T David (87 avg in 8).

Phase Impact – Who to Target

Powerplay (0–6)

  • Batters: M Marsh, T Head, A Sharma, S Gill

  • Bowlers: J Hazlewood, X Bartlett (if picked), J Bumrah
    Note: Hazlewood vs Gill/A Sharma is a high-impact PP battle.

Middle Overs (7–15)

  • Batters: Tilak Varma, Maxwell (vs spin), Suryakumar (boom/bust)

  • Bowlers: Kuldeep Yadav, A Zampa, A Patel
    Note: Wrist-spin lifts at MCG in 1st inns—Kuldeep/Zampa ceiling rises.

Death Overs (16–20)

  • Batters: T David, Maxwell, Stoinis

  • Bowlers: Bumrah, Ellis, Dwarshuis, Arshdeep Singh
    Note: 2nd-innings pace outperforms spin late—favour Bumrah/Ellis/Dwarshuis when defending/chasing tight totals.

Key MVP Picks

  1. A Sharma (IND, AR) – Form + dual skill; safe C in balanced conditions.

  2. M Marsh (AUS, AR/BAT) – Pace hitter with bowling utility; great VC/C if AUS bats first.

  3. K Yadav (IND, BOW) – Wrist-spin upside at MCG; monster-haul potential bowling first.

  4. J Bumrah (IND, BOW) – All-phase wickets; elite death economy + SR.

  5. B Dwarshuis (AUS, BOW) – In hot wicket-taking rhythm; value MVP if AUS bowls second.

Differential Picks

  • N Ellis (AUS, BOW) – Death specialist; lower ownership, high ceiling.

  • V Chakravarthy (IND, BOW) – Mystery spin punt if selected.

  • X Bartlett (AUS, BOW) – PP movement; venue cameo (listed “captaincy appearance 1/1”).

  • N Tilak Varma (IND, BAT) – Middle overs accumulator with finishing gears.

  • A Patel (IND, AR) – Quiet floor via overs + handy 20s/30s.

Suggested Dream11 Team (Grand League lean, balanced risk)

Note: Subject to final XIs & toss. Keep 1–2 swaps handy.

WK (1): S Samson
BAT (3): M Marsh, T David, N Tilak Varma (S Gill is a safe alt over David if you want top-order safety)
AR (3): A Sharma (C), A Patel, G Maxwell (Alt: drop Maxwell for Suryakumar if team needs higher ceiling bat)
BOW (4): J Bumrah, K Yadav (VC), B Dwarshuis, J Hazlewood (Alt: N Ellis for Hazlewood in death-heavy builds)

Captains/VC alternatives:

  • If AUS bat firstC Marsh / VC Kuldeep

  • If IND bowl firstC Kuldeep / VC Bumrah

  • If IND chaseC A Sharma / VC Gill or Tilak

Team balance: 6 IND / 5 AUS (compliant with max from one side).

Conditional Strategy & Final Tips

  • If Australia bats first: Push Marsh, Head/T David, and two AUS pacers (Hazlewood + one of Ellis/Dwarshuis). Spin VC (Kuldeep) remains live due to 1st-innings spin uptick.

  • If India chase: India’s chasing form is strong (4 wins in last 5). Prioritize A Sharma + top-order India bat (Gill/Tilak) and death pacers (Bumrah).

  • If India bat first: Keep Kuldeep locked; add A Patel for control + batting cushion.

  • Small Leagues (safer): A Sharma / Marsh / Bumrah / Kuldeep core; avoid stacking too many punt picks.

  • Grand Leagues: One of Ellis/Chakravarthy/Bartlett as differential; rotate C/VC between Marsh/Kuldeep/A Sharma based on toss.

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