Match Details
Match: Australia vs India (T20I)
Date & Time: 2 Nov, 01:45 PM IST
Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart
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Australia enter with stronger recent form (W W W W L), while India’s last five are mixed (L W W L W). Head-to-head trends are tight, with both sides trading wins. The Bellerive Oval pitch is balanced with an avg 1st inns 157 and only ~6 wickets/innings, so batters with intent and bowlers with clear roles (new ball / death) are the best sources of fantasy points.
Win Probability (Pre-toss)
Team | Win % |
|---|---|
Australia | 52% |
India | 48% |
Rationale: Aussie form + home venue, but India’s wicket-takers (Kuldeep, Bumrah, Varun) and an in-form Abhishek Sharma keep it very close.
Pitch & Venue Analysis — Bellerive Oval
Surface: Balanced — “make even selection of batsmen and bowlers.”
Avg 1st inns: 157
Wkts/inn: ~6
Toss trends at venue: Win toss → 60% choose to chase; Wins: 70% chasing, 30% defending.
Bat vs Bowl fantasy share: Bat 54.6% | Bowl 45.4%
Pacers vs Spinners: Supports both almost equally.
Fantasy/over: PACE 12.1, SPIN 11.6 (overall)
1st inns: SPIN 13.9 > PACE 12.4 | 2nd inns: PACE 11.6 > SPIN 10.2
Ground dimensions: ~68m square, 88m straight → straight power in play; square boundaries bring cutters into the game late.
Venue regulars: Maxwell (avg 66 in 3), Stoinis (59), Owen (56), Inglis (55); Zampa & Ellis both average ~33–44 fantasy here.
Fantasy angle: Slight lean to batters, but bowling points spike if seamers get new-ball movement or if chasing side squeezes with cutters. Don’t over-stack one skill.
Recent Form Snapshots
Australia: W W W W L
When AUS bat first: W W W L W (good record setting totals)
India: L W W L W
When IND chase: L W W W W (generally strong chasing)
Venue-Specific Fantasy Insights
Safe roles:
PP seamers: Bartlett (AUS), Bumrah (IND)
Middle-over spin: Kuldeep, Varun (IND) — venue shows spin-friendly returns in 1st inns
Death overs: Bumrah (IND), Ellis (AUS) are premium for strike + economy bonus.
Power hitters suited: Head & Marsh (AUS), Abhishek Sharma & Tilak Varma (IND). Straight boundary length rewards clean lofts.
AUSTRALIA – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Marsh | AR | 100 | 211 | 181 | 110 | 44 | 646 | 129 |
N. Ellis | BOW | 107 | 114 | 29 | 92 | 21 | 363 | 73 |
X. Bartlett | BOW | 75 | 81 | 4 | 88 | 37 | 285 | 57 |
M. Stoinis | AR | 52 | 66 | 7 | 102 | 19 | 246 | 49 |
T. David | BAT | 19 | 15 | 55 | 31 | 116 | 236 | 47 |
J. Inglis | WK | 62 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 113 | 225 | 45 |
T. Head | BAT | 60 | 26 | 75 | 35 | 13 | 209 | 42 |
M. Short | BAT | 2 | 19 | 96 | 22 | 66 | 205 | 41 |
M. Owen | AR | 27 | 26 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 89 | 18 |
M. Kuhnemann | BOW | 10 | – | – | – | 17 | 27 | 14 |
INDIA – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Sharma | AR | 138 | 13 | 123 | 167 | 154 | 595 | 119 |
K. Yadav | BOW | 71 | 159 | 42 | 122 | 47 | 441 | 88 |
J. Bumrah | BOW | 86 | 90 | 88 | 9 | 97 | 370 | 74 |
T. Varma | BAT | 10 | 136 | 81 | 57 | 62 | 346 | 69 |
V. Chakravarthy | BOW | 85 | 72 | 50 | 82 | 29 | 318 | 64 |
H. Rana | BOW | 59 | 35 | 63 | 99 | – | 256 | 64 |
A. Patel | AR | 7 | 74 | 46 | 65 | 7 | 199 | 40 |
S. Gill | BAT | 5 | 20 | 28 | 55 | 91 | 199 | 40 |
S. Samson | WK | 14 | 58 | 85 | 4 | 29 | 190 | 38 |
S. Dube | AR | 12 | 70 | 17 | 71 | 10 | 180 | 36 |
S. Yadav | BAT | 5 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 61 | 12 |
Hot Fantasy Form (Last 5 – overall)
Top India
Abhishek Sharma (AR): 112 avg over last 10; recent scores vs AUS/Asia sides are elite (167, 154, 123 type spikes).
Kuldeep Yadav (BOW): 98 avg (5); big hauls recently (159, 122).
Bumrah (BOW): ~71 avg (6); consistent 80–90s with wickets at PP/Death.
Varun Chakravarthy (BOW): ~60 avg (9); economy + wickets in middle.
Tilak Varma (BAT): recent returns strong (81, 136).
Top Australia
Mitchell Marsh (AR): ~81 avg (10); ceiling 150+ type.
Tim David (BAT): ~79 avg (9); death-overs finishing spikes.
Nathan Ellis (BOW): ~69 avg (7); death specialist.
Travis Head (BAT): steady (66 avg over 5 at H2H slice).
Xavier Bartlett (BOW): 75 in last H2H; new-ball threat.
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Powerplay (0–6)
Best Batters: Travis Head, M Marsh (AUS) | Abhishek Sharma, Shubman Gill (IND)
Best Bowlers: Jasprit Bumrah (IND), Xavier Bartlett (AUS) — heavy wobble-seam/new-ball shapes
Death (16–20)
Best Batters: Tim David, Maxwell/Stoinis (AUS) | Tilak Varma, Rinku Singh (IND)
Best Bowlers: Bumrah (IND), Ellis (AUS) — yorkers/variations = wicket clusters
MVP Picks (High Ceiling, High Involvement)
Abhishek Sharma (IND, AR): Opening intent + part-time overs; 112 avg across last 10, repeatedly in perfect lineups.
Mitchell Marsh (AUS, AR): Role security, top-order + a couple of overs; excellent when AUS bat first.
Kuldeep Yadav (IND, BOW): Middle-over strike threat; recent hauls vs top teams.
Jasprit Bumrah (IND, BOW): Bankable: PP + death = dual-phase wickets, consistent 80–90 point games.
Tim David (AUS, BAT): Differential-to-popular cusp; death-overs 30*(12) type knocks bring bonus.
Differential Picks (Low Ownership Upside)
Varun Chakravarthy (IND): Conditions suit; many will default to pacers in AUS—leverage with middle-over spin.
Xavier Bartlett (AUS): Early swing at Hobart; PP wickets = bonus + dot-ball economy.
Harshit Rana (IND): Smaller sample but ~64 avg recently; can bowl tough overs for strike potential.
Josh Inglis (AUS, WK): Venue returns (~55 avg) + glovework gives a floor.
Suggested Dream11 Team (Pre-toss)
(Balance for the balanced pitch; adjust 1–2 names after toss/lineups.)
WK (1):
J Inglis (AUS)
BAT (3–4):
T Head (AUS)
T David (AUS)
N Tilak Varma (IND)
ALL-ROUND (2–3):
A Sharma (IND) — Captain (C)
M Marsh (AUS) — Vice-Captain (VC)
(Optional swap if lineups demand more AR) G Maxwell (AUS) over a batter
BOWL (3–4):
J Bumrah (IND)
K Yadav (IND)
N Ellis (AUS)
V Chakravarthy (IND) (if you include Maxwell, drop one of Varun/Tilak based on toss)
Bench/Watchlist for last-minute swaps: X Bartlett (AUS), A Patel (IND), R Singh (IND).
Final Fantasy Tips
If Australia bat first: Prioritise Marsh (VC/C) + Head + David + Ellis. Add one extra spinner (Kuldeep/Varun) — 1st-innings spin returns trend higher here.
If India bat first: Keep Abhishek (C) and Tilak locked; retain Kuldeep + Bumrah. Consider Maxwell only if AUS pick two leg-spinners (slower deck reads).
If chasing under lights: Slight bowling dip; favour finishers (David/Rinku) and death bowlers (Bumrah/Ellis) for wicket bursts.
Rain/conditions watch: Any extra moisture → upgrade PP pacers (Bumrah/Bartlett), downgrade one spinner.