AFG vs PAK Dream11 Prediction Today Match – Fantasy Tips, Probable Playing 11 & Pitch Report

Match Details

  • Match: Afghanistan vs Pakistan (T20I)

  • Date & Time: 7 Sep 2025, 08:30 PM IST

  • Venue: Sharjah Cricket Stadium

  • Tournament: UAE T20I Tri-Series

  • Playing XI: Not announced yet

Quick Match Preview

  • Recent form:

    • AFG: W W W L W (strong momentum; particularly good when batting first)

    • PAK: W L W W W (in form; batting firepower peaking)

  • H2H (recent): AFG: W L L → slight tilt to PAK overall, but AFG have improved in last few meetings.

  • Toss & Venue: Sharjah has been high-scoring lately (avg 1st inns 181) with a bat-first win rate ~70%. Both pace and spin are in play (almost equal FPs), so balanced attacks matter.

  • Narrative: If AFG bat first, their structured top-order (Ibrahim, Gurbaz, Atal) plus Rashid’s middle-over choke can boss the game. If PAK chase, their hitting core (Saim, Fakhar, Salman) and death bowling (Rauf/Shaheen) tilt it back.

Win Probability (modelled from form + venue + toss trends)

Scenario

Afghanistan

Pakistan

AFG bat first

55%

45%

PAK bat first

48%

52%

If match goes to a chase

49%

51%

Overall (pre-toss)

50–52%

48–50%

Edge swings to the side that bats first at Sharjah.

Pitch & Venue Analysis – Sharjah

  • Average 1st inns score: 181 | Avg wkts/inns: ~7

  • Fantasy split (venue): 1st inns FP: BAT 301 / BOWL 230 | 2nd inns FP: BAT 273 / BOWL 266

  • Pace vs Spin (FP/over): Pace ~14.4, Spin ~12.9 (near-par; both relevant)

  • Toss trend: Captains are split on decision (~50/50), but results favour batting first (~70%).

  • Profiles that work: Middle-order hitters who face 25–35 balls + wicket-takers with PP swing or middle-over spin.

Venue Fantasy Nuggets

  • Frequent C/VC here recently: Ibrahim Zadran, Saim Ayub, Haris Rauf, Abrar/Abrar-type mystery spin (A. Ahmed), Faheem Ashraf.

  • Top venue Averages (recent 4): M. Nawaz (~99), I. Zadran (~92), Rashid (~89), Saim (~75), Sediq Atal (~68), Faheem (~66), Fakhar (~65).

Form Radar – Last 5 Fantasy Points (highlights)

Pakistan

  • Saim Ayub (AR): 453 → 51, 181, 34, 153, 34 → 3/5 big hauls

  • Mohammad Nawaz (AR): 433105, 22, 139, 130, 37 → 3 tons; massive ceiling

  • S Mirza (BOW): 366 → 10, 47, 133, 96, 80 → purple patch for a spinner

  • A Ahmed (BOW): 346161, 21, 7, 141, 16 → boom-or-bust

  • Faheem Ashraf (AR): 293166 last AFG game; role at death handy

  • Fakhar Zaman (BAT): 292151, 61, low, low → venue friendly

  • Shaheen Afridi (BOW): 285 → 55, 16, 107, 61, 46 → 4/5 ≥46 (good floor)

  • Haris Rauf (BOW): recent cluster of 65–158 in this tri-series segment (x-factor death)

Afghanistan

  • Ibrahim Zadran (BAT): 37796, 123, 123, 29, 6 → 3/5 90+ (Sharjah star)

  • Mujeeb ur Rahman (BOW): 254 → 48, 23, 63, 58, 62extremely steady PP/MO

  • Azmatullah Omarzai (AR): 229 → 28, 6, 50, 30, 115 → role-dependent

  • Rahmanullah Gurbaz (WK): 22094, 26, 13, 66, 21 → if set, goes big

  • Karim Janat (AR): 214 → 64, 24, 53, 2, 71 → finisher + medium pace

  • Noor Ahmad (BOW): 17187 vs PAK; MO wicket-taker

  • Fareed Ahmad Malik (BOW): 165 → 79 vs PAK earlier; LHB pace, can bowl death

Powerplay & Death Overs – Impact Lens

  • AFG Powerplay: Fazalhaq Farooqi (swing), Mujeeb (new-ball off-spin) → early wickets key vs Saim/Fakhar.

  • AFG Middle/Death: Rashid to control overs 7–15; Fareed/Janat for 17–20.

  • PAK Powerplay: Shaheen to left-arm angle into Gurbaz/Ibrahim; A Ahmed/S Mirza if spin PP used.

  • PAK Death: Haris Rauf primary; Faheem support.

  • Matchups to watch:

    • Rashid vs PAK middle (Salman/Farhan/Fakhar if held back)

    • Shaheen vs Gurbaz/Ibrahim in PP

    • Mujeeb vs Saim (powerplay match-up)

Key MVP Picks

  • Mohammad Nawaz (PAK, AR): Recent average ~88; bowls 3–4 + floats up the order; elite venue record.

  • Rashid Khan (AFG, AR): Safe floor with wickets; batting bump possible.

  • Ibrahim Zadran (AFG, BAT): Consistent Sharjah scorer; anchors innings.

  • Haris Rauf (PAK, BOW): Death-over wicket clusters; ceiling 120–160 FP.

Differential Picks

  • S Mirza (PAK, BOW): Hot streak; can outscore big names if surface grips.

  • Faheem Ashraf (PAK, AR): Form spike (166 FP vs AFG); points in 3 facets.

  • Mujeeb (AFG, BOW): Lower ownership compared to Rashid but very steady.

  • Sediq Atal (AFG, BAT): Quietly logging 50–110 type returns at Sharjah.

Team Construction – Venue Logic

  • Combination: 7 bat/AR : 4 pure bowl (but pick bowlers who bat or all-rounders for Sharjah)

  • Balance: 1 WK, 4 BAT, 3 AR, 3 BOW (flex to 2 AR + 4 BOW if you feel it’s tacky)

Suggested Dream11 Lineup (Pre-toss)

WK (1): R Gurbaz (AFG)
BAT (4): I Zadran (AFG), S Ayub (PAK), F Zaman (PAK), S Atal (AFG)
AR (3): M Nawaz (PAK) – C, Rashid Khan (AFG) – VC, F Ashraf (PAK)
BOW (3): H Rauf (PAK), S Afridi (PAK), F Farooqi (AFG)

Bench/Alternates (conditions):

  • If more spin: swap S Afridi → A Ahmed / S Mirza; consider Mujeeb / Noor Ahmad for Farooqi.

  • If PAK bat first: upgrade Fakhar (for Atal) for top-order hitting.

  • If AFG bat first: consider Karim Janat (for Faheem) as late-overs finisher + 2 overs.

  • Ultra-diff: A Omarzai (AR) if he bowls 3+ and bats top-6.

Team cap: 6 PAK + 5 AFG (within max-7 rule).

Dream Team XIs from the last two AFG vs PAK games:

02 Sep 2025 – Sharjah

  1. Faheem Ashraf – 166

  2. Ibrahim Zadran – 123

  3. Sediq Atal – 116

  4. Rashid Khan – 96

  5. Fazalhaq Farooqi – 90

  6. Mohammad Nabi – 89

  7. Noor Ahmad – 87

  8. Haris Rauf – 65

  9. Fakhar Zaman – 61

  10. Saim Ayub – 51

  11. Saud Farhan – 40

29 Aug 2025 – Sharjah

  1. Haris Rauf – 158

  2. Mohammad Nawaz – 130

  3. Rashid Khan – 130

  4. Shaheen Afridi – 107

  5. Agha Salman – 98

  6. Saim Muqeem – 85

  7. Fareed Ahmad Malik – 79

  8. Rahmanullah Gurbaz – 66

  9. Mujeeb-ur-Rahman – 63

  10. Sediq Atal – 55

  11. Darwish Rasooli – 53

Conditional Strategy & Final Tips

  • If you expect a bat-first deck (most likely edge):

    • Prioritize top-order of the batting-first side + 2 strike bowlers from the chasing side.

    • C/VC: Nawaz / Rashid / Ibrahim.

  • If dew appears (aid to chasing):

    • Add one extra death pacer (Rauf/Shaheen/Fareed) and shave a spinner.

    • VC to Rauf becomes attractive.

  • Risk Management:

    • Pair one boom-or-bust (A. Ahmed or Faheem) with one steady (Mujeeb).

    • Don’t stack more than two such volatile picks.

Bottom line: Sharjah rewards form all-rounders and true wicket-takers. Lock M. Nawaz as a safe C in most builds; hedge with Rashid/Ibrahim in multi-entry.