Match: Afghanistan vs Hong Kong
Date/Time: 9 September, 07:30 PM IST
Venue: Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Tournament: T20I
Afghanistan arrive with strong form (WWWL) and a proven template: pile runs first, then squeeze with elite T20 bowling. Hong Kong’s recent run is competitive (LWWLW) with match-winners like Anshuman Rath, Yasim Murtaza, and Babar Hayat, but depth and pace quality favor AFG.
When AFG bat first: 5/5 wins → they defend totals superbly.
When HK chase: 3 wins, 2 losses → can be volatile against quality pace-spin.
Team | Chance |
---|---|
Afghanistan | 72% |
Hong Kong | 28% |
Basis: recent form, superior bowling unit (Rashid/Naveen/Farooqi/Noor), and venue trend favoring disciplined pacers.
Nature: Balanced – even split, but pacers slightly superior overall.
Avg 1st inns score: 173 | Avg wickets/inn: ~6
Toss: Captains often choose to chase; results are ~50-50 for bat/chasers.
Bowling Impact (Fantasy pts/over):
Overall: Pace ~12.0 > Spin ~9.8
1st inns: Spin 11.4 > Pace 9.5 (new-ball swing can still help pacers)
2nd inns: Pace 14.6 ≫ Spin 7.6 (dew + cross-seam/variations thrive)
New ball: wicket-taking pacers (hard lengths).
Middle: one attacking spinner can still strike if grip available.
Death overs: prioritize pacers with yorkers/variations (Naveen, Farooqi type).
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Rashid Khan | AR | 150, 96, 130, 130, 132 | 638 |
Naveen-ul-Haq | BOW | 62, 97, 95, 10, 138 | 402 |
Ibrahim Zadran | BAT | 19, 96, 123, 123, 29 | 390 |
Sediqullah Atal | BAT | 25, 116, 102, 55, 23 | 321 |
Mohammad Nabi | AR | 12, 89, 54, 47, 55 | 257 |
Mujeeb Ur Rahman | BOW | 48, 23, 63, 58, 62 | 254 |
Noor Ahmad | BOW | 92, 50, 87, 4, 10 | 243 |
Fazalhaq Farooqi | BOW | 86, 90, 43, 9, 4 | 232 |
Rahmanullah Gurbaz | WK | 21, 94, 26, 13, 66 | 220 |
Fazalhaq Malik (F. Malik) | BOW | 37, 79, 39, 6, 4 | 165 |
Gulbadin Naib | AR | 35, 26, 33, 15, 40 | 149 |
Karim Janat | AR | 2, 64, 24, 53, 2 | 145 |
Azmat Omarzai | AR | 6, 28, 6, 50, 30 | 120 |
Darwish Rasooli | BAT | 10, 12, 18, 53, 14 | 107 |
Aimal Ghazanfar | BOW | 70, 15, —, —, — | 85 (2 matches) |
Mohammad Ishaq | WK | 13, 13, 6, 10, 34 | 76 |
Abdul Rahman Ahmadzai | BOW | 39, —, —, —, — | 39 (1 match) |
Notes: Rashid is on a tear; Naveen/Farooqi peaking at this venue type; Ibrahim Zadran’s floor + ceiling both strong.
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Aizaz Khan | BOW | 39, 78, 40, 108, 200 | 465 |
Anshuman Rath | WK/BAT | 59, 139, 33, 13, 190 | 434 |
Yasim Murtaza | AR | 6, 144, 58, 74, 83 | 365 |
Babar Hayat | BAT | 12, 133, 17, 27, 139 | 328 |
Haroon Arshed | BOW | 64, 42, 162, 49, 9 | 326 |
Ayush Shukla | BOW | 37, 59, 46, 96, 50 | 288 |
Aftab Iqbal | BOW | 36, 8, 50, 88, 50 | 232 |
Kalhan Challu | BAT | 27, 83, 56, 18, 28 | 212 |
A Khan (AR) | AR | 4, 16, 125, 16, 23 | 184 |
Nizakat Khan | AR | 13, 26, 99, 8, 32 | 178 |
N Rana | BOW | 6, 109, 15, 36, 3 | 169 |
Zeeshan Ali | WK | 25, 65, 17, 34, 7 | 148 |
Ehsan Khan | BOW | 4, 56, 31, 35, 7 | 133 |
Ghazanfar Mohammad | BOW | 4, 12, 4, 95, 4 | 119 |
S Wasif | WK | 5, 36, 12, 55, 4 | 112 |
Kinchit Shah | BAT | 71, 8, 2, 13, 9 | 103 |
Michael Coetzee | BAT | 7, 17, 7, 37, 22 | 90 |
Ali Mehmood | BOW | 21, 12, 8, 4, 25 | 70 |
Mohammad Waheed | BOW | 9, —, —, —, — | 9 (1 match) |
Notes: Rath/Murtaza are HK’s stability; Shukla/Aizaz bring wicket upside, especially if bowling at the death.
Afghanistan bowling
Powerplay: Farooqi (LHBs & RHBs with late swing), Naveen (wobble seam) → early breakthroughs.
Middle: Rashid/Noor/Mujeeb strangle run rate; wicket clusters.
Death: Naveen primary, Farooqi support → high wicket equity.
Hong Kong bowling
Powerplay: Ayush Shukla, Aizaz Khan – can exploit any movement.
Middle: Yasim Murtaza (off-spin) to right-handers; match-up tool.
Death: Aizaz/Haroon Arshed – variation-driven; risk-reward.
Rashid Khan (C/VC) – insane 5-match run; wickets + cameo runs + catch potential.
Naveen-ul-Haq – PP+Death coverage; venue boosts pacers late.
Ibrahim Zadran – form + anchor with six-hitting gear; good vs pace.
Rahmanullah Gurbaz – ceiling pick if AFG bat first.
Noor Ahmad / Mujeeb – benefit if pitch grips; can outscore ownership.
Mohammad Nabi – multi-skill utility; batting order fluid.
Yasim Murtaza – dual-role + lefty matchup value.
Anshuman Rath – HK’s most reliable batter, keeps too (extra points).
Aizaz Khan / Ayush Shukla – wicket bursts if Afghanistan attack early.
(Balances floor from AFG core with HK differentials. Adjust once XIs/toss drop.)
WK (1–2): Rahmanullah Gurbaz, Anshuman Rath
BAT (3–4): Ibrahim Zadran, Sediqullah Atal, Babar Hayat (GL alt: Kalhan Challu)
AR (2–3): Rashid Khan (C), Mohammad Nabi, Yasim Murtaza (GL alt: Azmat Omarzai)
BOW (3–4): Naveen-ul-Haq (VC), Fazalhaq Farooqi, Noor Ahmad (or Mujeeb), Aizaz Khan / Ayush Shukla
Captaincy Matrix
Safe C: Rashid Khan | Safe VC: Naveen / Ibrahim
Aggro C: Gurbaz if AFG bat first | GL VC: Murtaza / Aizaz
If Afghanistan bat first:
Stack AFG top + both death pacers (Naveen, Farooqi).
Prefer Gurbaz (Aggro C); keep Rashid locked.
One of Noor/Mujeeb for middle-overs wickets vs pressure.
If Afghanistan chase:
Keep Naveen (VC) for 2nd-innings death boost.
Ibrahim becomes safer (measured chases).
Add Aizaz/Shukla as HK bowling punt for early wickets.
If pitch looks drier:
Elevate Rashid + Noor/Mujeeb; downgrade one pure pacer.
If there’s heavy dew:
Prioritize chasing pacers (Naveen/Farooqi) and top-order batters from the chasing side.
Afghanistan stack remains optimal; sprinkle 2–3 HK picks (Rath/Murtaza + one bowler) for leverage.
Watch team sheet for roles: if Omarzai bumps up the order or bowls at death, he becomes GL gold.
Keep one flexible slot to swap Noor↔Mujeeb based on pitch/left-right matchups.
Good luck, and play smart with toss/role updates before lock!