AFG vs HK Dream11 Prediction Today Match – Top Fantasy Picks, Pitch Report & Playing 11

Match Details

  • Match: Afghanistan vs Hong Kong

  • Date/Time: 9 September, 07:30 PM IST

  • Venue: Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi

  • Tournament: T20I

Short Preview

Afghanistan arrive with strong form (WWWL) and a proven template: pile runs first, then squeeze with elite T20 bowling. Hong Kong’s recent run is competitive (LWWLW) with match-winners like Anshuman Rath, Yasim Murtaza, and Babar Hayat, but depth and pace quality favor AFG.

  • When AFG bat first: 5/5 wins → they defend totals superbly.

  • When HK chase: 3 wins, 2 losses → can be volatile against quality pace-spin.

Win Probability

Team

Chance

Afghanistan

72%

Hong Kong

28%

Basis: recent form, superior bowling unit (Rashid/Naveen/Farooqi/Noor), and venue trend favoring disciplined pacers.

Pitch & Venue Analysis – Sheikh Zayed Stadium

  • Nature: Balanced – even split, but pacers slightly superior overall.

  • Avg 1st inns score: 173 | Avg wickets/inn: ~6

  • Toss: Captains often choose to chase; results are ~50-50 for bat/chasers.

  • Bowling Impact (Fantasy pts/over):

    • Overall: Pace ~12.0 > Spin ~9.8

    • 1st inns: Spin 11.4 > Pace 9.5 (new-ball swing can still help pacers)

    • 2nd inns: Pace 14.6 ≫ Spin 7.6 (dew + cross-seam/variations thrive)

Fantasy angle for venue

  • New ball: wicket-taking pacers (hard lengths).

  • Middle: one attacking spinner can still strike if grip available.

  • Death overs: prioritize pacers with yorkers/variations (Naveen, Farooqi type).

Form & Fantasy Heat (Last 5 Matches – totals shown)

Afghanistan – Top Performers

Player

Role

Last 5 FPts

Total

Rashid Khan

AR

150, 96, 130, 130, 132

638

Naveen-ul-Haq

BOW

62, 97, 95, 10, 138

402

Ibrahim Zadran

BAT

19, 96, 123, 123, 29

390

Sediqullah Atal

BAT

25, 116, 102, 55, 23

321

Mohammad Nabi

AR

12, 89, 54, 47, 55

257

Mujeeb Ur Rahman

BOW

48, 23, 63, 58, 62

254

Noor Ahmad

BOW

92, 50, 87, 4, 10

243

Fazalhaq Farooqi

BOW

86, 90, 43, 9, 4

232

Rahmanullah Gurbaz

WK

21, 94, 26, 13, 66

220

Fazalhaq Malik (F. Malik)

BOW

37, 79, 39, 6, 4

165

Gulbadin Naib

AR

35, 26, 33, 15, 40

149

Karim Janat

AR

2, 64, 24, 53, 2

145

Azmat Omarzai

AR

6, 28, 6, 50, 30

120

Darwish Rasooli

BAT

10, 12, 18, 53, 14

107

Aimal Ghazanfar

BOW

70, 15, —, —, —

85 (2 matches)

Mohammad Ishaq

WK

13, 13, 6, 10, 34

76

Abdul Rahman Ahmadzai

BOW

39, —, —, —, —

39 (1 match)

Notes: Rashid is on a tear; Naveen/Farooqi peaking at this venue type; Ibrahim Zadran’s floor + ceiling both strong.

Hong Kong – Top Performers

Player

Role

Last 5 FPts

Total

Aizaz Khan

BOW

39, 78, 40, 108, 200

465

Anshuman Rath

WK/BAT

59, 139, 33, 13, 190

434

Yasim Murtaza

AR

6, 144, 58, 74, 83

365

Babar Hayat

BAT

12, 133, 17, 27, 139

328

Haroon Arshed

BOW

64, 42, 162, 49, 9

326

Ayush Shukla

BOW

37, 59, 46, 96, 50

288

Aftab Iqbal

BOW

36, 8, 50, 88, 50

232

Kalhan Challu

BAT

27, 83, 56, 18, 28

212

A Khan (AR)

AR

4, 16, 125, 16, 23

184

Nizakat Khan

AR

13, 26, 99, 8, 32

178

N Rana

BOW

6, 109, 15, 36, 3

169

Zeeshan Ali

WK

25, 65, 17, 34, 7

148

Ehsan Khan

BOW

4, 56, 31, 35, 7

133

Ghazanfar Mohammad

BOW

4, 12, 4, 95, 4

119

S Wasif

WK

5, 36, 12, 55, 4

112

Kinchit Shah

BAT

71, 8, 2, 13, 9

103

Michael Coetzee

BAT

7, 17, 7, 37, 22

90

Ali Mehmood

BOW

21, 12, 8, 4, 25

70

Mohammad Waheed

BOW

9, —, —, —, —

9 (1 match)

Notes: Rath/Murtaza are HK’s stability; Shukla/Aizaz bring wicket upside, especially if bowling at the death.

Powerplay & Death Overs – Impact Lens

Afghanistan bowling

  • Powerplay: Farooqi (LHBs & RHBs with late swing), Naveen (wobble seam) → early breakthroughs.

  • Middle: Rashid/Noor/Mujeeb strangle run rate; wicket clusters.

  • Death: Naveen primary, Farooqi support → high wicket equity.

Hong Kong bowling

  • Powerplay: Ayush Shukla, Aizaz Khan – can exploit any movement.

  • Middle: Yasim Murtaza (off-spin) to right-handers; match-up tool.

  • Death: Aizaz/Haroon Arshed – variation-driven; risk-reward.

Key MVP Picks (Small Leagues)

  1. Rashid Khan (C/VC) – insane 5-match run; wickets + cameo runs + catch potential.

  2. Naveen-ul-Haq – PP+Death coverage; venue boosts pacers late.

  3. Ibrahim Zadran – form + anchor with six-hitting gear; good vs pace.

  4. Rahmanullah Gurbaz – ceiling pick if AFG bat first.

Differential / Grand League Punts

  • Noor Ahmad / Mujeeb – benefit if pitch grips; can outscore ownership.

  • Mohammad Nabi – multi-skill utility; batting order fluid.

  • Yasim Murtaza – dual-role + lefty matchup value.

  • Anshuman Rath – HK’s most reliable batter, keeps too (extra points).

  • Aizaz Khan / Ayush Shukla – wicket bursts if Afghanistan attack early.

Suggested Team Combination (Small League)

(Balances floor from AFG core with HK differentials. Adjust once XIs/toss drop.)

  • WK (1–2): Rahmanullah Gurbaz, Anshuman Rath

  • BAT (3–4): Ibrahim Zadran, Sediqullah Atal, Babar Hayat (GL alt: Kalhan Challu)

  • AR (2–3): Rashid Khan (C), Mohammad Nabi, Yasim Murtaza (GL alt: Azmat Omarzai)

  • BOW (3–4): Naveen-ul-Haq (VC), Fazalhaq Farooqi, Noor Ahmad (or Mujeeb), Aizaz Khan / Ayush Shukla

Captaincy Matrix

  • Safe C: Rashid Khan | Safe VC: Naveen / Ibrahim

  • Aggro C: Gurbaz if AFG bat first | GL VC: Murtaza / Aizaz

Conditional Strategy

  • If Afghanistan bat first:

    • Stack AFG top + both death pacers (Naveen, Farooqi).

    • Prefer Gurbaz (Aggro C); keep Rashid locked.

    • One of Noor/Mujeeb for middle-overs wickets vs pressure.

  • If Afghanistan chase:

    • Keep Naveen (VC) for 2nd-innings death boost.

    • Ibrahim becomes safer (measured chases).

    • Add Aizaz/Shukla as HK bowling punt for early wickets.

  • If pitch looks drier:

    • Elevate Rashid + Noor/Mujeeb; downgrade one pure pacer.

  • If there’s heavy dew:

    • Prioritize chasing pacers (Naveen/Farooqi) and top-order batters from the chasing side.

Final Tips

  • Afghanistan stack remains optimal; sprinkle 2–3 HK picks (Rath/Murtaza + one bowler) for leverage.

  • Watch team sheet for roles: if Omarzai bumps up the order or bowls at death, he becomes GL gold.

  • Keep one flexible slot to swap Noor↔Mujeeb based on pitch/left-right matchups.

Good luck, and play smart with toss/role updates before lock!