Match Details
Match: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh (ODI)
Date & Time: 11 Oct 2025, 05:30 PM IST
Venue: Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
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Recent form:
Afghanistan: W, W, L, W (solid momentum)
Bangladesh: L, L, W, L, L (inconsistent)
Recent H2H tilt: AFG have edged recent meetings (AFG vs BAN: W, L, L, W, W).
What it means for fantasy: Afghanistan’s core (Azmatullah, Gurbaz, Rashid) is consistently returning points; Bangladesh’s points are more concentrated around Mehidy Hasan Miraz, Tanzid Hasan Sakib, Towhid Hridoy, and Taijul/Tanvir Islam in the current dataset.
Win Probability (Modelled from form + H2H + venue balance)
Team | Win Chance |
|---|---|
Afghanistan | 58% |
Bangladesh | 42% |
Edge to AFG on form + recent H2H; BAN still in it if they win toss and chase.
Pitch & Venue Analysis — Sheikh Zayed Stadium
Type: Balanced wicket — make even selection of batters and bowlers.
Avg 1st inns score: 236
Avg wickets lost/inns: ~8
Toss trends (venue):
Captains choose to bat first ~60%, but results favor chasing (~70% wins while chasing).
Pace vs Spin (Fantasy Points):
1st inns: Pace 8.6 FP/over > Spin 6.7 — new ball and hard length reward.
2nd inns: Pace 6.4 ~ Spin 6.6 — slows up, spin grows.
Ground dimensions: ~65m square, 76m straight — value for timing; mis-hits in the ‘V’ can still carry.
Fantasy angle for this venue
If defending: prioritize powerplay pacers + middle-over wrist/quality finger spin for control.
If chasing: lean harder on top-order accumulators and all-rounders who bowl 6–10 overs.
🏏 Afghanistan — Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
A. Omarzai | AR | 180 | 141 | 234 | 80 | 36 | 671 |
I. Zadran | BAT | 51 | 34 | 301 | 31 | 60 | 477 |
A. Ghazanfar | BOW | 80 | 165 | 95 | 37 | 2 | 379 |
Rashid Khan | BOW | 139 | 31 | 44 | 55 | 71 | 340 |
R. Gurbaz | WK | 98 | 1 | 26 | 24 | 186 | 335 |
S. Atal | BAT | 9 | 143 | 12 | 36 | 108 | 308 |
M. Nabi | AR | 37 | 7 | 162 | 69 | 23 | 298 |
R. Shah | AR | 70 | 20 | 16 | 156 | 13 | 275 |
H. Shahidi | BAT | 63 | 26 | 60 | 9 | 72 | 230 |
N. Kharote | BOW | 53 | 18 | 18 | 85 | 39 | 213 |
B. Ahmad | BOW | 9 | — | — | — | — | 9 |
🐯 Bangladesh — Last 5 Matches Fantasy Points
Player | Role | Match 1 | Match 2 | Match 3 | Match 4 | Match 5 | Total (5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M. Hasan Miraz | AR | 149 | 146 | 68 | 34 | 24 | 421 |
T. Hasan Sakib | BOW | 133 | 45 | 150 | 12 | 81 | 421 |
T. Hridoy | BAT | 90 | 81 | 79 | 5 | 156 | 411 |
T. Islam | BOW | 75 | 58 | 209 | — | — | 342 (3 matches) |
J. Ali (Anik) | WK | 18 | 49 | 44 | 71 | 96 | 278 |
T. Ahmed | BOW | 18 | 75 | 71 | 44 | 12 | 220 |
N. Hossain Shanto | BAT | 6 | 9 | 26 | 129 | 9 | 179 |
T. Hasan | BAT | 30 | 33 | 11 | 46 | 51 | 171 |
Nurul Hasan | WK | 23 | 4 | 64 | 18 | 35 | 144 |
H. Mahmud | BOW | 17 | 11 | 29 | 58 | 8 | 123 |
S. Hassan | AR | 55 | — | — | — | — | 55 |
Recent Fantasy Heat (Last 5 Matches — All venues)
Afghanistan — Top Performers
Player | Role | FPts (L5) | Notable recent |
|---|---|---|---|
A. Omarzai | AR | 671 | 180 vs BAN (8 Oct), 234 vs ENG |
I. Zadran | BAT | 477 | 301 vs ENG, 60 vs NZ |
A. Ghazanfar | BOW | 379 | 165 vs ZIM, 80 vs BAN |
Rashid Khan | BOW | 340 | 139 vs BAN, 71 vs NZ |
R. Gurbaz | WK | 335 | 186 vs NZ, 98 vs BAN |
S. Atal | BAT | 308 | 143 vs AUS, 108 vs NZ |
M. Nabi | AR | 298 | 162 vs ENG |
Bangladesh — Top Performers
Player | Role | FPts (L5) | Notable recent |
|---|---|---|---|
M. Hasan Miraz | AR | 421 | 149 vs AFG, 146 vs SL |
T. Hasan Sakib | BOW | 421 | 150 vs SL, 133 vs AFG |
T. Hridoy | BAT | 411 | 156 vs IND, 90 vs AFG |
T. Islam | BOW | 342 (L3) | 209 vs SL, 75 vs AFG |
J. Ali (Anik) | WK | 278 | 96 vs IND, 71 vs NZ |
T. Ahmed | BOW | 220 | 75 vs SL, 71 vs NZ |
Consistency flags: Omarzai, Miraz, Gurbaz, Rashid, Hridoy, Sakib.
Venue-Specific Recency (Abu Dhabi, last match set)
Top fantasy returns from 8 Oct at this venue:
A. Omarzai 180, M. Hasan Miraz 149, Rashid Khan 139, T. Hasan Sakib 133, R. Gurbaz 98, T. Hridoy 90, A. Ghazanfar 80
Strong cross-team captaincy pool here: Omarzai, Miraz, Rashid.
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Afghanistan bowlers
New ball/early impact: A. Ghazanfar has struck well lately; Rashid usually holds the middle but can be used as matchup breaker.
Middle overs: Rashid Khan — premium choke + wickets cluster.
Death: Rotation-based; watch XI. If Afghanistan defend, Rashid + seamer support can split end overs.
Bangladesh bowlers
Powerplay/strike: T. Hasan Sakib has recent spike; T. Ahmed provides hit-the-deck support.
Middle-to-late: M. Hasan Miraz controls rate, T. Islam threat vs right-handers.
Death: Mix of Sakib/T. Ahmed; roles fluctuate with XI — monitor toss & team sheet.
Batting phases to target
AFG PP: R. Gurbaz (high ceiling) + I. Zadran (anchor).
BAN middle: T. Hridoy is the in-form stabilizer/accelerator; Miraz floats and adds overs with ball.
Key Captain/MVP Picks
Azmatullah Omarzai (AFG, AR) — Elite L5 (671), dual points; venue 180 last time.
Rashid Khan (AFG, BOW) — Venue spike (139) and reliable middle-over wickets.
Mehidy Hasan Miraz (BAN, AR) — Team heartbeat; 149 at venue + consistent L10.
Differential Picks (High-upside, lower pick %)
Tanzid Hasan Sakib (BAN, BOW) — Recent peaks (150 & 133) + new-ball role.
Abdul Ghazanfar (AFG, BOW) — Taking chunks vs lower tempo batting; venue 80.
Towhid Hridoy (BAN, BAT) — Solid middle-overs scorer; 90 at venue.
Rahmanullah Gurbaz (AFG, WK) — Boom-or-bust ceiling (186 vs NZ); ideal if AFG chase.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (Balanced Pitch)
Formation: 1 WK – 4 BAT – 2 AR – 4 BOW
Tweak 3–3 in AR/BOW based on toss & XI.
WK: R. Gurbaz (AFG)
BAT: I. Zadran (AFG), S. Atal (AFG), T. Hridoy (BAN), N. Hossain Shanto (BAN)
AR: A. Omarzai (AFG) [C], M. Hasan Miraz (BAN) [VC]
BOW: Rashid Khan (AFG), A. Ghazanfar (AFG), T. Hasan Sakib (BAN), T. Islam (BAN)
Bench/Alternates (if XIs demand): M. Nabi (AFG), T. Ahmed (BAN), H. Shahidi (AFG), J. Ali (BAN).
Conditional Strategy & Final Tips
If Afghanistan bat first:
Keep Rashid and Ghazanfar locked; pitch slows — wicket-taking upside defending ~236–260.
Gurbaz C (aggressive) viable if you expect a 280+ deck.
If Bangladesh bat first:
Upgrade T. Islam / Miraz for middle-over squeeze; consider T. Ahmed as death-points punt.
Miraz VC almost mandatory for dual skill.
If chasing under lights (historically strong):
Favor top-order of chasing team + 2 all-rounders.
Trim one pure bowler, add Nabi or an extra top-order bat depending on XI.
Safety vs Upside:
Safe core: Omarzai, Rashid, Miraz, Gurbaz.
Upside punts: Sakib, Ghazanfar, Hridoy.
Note: Playing XIs not out yet — re-check toss, bowling roles (death overs), and batting positions. Align captaincy with match script (defend = Rashid/Omarzai; chase = Gurbaz/Miraz).