Match Details
Teams: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh
Date & Time: 8 Oct, 05:30 PM IST
Venue: Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi
Tournament: ODI
Short Preview & Context
Recent form:
Afghanistan: W L W W (solid momentum)
Bangladesh: L W L L L (inconsistent; top-heavy reliance on a few)
Recent H2H (last 5): AFG vs BAN → W W W L L (edge to Afghanistan)
Narrative: Afghanistan’s core—Ibrahim Zadran, Gurbaz, Omarzai, Rashid—has combined recent form with H2H impact. For Bangladesh, Mehidy Hasan Miraz and the pace pair Taskin & Tanzim Sakib carry the bowling threat, with Towhid Hridoy / Shanto key with the bat.
Win Probability (Model based on form + H2H + venue)
Team | Chance |
|---|---|
Afghanistan | 58% |
Bangladesh | 42% |
Pitch & Venue Analysis — Sheikh Zayed Stadium
Type: Balanced, slightly favoring batters overall but pacers have better impact
Avg 1st Inns: 241 | Avg wickets/inns: ~8
Toss: Teams often choose to bat first, but results show 60% wins while chasing → chasing has worked better lately.
Bowling split (Fantasy impact):
Pacers > Spinners (Pace ~7.9–8.5 Fpts/over in 1st inns; spinners ~6.5–6.7)
Strategy: Build balanced teams with a slight pace bias; death-over bowlers and top-3 batters gain value.
Afghanistan
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts | Total | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Azmatullah Omarzai | AR | 141, 234, 80, 36, 76 | 567 | 113.4 |
Ibrahim Zadran | BAT | 34, 301, 31, 60, 67 | 493 | 98.6 |
Sediqullah Atal | BAT | 143, 12, 36, 108, 70 | 369 | 73.8 |
A. Mohammad Ghazanfar | BOW | 165, 95, 37, 2, 65 | 364 | 72.8 |
Mohammad Nabi | AR | 7, 162, 69, 23, 44 | 305 | 61.0 |
Rahmat Shah | BAT | 20, 16, 156, 13, 71 | 276 | 55.2 |
Rahmanullah Gurbaz | WK | 1, 26, 24, 186, 15 | 252 | 50.4 |
Rashid Khan | BOW | 31, 44, 55, 71, 4 | 205 | 41.0 |
Hashmatullah Shahidi | BAT | 26, 60, 9, 72, 20 | 187 | 37.4 |
Noor Ahmad Kharote | AR | 18, 18, 85, 39, 1 | 161 | 32.2 |
Ikram Alikhil | WK | 4, 29, 20, 37, 20 | 110 | 22.0 |
Basir Ahmad Sami | BOW | 12, 8, 76 | 96 | 32.0 |
Darwish Rasooli | BAT | 4, 26, 15 | 45 | 15.0 |
Suliman Safi | BOW | 4, 12 | 16 | 8.0 |
Bangladesh
Player | Role | Last 5 FPts | Total | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mehidy Hasan Miraz | AR | 146, 68, 34, 24, 89 | 361 | 72.2 |
Towhid Hridoy | BAT | 81, 79, 5, 156, 23 | 344 | 68.8 |
Tanzim Hasan Sakib | BOW | 45, 150, 12, 81, 55 | 343 | 68.6 |
Rishad/Raihan Hossain | AR/BOW | 81, 116, 42, 60, 34 | 333 | 66.6 |
Jaker Ali (Anik) | WK | 49, 44, 71, 96, 24 | 284 | 56.8 |
Taijul Islam | BOW | 58, 209 | 267 | 133.5 |
Nahid Rana | BOW | 39, 29, 52, 45, 68 | 233 | 46.6 |
Taskin Ahmed | BOW | 75, 71, 44, 12, 29 | 231 | 46.2 |
Shamim Hossain Patwari | AR/BAT | 68, 91, 13, 9, 22 | 203 | 40.6 |
Najmul Hossain Shanto | BAT | 9, 26, 129, 9, 20 | 193 | 38.6 |
Nurul Hasan | WK | 4, 64, 18, 35, 57 | 178 | 35.6 |
Hasan Mahmud | BOW | 11, 29, 58, 8, 65 | 171 | 34.2 |
Mustafizur Rahman | BOW | 14, 48, 53, 37, 6 | 158 | 31.6 |
Tanzid Hasan | BAT | 33, 11, 46, 51, 14 | 155 | 31.0 |
Naim Sheikh | BAT | 24, 28, 37, 23, 9 | 121 | 24.2 |
Fantasy Insights for This Venue
Prioritize pace bowlers who operate PP + death (e.g., Taskin, Tanzim, Omarzai).
Top-order batters from both sides are key; run-scoring generally clusters in the first 35 overs before the ball grips a bit more.
If dew appears, chasing gets a boost → bump bowling units from the team bowling first.
Form Radar — Last 5 (overall)
Afghanistan — Consistency & Ceilings
Ibrahim Zadran (BAT): 98 avg — elite floor/ceiling; one huge knock in last 5.
Azmatullah Omarzai (AR): 98 avg / 982 in 10 — true MVP profile (bat + 6–8 overs).
A. M. Ghazanfar (BOW): 72 avg — strike threat; if in XI he’s a high-upside pick.
Sediqullah Atal (BAT): 67 avg — aggressive top-order differential.
R. Gurbaz (WK): 57 avg — volatile but massive ceiling in PP.
Bangladesh — Reliable Cores
Mehidy Hasan Miraz (AR): 79 avg / 795 in 10 — multi-utility; safest BAN pick.
Tanzim Hasan Sakib (BOW): 64 avg — wickets in PP; improving death value.
Rishad/Raihan Hossain (listed as AR/BOW in feeds): ~60 avg — wicket-taking leggie; upside play.
Towhid Hridoy (BAT): 54 avg — form batter; middle-overs anchor with finishing ability.
Jaker Ali Anik (WK): 52 avg — only if confirmed in XI; otherwise avoid.
H2H Leans (recent set)
Ghazanfar (AFG): ~89 avg vs BAN (small sample) — matchup-friendly.
Miraz (BAN): ~82 avg vs AFG — safe captaincy alternative.
Taskin (BAN): ~60 avg vs AFG — role stability across phases.
Rashid Khan (AFG): ~62 avg — control + middle-overs strike.
Powerplay & Death Overs Impact
Powerplay:
BAN: Taskin + Tanzim are live for early strikes vs attacking AFG top.
AFG: Omarzai new-ball involvement; can swing it + hits hard at 6/7.
Death Overs:
BAN: Mustafizur (if plays) / Taskin likely 47–50; wicket upside.
AFG: Omarzai and Rashid often operate 41–49; Rashid’s wicket clusters at 30–45.
Top Fantasy Picks (MVP & Differentials)
MVP Tier (Safe/High usage)
Azmatullah Omarzai (AFG, AR): Elite dual value; consistent points even in low totals.
Mehidy Hasan Miraz (BAN, AR): Batting time + 10 overs; catches run-outs add-on.
Ibrahim Zadran (AFG, BAT): Form + H2H; big-innings potential.
Differential / High-Risk High-Reward
A. M. Ghazanfar (AFG, BOW): Recent spike; excellent if pitch grips.
Sediqullah Atal (AFG, BAT): Intent player; can break the slate if he comes off in PP.
Tanzim Hasan Sakib (BAN, BOW): PP wickets; popular but still under-captained vs Taskin.
Rashid Khan (AFG, BOW): If teams attack him, he bags multiples; strong in low-scoring games.
Suggested Dream11 Combination (balanced with pace tilt)
Formation: 1 WK – 3 BAT – 3 AR – 4 BOW
WK: Rahmanullah Gurbaz (AFG)
BAT: Ibrahim Zadran (AFG), Sediqullah Atal (AFG), Towhid Hridoy (BAN)
AR: Azmatullah Omarzai (AFG) (C), Mehidy Hasan Miraz (BAN) (VC), Mohammad Nabi (AFG)
BOW: Rashid Khan (AFG), A. Mohammad Ghazanfar (AFG), Taskin Ahmed (BAN), Tanzim Hasan Sakib (BAN)
Bench/Alternates (XI dependent): Najmul Hossain Shanto (BAN), Rahmat Shah (AFG), Mustafizur Rahman (BAN), Noor Ahmad (AFG), Jaker Ali Anik (BAN – only if confirmed).
Fantasy Points Snapshot (last 5 — highlights)
Afghanistan
Player | Role | Avg (L5) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
I. Zadran | BAT | 98 | One mega score; anchor. |
A. Omarzai | AR | 98 | Bat + 6–8 overs; bankable. |
A. M. Ghazanfar | BOW | 72 | Form spinner; sample smaller. |
S. Atal | BAT | 67 | Attacking top order; diff. |
R. Gurbaz | WK | 57 | Boom/bust but ceilingy. |
Rashid Khan | BOW | ~62 (H2H) | Middle-overs choke/strikes. |
Bangladesh
Player | Role | Avg (L5) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
M. H. Miraz | AR | 79 | Safest BAN C/VC. |
T. H. Sakib | BOW | 64 | PP wicket taker. |
R. Hossain | BOW/AR | 60 | Wrist-spin upside. |
T. Hridoy | BAT | 54 | Form + finishing. |
J. A. Anik | WK | 52 | XI dependent. |
Taskin Ahmed | BOW | ~60 (H2H) | PP + death usage. |
Conditional Strategy (adjust in toss/innings)
If Afghanistan bats first: Stack AFG top-3 (Gurbaz/Zadran/Atal) + Omarzai; keep one of Taskin/Tanzim for PP wickets.
If Bangladesh bats first: Prioritize Miraz + Hridoy/Shanto; keep Rashid + Ghazanfar for middle-overs wickets.
If there’s heavy dew / BAN is chasing: Upgrade Taskin/Tanzim (ball skids) and BAN top-3; consider VC on Miraz.
If pitch looks dry/used: Upgrade Rashid/Ghazanfar; consider dropping one BAN pacer for an extra spinner (Noor Ahmad if picked).
Final Tips
Wait for XIs & roles (who takes new ball for AFG; BAN keeper choice).
Captaincy safe route: Omarzai or Miraz.
Aggressive punt: Ibrahim Zadran (form) or Rashid Khan (low-scoring script).
Balance your attack: 2–3 pacers minimum given venue bias; retain at least one quality spinner for middle-overs strike.
Good luck, and play responsibly!