Match Details

  • Match: Afghanistan vs Bangladesh (ODI)

  • Date & Time: 14 Oct, 05:30 PM IST

  • Venue: Sheikh Zayed Stadium, Abu Dhabi

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Afghanistan arrive with stronger recent form and a superior H2H edge in the most recent meetings. Bangladesh’s batting has been patchy, relying heavily on Mehidy Hasan Miraz and Towhid Hridoy, while Afghanistan’s spine of R Gurbaz, Ibrahim Zadran, and the all-round impact of Azmatullah Omarzai plus Rashid Khan has consistently produced fantasy points.

Recent Form (Last 4–5)

  • Afghanistan: W W W L

  • Bangladesh: L L L W L

  • H2H recent: AFG vs BAN – W W L L W (edge AFG)

Win Probability (Preview Model)

Team

Chance

Afghanistan

58%

Bangladesh

42%

Pitch & Venue Analysis – Sheikh Zayed Stadium (ODIs)

  • Nature: Balanced – rewards mixed selections.

  • Avg 1st inns: 220 | Avg wickets/inn: 8

  • Toss: Captains tend to bat first (60%), but chasing has won ~70% recently → batting gets tougher but chasing sides pace the innings better.

  • Role by innings (Fantasy pts/over):

    • 1st inns: Pace 8.7 > Spin 7.0 (new-ball movement)

    • 2nd inns: Spin 7.2 > Pace 6.3 (grip & hold at night)

  • Venue leaders (recent): Rashid Khan, Omarzai, Mehidy, T Hasan Sakib, Ibrahim Zadran, Gurbaz.

Fantasy angle at Abu Dhabi

  • Start with 2 pacers + 1 spinner if you expect the opponent to bat first; flip to 2 spinners when defending/under lights.

  • All-rounders with 10-over potential (Omarzai, Mehidy) are excellent captaincy anchors on a 220-type surface.

High-Value Fantasy Pool (Last 5 – recent outputs)

🏏 Afghanistan – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points

Player

Role

Last 5 Match Fantasy Points

Total (5)

A Omarzai

AR

116, 180, 141, 234, 80

751

I Zadran

BAT

135, 51, 34, 301, 31

552

Rashid Khan

BOW

229, 139, 31, 44, 55

498

A Ghazanfar

BOW

44, 80, 165, 95, 37

421

M Nabi

AR

32, 37, 7, 162, 69

307

R Shah

AR

17, 70, 20, 16, 156

279

N Kharote

BOW

68, 53, 18, 18, 85

242

S Atal

BAT

16, 9, 143, 12, 36

216

R Gurbaz

WK

43, 98, 1, 26, 24

192

H Shahidi

BAT

8, 63, 26, 60, 9

166

B Ahmad

BOW

22, 9, –, –, –

31

🏏 Bangladesh – Last 5 Match Fantasy Points

Player

Role

Last 5 Match Fantasy Points

Total (5)

M Hasan Miraz

AR

129, 149, 146, 68, 34

526

T Hasan Sakib

BOW

88, 133, 45, 150, 12

428

T Islam

BOW

55, 75, 58, 209

397

R Hossain

BOW

90, 81, 116, 42, 60

389

T Hridoy

BAT

44, 90, 81, 79, 5

299

N Hossain Shanto

BAT

15, 6, 9, 26, 129

185

M Rahman

BOW

18, 14, 48, 53, 37

170

J Ali (Anik)

WK

32, 18, 49, 44, 71

214

Nurul Hasan

WK

27, 23, 4, 64, 18

136

T Hasan (BAT)

BAT

13, 30, 33, 11, 46

133

S Hassan

AR

52, 55

107

🔹 Summary Highlights

  • Top AFG performers (last 5):

    1. A Omarzai – 751 pts

    2. I Zadran – 552 pts

    3. Rashid Khan – 498 pts

    4. A Ghazanfar – 421 pts

  • Top BAN performers (last 5):

    1. M Hasan Miraz – 526 pts

    2. T Hasan Sakib – 428 pts

    3. T Islam – 397 pts

    4. R Hossain – 389 ptsOpponent & Recency Boosters

  • AFG vs BAN (last two Oct meetings):

    • Rashid Khan: 229, 139 pts → massive H2H spike

    • Omarzai: 116, 180 pts → bat/bowl dual threat

    • Mehidy: 129, 149 pts → BAN’s best all-round bet

    • T Hasan Sakib: 133, 88 pts → new-ball + death mix

    • Ibrahim Zadran: 135, 51 pts → top-order anchor

Powerplay & Death Overs Impact (Fantasy View)

  • Powerplay (0–10):

    • BAN: T Hasan Sakib + Mustafizur can nick out AFG’s openers; add Tanzim/Taskin if announced.

    • AFG: Omarzai’s hit-the-deck and Ghazanfar if used early to Shanto/Hridoy.

  • Middle & Death (30–50):

    • AFG: Rashid dominates overs 20–40; Omarzai returns at the death.

    • BAN: Mustafizur at the death; Mehidy ties down middle overs, creating wicket opportunities.

Captaincy Matrix

  • Safe C/VC: A Omarzai, M Hasan Miraz (workload + dual skill)

  • Ceiling C punts: Rashid Khan, Ibrahim Zadran

  • Differentials: A Ghazanfar, T Hasan Sakib, Tanzid/Towhid Hridoy (depending XI)

Suggested Dream11 Combination (Balanced, venue-aware)

Will refine once XIs drop; for now a safe template.

WK (1–2):

  • R Gurbaz (safe)

  • J Ali Anik / Nurul Hasan (value WK – choose 1 if budget/XI allows)

BAT (3–4):

  • Ibrahim Zadran

  • T Hridoy

  • H Shahidi / N Hossain Shanto (form vs role; pick one)

AR (2–3):

  • A Omarzai (C)

  • M Hasan Miraz (VC)

  • M Nabi (GL punt)

BOW (3–4):

  • Rashid Khan

  • T Hasan Sakib

  • A Ghazanfar

  • M Rahman / T Islam (pick based on toss)

11 picks (default build): R Gurbaz; I Zadran, T Hridoy, H Shahidi; A Omarzai (C), M H Miraz (VC); Rashid Khan, T Hasan Sakib, A Ghazanfar, M Rahman; J Ali Anik
(Swap M Rahman ↔ T Islam based on team balance; drop J Ali if you prefer 3 AR / 4 BOW.)

Conditional Strategy (Toss & Innings)

  • If AFG bat first:

    • Prioritise Ibrahim Zadran + Shahidi stack; keep Omarzai locked.

    • Bowling: T Hasan Sakib (new ball) + Rashid (middle choke).

    • Consider 2 pacers + 1 spinner from BAN.

  • If BAN bat first:

    • Lock Rashid (middle), Ghazanfar as value.

    • Take Hridoy over Shanto for middle-overs scoring.

    • Add Mustafizur for death-overs wickets.

  • If chasing under lights:

    • Add a second frontline spinner (Rashid + T Islam/Mehidy) due to second-innings grip.

    • Captaincy tilt to all-rounders (Omarzai/Mehidy) for dual routes.

Final Tips

  • Build around 3 premium all-rounders/spinners (Omarzai, Mehidy, Rashid) and rotate your BAN quick (Sakib/Mustafizur) per toss.

  • AFG stack (2–3 core) is slightly safer given form and H2H.

  • Leave 1 credit pivot to flip M Rahman ↔ T Islam after toss/XI.

  • Avoid overloading top-order from the team chasing if dew eases bowling; instead bank on finishers + spinners for late wickets.

Good luck—lock the cores (Omarzai, Rashid, Mehidy), then flex the rest based on toss and XIs!

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